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The Next 100 Years Audiobook

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

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Publisher's Summary

George Friedman, founder of Stratfor, has become a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, sought after for his thoughtful assessments of current trends and near-future events.

In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye on the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the Roman Empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle.

©2009 George Friedman; (P)2009 Blackstone Audio, Inc.

What the Critics Say

"A unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling....Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." (Publishers Weekly)

What Members Say

Average Customer Rating

3.9 (1299 )
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4.1 (733 )
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Performance
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  •  
    joshua 02-15-15
    joshua 02-15-15 Member Since 2014
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    "Time will tell"

    I enjoyed this book throughly. The author has some interesting ideas about what the future will hold. My biggest compliant was his predictions of future conflicts seemed definite and the outcomes predetermined. Pick up this book for an easy read that you can finish over the weekend not for piercing insight.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    Christopher Murphy Natick, MA United States 02-10-15
    Christopher Murphy Natick, MA United States 02-10-15

    Hyperbole is the Best Thing EVER!!!!

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    "Very interesting!"

    I've seen people talk about his predictions, but don't get caught up in that.

    He uses his knowledge to take a stab at predicting the next 100 years. How accurate will it be? Probably not a lot. But he called the crisis in the Ukraine six years ago. So he is starting out strong.

    All of his forecasting is just fun and interesting.

    The underlying logic is what's important. Geopolitics and US grand strategy. How the short-term need to apply this strategy leads to new enemies/allies. I think he does a fairly good job of interpreting the grand strategies of Russia, Japan and Germany too. I'm a bit less certain on Turkey, Mexico and Poland. And the subject of immigration is mind-boggling good.

    Give it a shot. It's well worth it if you don't get bogged down on the details.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    R. VERNON 01-31-15
    R. VERNON 01-31-15
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    "Great stuff"

    I love the big picture that this book paints of geopolitics. Very informative and succinctly presented. It changed my perspective of how governments are motivated.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    tchite 01-28-15
    tchite 01-28-15 Member Since 2013
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    "Surprisingly detailed and plausible"

    Projecting the next hundred years is impossible of course. But this book makes very plausible predictions. Written in 2009 and read by me in 2015, I can see he got a the scarcity of fossil fuels wrong. We will have hundreds of year supply with fracking and even newer extraction technologies. But other predictions like the disappearance of Russia and China as major players geopolitically is unexpected. But it sounds plausible after reading the explanation in the book. The author nailed his prediction of Russia encroaching on Eastern Europe in 2014.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    merritte 01-12-15
    merritte 01-12-15 Member Since 2014
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    "Interesting sometimes a little far fetched"

    His was an interesting perspective on the future, the economic and social predictions seemed realistic, the predicted wars seemed a little far fetched but over all it was interesting and often times fun to listen to.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Paul Portland, OR, United States 01-03-15
    Paul Portland, OR, United States 01-03-15
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    "Awesome assessment of the future!"

    I feel smarter just for having listened to this! Your personal politics will not be challenged by this book, but you will still learn more than you thought possible about the future is the world. Definitely interesting for the period 2010-2040, which will affect most of us

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Craig 12-29-14
    Craig 12-29-14

    I like to listen to business, self-development, behavioural and books that challenge my perspective

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    "Interesting insights"

    Overall I felt the book was worth the purchase. It had interesting insights into the reasons behind why certain events (reactions) occur by political groups, as well as explaining the much talk about concern of who will be the next superpower. I enjoyed it.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    vivek North Brunswick, NJ, United States 09-08-14
    vivek North Brunswick, NJ, United States 09-08-14 Member Since 2016
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    "Crap"
    What disappointed you about The Next 100 Years?

    Absolutely no research.


    What could George Friedman have done to make this a more enjoyable book for you?

    The book was enjoyable, like a book of jokes. The USA would dominate because programming language is in English.


    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    pratalife Singapore 07-31-14
    pratalife Singapore 07-31-14 Member Since 2017

    imho - ymmv

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    "The Futurologist's Greatest Sin"

    For the first few chapters I was sold - some fascinating analysis of the forces that shape culture and history.

    Unfortunately these were the ones that largely dealt with the past and present. When it came to discussing the future (most of the rest of the book), it totally jumped the shark.

    At one point the author writes "this may seem like science fiction". Well, yes, but *bad* science fiction - you know, the kind that is unintentionally steampunk because it doesn't recognise just how many anachronistic assumptions it projects into the future?

    It is kind of pointless to delve into a point-by-point rebuttal, as there is no reason why I should be any better than the author at predicting the future. But I can probably summarise my disquiet in a couple of themes:

    1. Technology - The author massively underestimates and seems quite blind to the impact of technology, especially computing. The internet only gets a passing reference and is not linked to any major factors in the author's thesis. Worse yet, some of the author's most important points are founded on assumptions that are already being eroded by technology in 2013. Case in point is the surveillance and command-and-control imperatives that the author believes will lead to the US establishing "battlestars" in space, which in turn will lead to "World War III" .. yet we are already seeing advances in terrestrial drones outstrip even what the author believe battlestars will be capable of in another 30 years.

    2. Sovereign States - there seems to be an underlying assumption that sovereign states are really the only actors on the stage that will shape how history unfolds. It all feels very 18th century - I'm not even sure this is true now, let alone for the next 100 years. It ignores the fact that people are getting harder to control en-masse thanks to globalisation and communications (who predicted the "Arab Spring"?), and it diminishes the influence of other forces, like corporations, or even nature (climate change or not). I'd believe the author's moon settlements more if he cast them as products of private enterprise - lead by the likes of Elon Musk aka Tony Stark - rather than a phoenix-like re-emergence of massive government space programs.

    Rating the book is an unexpected quandary. On the one hand, I was engaged enough to enjoy reading to the end. However it was more with comic relief than any sense that I was exploring what might really happen this century. And for a book that is purportedly to be about the future to leave me totally incredulous is kind of the ultimate sin, hence the 1-star.

    So unless you are an academic who needs to research everything, I think time might be better spent re-watching something like "Terminator", or "The Day After Tomorrow" - far more enjoyable, and probably just as likely visions of the future. Or more constructively, read Black Swan, because they too seem to be missing from this story.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
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    Drobnisd Santa Fe, NM USA 05-28-14
    Drobnisd Santa Fe, NM USA 05-28-14 Member Since 2012
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    "More Science Fantasy than Geopolitical Analysis"
    Would you try another book from George Friedman and/or William Hughes?

    This is an intermittently interesting extension of current events 100 years into the future. It was written in 2010, and I listened in mid-2014, and it has already begun to veer off the road. I fear that Friedman's projection of Russia's collapse in the 2020s is a bit of wishful thinking, and the lapse of China into irrelevancy in the 2030s is even more fanciful.

    Nonetheless, he presents some interesting ways of thinking about current world events and geopolitics. However these ideas wear very thin after a short while, and his notions about space-based conflict in 2050 appear little more than Science Fantasy, given that none of the technology necessary appear to be under any kind of development.


    Any additional comments?

    One George Friedman is probably enough for me.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful

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