Business Forecasting

Now nearing its 60th printing in English and translated into 19 languages, Michael E. Porter's Competitive Strategy has transformed the theory, practice, and teaching of business strategy throughout the world.

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.

Radical uncertainty changes the way we should think about decision-making. For over half a century economics has assumed that people behave rationally by optimizing among well-defined choices. Behavioral economics questioned how far people are rational, pointing to the cognitive biases that seem to describe actual behavior.

Guessing your inventory is costing you more than you realize. Stockouts cost sales. Overstock ties up cash. This practical guide provides a forecasting system that you can implement in just one hour, even if your data is messy and incomplete. With the Pull → Pattern → Trigger method, you’ll learn to smooth out seasonality, set reorder points, and build a clear purchase plan you can trust. Inside, you’ll discover how to: Pull 12 months of sales data into a clean, usable sheet. Identify spot demand patterns and filter out promotional noise. Set reorder triggers based on supplier lead ...

7 Powers breaks fresh ground by constructing a comprehensive strategy toolset that is easy for you to learn, communicate, and quickly apply. Drawing on his decades of experience as a business strategy adviser, active equity investor and Stanford University teacher Hamilton Helmer develops from first principles a practical theory of strategy rooted in the notion of power, those conditions which create the potential for persistent differential returns. Using rich real-world examples, Helmer rigorously characterizes exactly what your business must achieve to create power.

In their book Abundance, best-selling authors and futurists Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler tackled grand global challenges, such as poverty, hunger, and energy. Then, in Bold, they chronicled the use of exponential technologies that allowed the emergence of powerful new entrepreneurs. Now the best-selling authors are back with The Future Is Faster Than You Think, a blueprint for how our world will change in response to the next 10 years of rapid technological disruption.

In Humanocracy, Gary Hamel and Michele Zanini make a passionate, data-driven argument for uninstalling bureaucracy and reinventing management as we know it. In this extensively updated and expanded edition, listeners will find new and compelling case studies, the latest research findings, and a wealth of fresh and provocative insights.

What if your business could climb higher than you ever imagined? Every great company starts with a dream—of A-players working together, thriving in a strong culture, delivering exceptional results. But somewhere along the way, that dream gets lost in the chaos of growth. In Peak Performance, visionary coach Gregory Cleary reveals the proven system behind dozens of high-value business transformations. Built on five foundational principles—People, Purpose, Playbooks, Performance, and Profits—the Pinnacle Formula helps leaders unlock clarity, build unstoppable teams, and scale with confidence.

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.

With the increasing complexity of modern cloud-based systems, an effective enterprise architecture program is more critical than ever. In this practical book, author Tanu McCabe from Capital One provides proven frameworks and practices to define an effective enterprise architecture strategy—one that will enable software and enterprise architects to create and implement great architecture strategies.

In The Strategy Dialogues, you will find the answers to these questions. In this transformative book, former US Assistant Secretary of State, accomplished CEO, and award-winning professor Dr. John Hillen invites you to eavesdrop on a series of strategy workshops and conversations, offering a front-row seat to witness the basic tools of strategic thinking applied to real-world organizational challenges.

Many companies are stuck with digital transformations that are not moving the needle. There are no quick fixes but there is a playbook. The answer is in rewiring your business so hundreds, thousands, of teams can harness technology to continuously create great customer experiences, lower unit costs, and generate value. It's the capabilities of the organization that win the race. McKinsey Digital's top leaders Eric Lamarre, Kate Smaje, and Rodney W. Zemmel provide proven how-to details on what it takes in six comprehensive sections.

Why is profitable growth so hard to achieve and sustain? Most executives manage their companies as if the solution to that problem lies in the external environment: find an attractive market, formulate the right strategy, win new customers. But when Bain & Company's Chris Zook and James Allen researched this question, they found that when companies fail to achieve their growth targets, 90 percent of the time the root causes are internal, not external.

En su manera franca y entretenida, Mike Michalowicz revela por qué la fórmula tradicional ventas - gastos = ganancia no sólo es contraria a la conducta humana, sino un mito que te encierra en un ciclo interminable de vender más y aprovechar menos.

You can build a home service business that is profitable EVERY month of the year. Offseasons will keep you poor. I hate offseasons. I used to waste $100,000 every winter. I didn't know how to generate leads during the slow months. My revenue dropped. My profits went negative. I had to lay off all my employees! This book fixes that problem. This book contains the playbooks that took me from sleeping in my office closet to owning a business that generates $50,000,000+ per year. When I started my lawn care business, I had no systems. This almost cost me my life in a workplace accident.

While most business thinkers focus on the endgame, Snider demonstrates that your successful exit is based on what you do now to unlock the value trapped in your business. His value acceleration methodology will give you the steps to accomplish the exit planning necessary to make you five to ten times wealthier.

Are you tired of trading hours for dollars? Do you dream of building a business that gives you true time and financial freedom? In this groundbreaking book, land investing expert Mark J. Podolsky reveals the step-by-step system he used to go from working 50+ hours a week to just 2 hours a month - while dramatically increasing his income. Drawing on his years of experience mentoring thousands of land investors, Podolsky lays out a proven blueprint for transforming your land business into a passive income machine that runs on autopilot.

Paradigmatic shifts in the business landscape, known as inflection points, can either create new, entrepreneurial opportunities or they can lead to devastating consequences. Rita McGrath contends that inflection points, though they may seem sudden, are not random. Every seemingly overnight shift is the final stage of a process that has been subtly building for some time. Armed with the right strategies and tools, smart businesses can see these inflection points coming and use them to gain a competitive advantage.

Africa's Business Revolution provides the inside story on business in Africa and its future growth prospects and helps executives understand and seize the opportunities for building profitable, sustainable enterprises.