Future Forecasting

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal...

From the bestselling author of The Age of Turbulence and Capitalism in America Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role...

A fascinating, eye-opening, and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the United States—and the world—from one of our most incisive futurists George Friedman has become a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, sought after for his unmatched grasp of both historical and contemporary...

Take a calmer, more practical approach to long-term financial security with Retirement Planning for Freelancers: Simple Steps Without a Traditional Pension. This beginner-friendly guide is written for freelancers, self-employed workers, independent contractors, gig workers, and other independent earners who need to prepare for retirement without relying on an employer pension. Inside, readers will find clear explanations of retirement-planning basics, the challenges of irregular income, the importance of emergency savings, ways to build consistent saving habits, simple frameworks for ...

Gigatrends offers a roadmap for navigating six of the most disruptive trends shaping the future. Humanity stands at the precipice of a remarkable new era in global history filled with both immense opportunities and daunting challenges. Gigatrends examines how six disruptive trends can be harnessed to create new social, economic, and organizational solutions that will usher in the promise of a human-centered future for billions of people.

We live in a world where businesses can transform overnight, and signs of change can be found long before an industry shift happens. Most people just don't know how to see them. After a career spent helping brands anticipate what's coming next across healthcare, technology, and other rapidly evolving sectors, I've learned that the future doesn't arrive suddenly. It arrives quietly. It shows up first in the subtle ways people talk, the small changes in what they value, and the emerging behaviors happening at the edges of culture. By the time the shift hits the mainstream, the opportunity has...

Discover what the future has in store with divination! Unlock the enigmatic portals to the unknown and tap into the cosmic energies that shape destinies. Whether you're a novice to the world of divination or a seasoned practitioner, this comprehensive guide will immerse you in the potent arts of foreseeing the future. Delve into age-old Spells and Rituals: Tarot Card Reading: Decode the symbolism of the tarot to unravel life's mysteries. Lecanomancy: Let the ripples in water reveal the truths you seek. Runestone Casting: Harness the power of ancient runes and let them guide your path. ...

Businesses, organizations and society-at-large are all subject to unforeseeable events and incidents that often have a dramatic impact upon prosperity and profit. Due to their unpredictable nature, business leaders and executive teams are unable to prepare for these specific events. But, through innovation, strategizing and an open-minded approach, they can restructure their organization and practices in order to mitigate (or even take advantage of) the impact of such events.

NATIONAL BESTSELLER In this “gripping narrative of a world on the cusp of profound change” (New Statesman), an award-winning journalist and leading international social researcher argue that the global population’s inevitable decline will dramatically reshape our social, political, and...

Introducing the ultimate guide to mastering the art of forecasting economic growth! Whether you're an aspiring economist or a seasoned investor, "The Art of Forecasting Economic Growth" is your go-to source for unlocking the secrets of economic forecasting. This comprehensive eBook takes you on a journey through 19 chapters, each designed to give you a deep understanding of the factors that influence economic growth. From the importance of economic indicators to the effects of government policies, international trade, and environmental factors, this eBook covers all the essential topics. ...

In today’s unpredictable environment, supply chains need to do more than just react; they must foresee, adjust, and lead change. Future-Ready Supply Chain Management by Dennis V. Rozario offers a practical action plan for leaders navigating volatility, complexity, and rapid innovation. This book is essential for executives, educators, and innovators focused on building smarter, faster, and more resilient supply chains.

This audiobook provides a comprehensive exploration of the circular economy, a sustainable alternative to the traditional linear economic model. Listeners will learn key principles, strategies, and innovations driving circularity across industries. Through case studies, practical applications, and expert insights, learners will gain actionable knowledge on waste reduction, resource recovery, sustainable design, business models, and policy frameworks.

A rapid and massively disruptive shift from centralized to distributed organizations has already begun. But current leadership practices were designed for large centralized organizations, making them increasingly obsolete. Bob Johansen, who has been projecting future trends from Silicon Valley since 1968, outlines five literacies leaders need to develop to cope with this brave new world.

Clarity. Confidence. Momentum. What if every decision you made could bring you closer to the life you truly want? In today’s world of constant noise, endless choices, and overthinking, it’s easy to get stuck in doubt. The Future of Decisive Choice offers a breakthrough path forward, showing you how to combine the wisdom of your intuition with the precision of artificial intelligence to make decisions that feel aligned, empowered, and unstoppable. Author Karen Romine introduces a transformational approach that goes beyond quick fixes.

New York Times bestseller! Legendary investment guru Ric Edelman offers a prescient personal finance guide on how technology and science is reshaping the way we save, invest, and plan for the future. In The Truth About Your Future, award-winning financial advisor Ric Edelman reveals how...

This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his profession and...

In What's Your Moonshot? trend and innovation strategist John Sanei explains how to ask the bigger, bolder, more courageous questions that will help you thrive - rather than merely survive - in our exponentially changing times. With a future-focused victor mindset, Sanei decodes the mega-trends that are reshaping human behavior and the way we do business - not to mention, the way we live our lives.

Every sign points to a collapsing worldwide population by the end of this century. In his new book Dennis Marx uses statistical and evolutionary analysis to show… That the population explosion of the 20th century has turned into the population implosion of the 21st century That worldwide human fertility is falling Humans are currently evolving exponentially faster than at any time in the past How these new trends will effect business, politics and culture. How business and investment practices can best take advantage of these trends. By examining the demographic details across the globe, ...

For the past 10 years, Rohit Bhargava’s signature annual Non-Obvious Trend Report has helped over a million readers discover more than 100 trends changing our culture. Now for the first time, Rohit and his team of Non-Obvious trend curators reveal 10 revolutionary new megatrends that are transforming how we work, play, and live.