Showing results by author "Dan Gardner"

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    • Superforecasting

    • The Art and Science of Prediction
    • By: Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
    • Narrated by: Joel Richards
    • Length: 9 hrs and 45 mins
    • Unabridged
    • Overall
      4.5 out of 5 stars 2,853
    • Performance
      4.5 out of 5 stars 2,463
    • Story
      4.5 out of 5 stars 2,465

    Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

    • 5 out of 5 stars
    • Great for Experts

    • By Michael on 02-20-17

    Regular price: $19.95

    • Future Babble

    • Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
    • By: Dan Gardner
    • Narrated by: Walter Dixon
    • Length: 11 hrs and 2 mins
    • Unabridged
    • Overall
      4 out of 5 stars 49
    • Performance
      4 out of 5 stars 32
    • Story
      4 out of 5 stars 31

    In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.

    • 5 out of 5 stars
    • Sobering and Informative

    • By Christopher on 08-24-11
    • Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
    • By: Dan Gardner
    • Narrated by: Walter Dixon
    • Length: 11 hrs and 2 mins
    • Release date: 03-16-11
    • 4 out of 5 stars 49 ratings

    Regular price: $27.99