Showing results for "superforecasting" in All Categories
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Superforecasting
- The Art and Science of Prediction
- By: Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Narrated by: Joel Richards
- Length: 9 hrs and 45 mins
- Unabridged
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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
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Great for Experts
- By Michael on 02-20-17
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Superforecasting
- The Art and Science of Prediction
- Narrated by: Joel Richards
- Length: 9 hrs and 45 mins
- Release date: 09-29-15
- Language: English
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Thinking, Fast and Slow
- By: Daniel Kahneman
- Narrated by: Patrick Egan
- Length: 20 hrs and 2 mins
- Unabridged
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The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains....
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Difficult Listen, but Probably a Great Read
- By Mike Kircher on 01-12-12
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Thinking, Fast and Slow
- Narrated by: Patrick Egan
- Length: 20 hrs and 2 mins
- Release date: 10-25-11
- Language: English
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Supercommunicators
- How to Unlock the Secret Language of Connection
- By: Charles Duhigg
- Narrated by: Charles Duhigg
- Length: 7 hrs and 28 mins
- Unabridged
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Come inside a jury room as one juror leads a starkly divided room to consensus. Join a young CIA officer as he recruits a reluctant foreign agent. And sit with an accomplished surgeon as he tries, and fails, to convince yet another cancer patient to opt for the less risky course of treatment. In Supercommunicators, Charles Duhigg blends deep research and his trademark storytelling skills to show how we can all learn to identify and leverage the hidden layers that lurk beneath every conversation.
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Excellent book!
- By Sylvie on 02-25-24
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Supercommunicators
- How to Unlock the Secret Language of Connection
- Narrated by: Charles Duhigg
- Length: 7 hrs and 28 mins
- Release date: 02-20-24
- Language: English
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Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
- By: Instaread
- Narrated by: Kevin Gillispie
- Length: 25 mins
- Unabridged
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting and to study the people and conditions that create the most accurate forecasts....
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I wasted my money on this audiobook
- By Amazon Customer on 04-30-16
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Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
- Narrated by: Kevin Gillispie
- Length: 25 mins
- Release date: 12-28-15
- Language: English
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Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- By: Howard Marks
- Narrated by: LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Length: 9 hrs and 39 mins
- Unabridged
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The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
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Cycles : nothing new!
- By Amazon Customer on 11-01-18
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Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- Narrated by: LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Length: 9 hrs and 39 mins
- Release date: 10-02-18
- Language: English
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SuperFreakonomics
- By: Steven D. Levitt, Stephen J. Dubner
- Narrated by: Stephen J. Dubner
- Length: 7 hrs and 28 mins
- Unabridged
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SuperFreakonomics challenges the way we think all over again, exploring the hidden side of everything with such questions as: How is a street prostitute like a department-store Santa? What do hurricanes, heart attacks, and highway deaths have in common? Can eating kangaroo save the planet? Levitt and Dubner mix smart thinking and great storytelling like no one else.
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Just ok. Not sure if I believe it all though.
- By Duane Touchet on 10-31-09
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SuperFreakonomics
- Narrated by: Stephen J. Dubner
- Length: 7 hrs and 28 mins
- Release date: 10-20-09
- Language: English
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Free Audiobooks
- By: Appbly.com
- Original Recording
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With thousands of listeners from around the world, you are sure to be entertained, delighted, and thrilled listening to our growing collection of audiobooks. Listen, Download, Follow, Share, Rate 5 Stars, Send in a Voice Message, and Support This Podcast to encourage us to keep adding more content to our Appbly.com podcasts. For a full list of the Free Audiobooks available please scroll through the episodes in the Free Audiobooks podcast or visit the Media > Podcast > Free Audiobooks icon at Appbly.com. If you have any feedback please send us an email using the Contact icon at Appbly.com. ...
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Not bad
- By Grahame on 03-29-23
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Superfans
- The Easy Way to Stand Out, Grow Your Tribe, and Build a Successful Business
- By: Pat Flynn
- Narrated by: Pat Flynn
- Length: 5 hrs and 2 mins
- Unabridged
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Customers, followers, subscribers. It's easy to just look at the numbers. How many likes? How many purchases? How many email subscribers? But as entrepreneurs, we have to remember that there are people behind all that data. People who are looking to us to be a leader, to give advice, and to care. In this dog-eat-dog world, these are the people who are looking for someone who they can trust and who they know have their best interests in mind.
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Big Meh
- By Ray on 01-10-20
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Superintelligence
- Paths, Dangers, Strategies
- By: Nick Bostrom
- Narrated by: Napoleon Ryan
- Length: 14 hrs and 17 mins
- Unabridged
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Superintelligence asks the questions: What happens when machines surpass humans in general intelligence? Will artificial agents save or destroy us? Nick Bostrom lays the foundation for understanding the future of humanity and intelligent life. The human brain has some capabilities that the brains of other animals lack. It is to these distinctive capabilities that our species owes its dominant position. If machine brains surpassed human brains in general intelligence, then this new superintelligence could become extremely powerful - possibly beyond our control.
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Colossus: The Forbin Project is coming
- By Gary on 09-12-14
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Superintelligence
- Paths, Dangers, Strategies
- Narrated by: Napoleon Ryan
- Length: 14 hrs and 17 mins
- Release date: 09-03-14
- Language: English
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The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- By: Nate Silver
- Narrated by: Mike Chamberlain
- Length: 16 hrs and 21 mins
- Unabridged
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Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.
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Learn About Statistics Without All The Math
- By Scott Fabel on 03-09-13
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The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- Narrated by: Mike Chamberlain
- Length: 16 hrs and 21 mins
- Release date: 09-27-12
- Language: English
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The Predictioneer's Game
- Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
- By: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
- Narrated by: Sean Runnette
- Length: 9 hrs and 32 mins
- Unabridged
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Performance
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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate.
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Don't make this a habit audible!
- By Joni23 on 06-13-13
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The Predictioneer's Game
- Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
- Narrated by: Sean Runnette
- Length: 9 hrs and 32 mins
- Release date: 09-29-09
- Language: English
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Foreclosure Secrets
- How I Built a 7-Figure Business Flipping Houses Most Investors Are Too Afraid to Buy
- By: Marty Boardman
- Narrated by: Marty Boardman
- Length: 2 hrs and 57 mins
- Unabridged
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Foreclosure Secrets is your blueprint for how to start and scale a foreclosure-buying business in your hometown, or from long distance in another real estate market, without making costly mistakes. Marty Boardman has built a seven-figure business buying foreclosures in multiple states, and with this book, you’ll discover how to duplicate his success and drastically reduce your learning curve.
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A few pretty good takeaways
- By Shayna on 01-13-24
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Foreclosure Secrets
- How I Built a 7-Figure Business Flipping Houses Most Investors Are Too Afraid to Buy
- Narrated by: Marty Boardman
- Length: 2 hrs and 57 mins
- Release date: 02-04-22
- Language: English
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Summary: Tetlock and Gardner's Superforecasting Summary: The Art and Science of Prediction
- By: Ant Hive Media
- Narrated by: Don Moffit
- Length: 21 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall
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Performance
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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why.
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Summary: Tetlock and Gardner's Superforecasting Summary: The Art and Science of Prediction
- Narrated by: Don Moffit
- Length: 21 mins
- Release date: 05-26-16
- Language: English
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Thinking in Bets
- Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time.
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Wasn't For Me
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- A Flaw in Human Judgment
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Don't make this a habit audible!
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In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives - yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative audiobook, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands.
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Great clarity for sorting efforts and results
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Thinking in Bets
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The world is changing fast. Political risk - the probability that a political action could significantly impact a company's business - is affecting more businesses in more ways than ever before. A generation ago, political risk mostly involved a handful of industries dealing with governments in a few frontier markets. Today, political risk stems from a widening array of actors, including Twitter users, local officials, activists, terrorists, hackers, and more. In today's globalized world, there are no "safe" bets.
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PDF is Missing
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What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut.
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Horrible Read - Do not recommend
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This book 6 hours of hate on middle eastern people
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In Immunity to Change, authors Robert Kegan and Lisa Laskow Lahey show how our individual beliefs - along with the collective mindsets in our organizations - combine to create a natural but powerful immunity to change. By revealing how this mechanism holds us back, Kegan and Lahey give us the keys to unlock our potential and finally move forward. And by pinpointing and uprooting our own immunities to change, we can bring our organizations forward with us.
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When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a "soldier" mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe - and shoot down those we don't.
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An Excellent Book,
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The Model Thinker
- What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
- By: Scott E. Page
- Narrated by: Jamie Renell
- Length: 15 hrs and 45 mins
- Unabridged
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Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.
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It does not work on Audible
- By Hamilton Carvalho on 05-14-21
By: Scott E. Page
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Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- By: Howard Marks
- Narrated by: LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Length: 9 hrs and 39 mins
- Unabridged
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The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
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Cycles : nothing new!
- By Amazon Customer on 11-01-18
By: Howard Marks
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Thinking, Fast and Slow
- By: Daniel Kahneman
- Narrated by: Patrick Egan
- Length: 20 hrs and 2 mins
- Unabridged
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The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains....
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Difficult Listen, but Probably a Great Read
- By Mike Kircher on 01-12-12
By: Daniel Kahneman
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The Outsiders
- Eight Unconventional CEOs and Their Radically Rational Blueprint for Success
- By: William N. Thorndike
- Narrated by: Brian Troxell
- Length: 5 hrs and 52 mins
- Unabridged
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In The Outsiders, you'll learn the traits and methods striking for their consistency and relentless rationality that helped these unique leaders achieve such exceptional performance. Humble, unassuming, and often frugal, these "outsiders" shunned Wall Street and the press, and shied away from the hottest new management trends. Instead, they shared specific traits that put them and the companies they led on winning trajectories: a laser-sharp focus on per share value as opposed to earnings or sales growth; an exceptional talent for allocating capital and human resources; and the belief that cash flow, not reported earnings, determines a company's long-term value.
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Great summary of the 8 CEOs, lessons to learn from
- By Jason S on 09-04-19
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A Mind for Numbers
- How to Excel at Math and Science (Even If You Flunked Algebra)
- By: Barbara Oakley
- Narrated by: Grover Gardner
- Length: 7 hrs and 4 mins
- Unabridged
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In A Mind for Numbers, Dr. Oakley lets us in on the secrets to learning effectively - secrets that even dedicated and successful students wish they’d known earlier. Contrary to popular belief, math requires creative, as well as analytical, thinking. Most people think that there’s only one way to do a problem, when in actuality, there are often a number of different solutions - you just need the creativity to see them.
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Not quite what you expect
- By Sean P Ruggier on 07-20-22
By: Barbara Oakley
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Talk Like TED
- The 9 Public Speaking Secrets of the World's Top Minds
- By: Carmine Gallo
- Narrated by: Carmine Gallo
- Length: 7 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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Many people have a fear of public speaking or are insecure about their ability to give a successful presentation. Now public speaking coach and best-selling author Carmine Gallo explores what makes a great presentation by examining the widely acclaimed TED Talks, which have redefined the elements of a successful presentation and become the gold standard for public speaking. TED - which stands for technology, entertainment, and design - brings together the world's leading thinkers.
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Gallo cuts to the chase...
- By Carol Crouse on 03-05-14
By: Carmine Gallo
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The Technology Trap
- Capital, Labor, and Power in the Age of Automation
- By: Carl Benedikt Frey
- Narrated by: Richard Lyddon
- Length: 15 hrs and 31 mins
- Unabridged
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From the Industrial Revolution to the age of artificial intelligence, The Technology Trap takes a sweeping look at the history of technological progress and how it has radically shifted the distribution of economic and political power among society’s members.
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Very good
- By Brad on 07-04-19
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7 Powers
- The Foundations of Business Strategy
- By: Hamilton Helmer
- Narrated by: Joel Richards
- Length: 4 hrs and 49 mins
- Unabridged
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7 Powers breaks fresh ground by constructing a comprehensive strategy toolset that is easy for you to learn, communicate, and quickly apply. Drawing on his decades of experience as a business strategy adviser, active equity investor and Stanford University teacher Hamilton Helmer develops from first principles a practical theory of strategy rooted in the notion of power, those conditions which create the potential for persistent differential returns.
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"Simple but not simplistic," 7 Powers is powerful
- By Trevor M. on 06-12-19
By: Hamilton Helmer