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Forecasts
- The Tail Is Wagging the Dog; The Answer Is Wagging the Question
- Narrado por: Mimi Spillane
- Duración: 55 m
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This book is aimed at newcomers to the field of logical reasoning, particularly those who, to borrow a phrase from Pascal, are so made that they understand best through visuals. I have selected a small set of common errors in reasoning and visualized them using memorable illustrations that are supplemented with lots of examples. The hope is that the reader will learn from these pages some of the most common pitfalls in arguments and be able to identify and avoid them in practice. For the audiobook version, the illustrations have been replaced with short sketches, voiced in a variety of accents.
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Resumen del Editor
This chapter-level audiobook can change the way you listen to BigShots - mostly businesspersons with a snapshot or two of politicians - as they pontificate for public consumption and personal gain. You'll recognize the spin, that dastardly, polite euphemism for lies that the advertising/PR folks coined years ago to anoint their profession with a bit of undeserved dignity. In the process you might gain a more realistic grasp of what's going on around you and how your mind is being manipulated, aka brainwashed.
In all modesty, you're in good hands; some would say the best, which could be considered bullshit in itself: Who decides?
I would be first in line for an honorary doctorate in bullshit if, by some stretch of academic chutzpa, it were tendered by any of the world's great universities. (Actually, I could easily make the case that degrees in business communications or political science are really degrees in bullshit, but that's another book.) I am a master at crafting bullshit, and you, dear listener, will do well to listen to me. I've written millions of words - speeches, strategic plans, articles, and all sorts of marketing lies and spins that I too politely call corporate gargle. I've done that for a gaggle of executives who toil for businesses large and small, manufacturers and service providers, technologists and accountants. I've been practicing this dark, draconian art and teaching others how to follow my lead for 40 years, and, as I say jokingly, it shows in my wrinkled face and cynical attitude that I, with a straight face, call realistic, a true reflection of the world.
You'll laugh out loud many times as you wander through the audio. My cheeky, witty, acerbic, in-your-face style is sprinkled with the irony of a true gadfly. You'll resonate - see yourself and your bosses in many of my damning examples as clearly as if you had lived them....
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Well written; poorly narrated
- De C. Youngblood en 09-30-13
De: Robert Jackall
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The Bet
- Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble over Earth's Future
- De: Paul Sabin
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
- Duración: 7 h y 10 m
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In 1980, the iconoclastic economist Julian Simon challenged celebrity biologist Paul Ehrlich to a bet. Their wager on the future prices of five metals captured the public’s imagination as a test of coming prosperity or doom. Ehrlich, author of the landmark book The Population Bomb, predicted that rising populations would cause overconsumption, resource scarcity, and famine—with apocalyptic consequences for humanity.
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Why can't we even discuss Global Overpopulaion???
- De Leslie deGraffenried en 10-19-15
De: Paul Sabin
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Simply Electrifying
- The Technology That Transformed the World, from Benjamin Franklin to Elon Musk
- De: Craig R. Roach
- Narrado por: Tom Perkins
- Duración: 15 h y 1 m
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Simply Electrifying: The Technology That Transformed the World, from Benjamin Franklin to Elon Musk brings to life the 250-year history of electricity through the stories of the men and women who used it to transform our world: Benjamin Franklin, James Watt, Michael Faraday, Samuel F.B. Morse, Thomas Edison, Samuel Insull, Albert Einstein, Rachel Carson, Elon Musk, and more. In the process, it reveals for the first time the complete, thrilling, and often dangerous story of electricity's historic discovery, development, and worldwide application.
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decent, but ended up disappointing.
- De Alexander Douglass en 12-28-18
De: Craig R. Roach
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Car Guys vs. Bean Counters
- The Battle for the Soul of American Business
- De: Bob Lutz
- Narrado por: Norman Dietz
- Duración: 9 h y 36 m
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In 2001, General Motors hired Bob Lutz out of retirement with a mandate to save the company by making great cars again. He launched a war against penny pinching, office politics, turf wars, and risk avoidance. After declaring bankruptcy during the recession of 2008, GM is back on track thanks to its embrace of Lutz's philosophy. When Lutz got into the auto business in the early sixties, CEOs knew that if you captured the public's imagination with great cars, the money would follow.
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Opinionated and one-sided
- De Michael Parks en 06-23-11
De: Bob Lutz
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The Language of Trust
- De: Michael Maslansky
- Narrado por: Michael Maslansky
- Duración: 7 h y 26 m
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Still struggling through the financial crisis that began in 2008, consumers aren't buying traditional sales approaches anymore. So how do salespeople, corporate communicators, managers, and marketers sell their ideas, products, and services to a generation of customers who are more skeptical and less influenced by conventional marketing than ever before?
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Are you communicating or just talking?
- De Shawn en 11-08-10
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The Real Global Warming Disaster
- Is the Obsession with 'Climate Change' Turning Out to Be the Most Costly Scientific Blunder in History?
- De: Christopher Booker
- Narrado por: Ric Jerrom
- Duración: 16 h y 18 m
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This original audiobook considers one of the most extraordinary scientific and political stories of our time: how in the 1980s a handful of scientists came to believe that mankind faced catastrophe from runaway global warming, and how today this has persuaded politicians to land us with what promises to be the biggest bill in history. Christopher Booker interweaves the science of global warming with that of its growing political consequences, showing how just when the politicians are threatening to change our Western way of life beyond recognition, the scientific evidence behind the global warming theory is being challenged like never before.
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The message made my blood boil
- De George en 10-14-14
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Warnings
- Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes
- De: Richard A. Clarke, R.P. Eddy
- Narrado por: L.J. Ganser
- Duración: 12 h y 45 m
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Warnings is the story of the future of national security, threatening technologies, the US economy, and possibly the fate of civilization. In Greek mythology Cassandra foresaw calamities, but was cursed by the gods to be ignored. Modern-day Cassandras clearly predicted the disasters of Katrina, Fukushima, the Great Recession, the rise of ISIS, and many more. Like the mythological Cassandra, they were ignored. There are others right now warning of impending disasters, but how do we know which warnings are likely to be right?
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On prediction, catastrophe and mitigation
- De S. Yates en 02-28-18
De: Richard A. Clarke, y otros
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The Halo Effect
- ...and the 8 Other Business Delusions That Deceive Managers
- De: Phil Rosenzweig
- Narrado por: Jim Manchester
- Duración: 6 h y 57 m
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Much of our business thinking is shaped by delusions that distort our understanding of the real reasons for a company's performance. The most pervasive delusion is the Halo Effect. When a company's sales and profits are up, people often conclude that it has a brilliant strategy, a visionary leader, capable employees, and a superb corporate culture. When performance falters, they conclude the opposite. In fact, little may have changed.
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slow start
- De michael en 01-03-10
De: Phil Rosenzweig
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Adapt
- Why Success Always Starts with Failure
- De: Tim Harford
- Narrado por: Jonathan Keeble
- Duración: 9 h y 53 m
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In this groundbreaking work, Tim Harford shows us a new and inspiring approach to solving the most pressing problems in our lives. Harford argues that today’s challenges simply cannot be tackled with ready-made solutions and expert opinions; the world has become far too unpredictable and profoundly complex. Instead, we must adapt. Deftly weaving together psychology, evolutionary biology, anthropology, physics, and economics, along with compelling stories of hard-won lessons learned in the field, Harford makes a passionate case for the importance of adaptive trial-and-error....
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Hidden Agenda
- De Lawrence en 05-20-13
De: Tim Harford
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Creating Freedom
- The Lottery of Birth, the Illusion of Consent, and the Fight for Our Future
- De: Raoul Martinez
- Narrado por: Steve West
- Duración: 17 h y 35 m
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A manifesto for deep and radical change, Creating Freedom explores the limits placed on freedom by human nature and society. It explodes myths, calling for a profound transformation in the way we think about democracy, equality, and our own identities.
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The BEST book, I've listened to in a long time
- De G. Newton en 04-16-17
De: Raoul Martinez
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Climate Shock
- The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet
- De: Gernot Wagner, Martin L. Weitzman
- Narrado por: Grover Gardner
- Duración: 4 h y 54 m
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Wagner and Martin Weitzman explore in lively, clear terms the likely repercussions of a hotter planet, drawing on and expanding from work previously unavailable to general audiences. They show that the longer we wait to act, the more likely an extreme event will happen. A city might go underwater.
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Nuance, balance, risk management.
- De John Christens en 11-23-23
De: Gernot Wagner, y otros
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Forecasts
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- Ken
- 10-09-20
No Bull book
I heard a quote today, that I can't now recall, I searched this quote in audible and behold this book. It was concise and full of jumping off points and references for better understanding bs as in bull. if you're familiar with the trivium than you'll recognize some terminology used in this book and if you are not familiar with the trivium, don't fret. This is a great book for anyway who deals with management, politicians or "authorities" in general. I was pleasantly surprised and will listen again.
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