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Dan Gardner

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

UNABRIDGED
- By Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Narrated By Joel Richards
- Length: 9 hrs and 45 mins
- Release Date: 09-29-15
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

UNABRIDGED (9 hrs and 45 mins)

By Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner

Narrated By Joel Richards

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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
Michael says: "Great for Experts"
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

UNABRIDGED
- By Dan Gardner
- Narrated By Walter Dixon
- Whispersync for Voice-ready
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- Length: 11 hrs and 2 mins
- Release Date: 03-16-11
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

UNABRIDGED (11 hrs and 2 mins)

By Dan Gardner

Narrated By Walter Dixon

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In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.
Christopher says: "Sobering and Informative"

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Dan Gardner

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway