The Improbability Principle

Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

De: David J. Hand

Narrado por: Paul Hodgson

In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month.
But Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough.
Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. Along the way, he teaches us how to use the Improbability Principle in our own lives—including how to cash in at a casino and how to recognize when a medicine is truly effective.
An irresistible adventure into the laws behind "chance" moments and a trusty guide for understanding the world and universe we live in, The Improbability Principle will transform how you think about serendipity and luck, whether it's in the world of business and finance or you're merely sitting in your backyard, tossing a ball into the air and wondering where it will land.

Extremely tedious

Any additional comments?

This is the worst of the excellent probability/chance audiobooks I've got from Audible. It is more technical; perhaps a better fit for mathematicians or the more mathematically inclined.

Also, tables and figures are being very often referenced and they were not included with the audio version via .pdf file. Speaking of .pdf files, why are they not connected to and viewable by, the app?

Great Principle - Pretty Good Book

This book was highly repetitive. Not in content but in principle. It could have been a lot shorter, with the same effect.

That said, the book did a great job of highlighting the likely outcome of unlikely possibilities on a large scale.

interesting, fun and important

great book, but probably an easier read than a listen. the more our lives become dominated by the law of large numbers and stastics, the more important books like this one become. I am glad that I read it and I hope it has armed me better against misleading statistics, bad math, common mistakes and outright falsehoods. I do feel that I would have enjoyed this book more as a regular book though. It was expertly read, but if you don't work with numbers or statistics daily it might be harder for some to keep track of all the numbers and examples in your mind while the book is being read. Still, great book, good performance.

Accessible Treatment of of difficultsubject

Probability principles are counterintuitive and difficult to explain and understand. This book does a good job of explains and using interesting examples and reenforing these examples. Some may find the print edition easier to follow.

A book with many fine insights to keep in mind

Books like this would be better read, imo. Very hard to refer back to anything, as you might want to if the subject matter interests you, without you writing up your own extensive notes. Chapter titles would be nice!

Content-wise, I enjoyed the second half more than the first, as the subject matter became more sophisticated. A summary chapter would be nice. The narrator was good.