
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Incerto, Book 1
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Narrated by:
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Joe Ochman
About this listen
Fooled by Randomness is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.
Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb - veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times best-selling author of The Black Swan - has penned a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
This book is about luck - or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill - the world of trading - Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Presented in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed - the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time - he embodies the “survival of the least fit”. Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness, we can be a little better prepared.
Includes bonus pdf of tables and figures.
Praise for Fooled by Randomness:
Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
©2008 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (P)2019 Random House AudioListeners also enjoyed...
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Critic reviews
“[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” (Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink)
“We need a book like this ...fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” (Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance)
“Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins...and Stephen Jay Gould.” (Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate)
“Powerful...loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” (National Review)
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The Liar's Ball
- The Extraordinary Saga of How One Building Broke the World's Toughest Tycoons
- By: Vicky Ward
- Narrated by: Jonathan Yen
- Length: 6 hrs and 35 mins
- Unabridged
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Harry Macklowe is one of the most notorious wheelers and dealers of the real-estate world, and The Liar's Ball is the story of the gamblers and thieves who populate his world. Watch as Harry makes the gutsy bid for midtown Manhattan's famous GM building and puts almost no money down, landing the billion-dollar transaction that made him the poster child for New York's real-estate royalty. Listen in on the secret conversations, back-door deals, and blackmail that put Macklowe and his cronies on top - and set them up for an enormous fall.
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Excellent. Hope Biden Gets Covered Next
- By greenemann on 07-29-21
By: Vicky Ward
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Antifragile
- Prosperare nel disordine
- By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Narrated by: Nicola Bonimelli
- Length: 18 hrs and 35 mins
- Unabridged
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Questo audiolibro offre una nuova visione del mondo. La prospettiva che cambierà le nostre idee sulla società e ispirerà le nostre scelte quotidiane. Ci aiuterà a comprendere come il nostro corpo si protegge dalle malattie e le specie viventi si evolvono, come la libertà d'impresa crea prosperità e il genio si trasforma in innovazione.
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Please write Italian version on the title
- By FA on 11-13-21
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The Drunkard's Walk
- How Randomness Rules Our Lives
- By: Leonard Mlodinow
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 9 hrs and 19 mins
- Unabridged
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In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
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Interested in statistics? This is the book.
- By Robert on 02-21-14
By: Leonard Mlodinow
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The Most Important Thing
- Uncommon Sense for The Thoughtful Investor
- By: Howard Marks
- Narrated by: John FitzGibbon
- Length: 7 hrs and 9 mins
- Unabridged
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Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career.
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Five Star Book, two Star Audiobook
- By Johnny on 06-08-15
By: Howard Marks
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The Misbehavior of Markets
- A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
- By: Benoit Mandelbrot, Richard L. Hudson
- Narrated by: Jason Olazabal
- Length: 10 hrs and 6 mins
- Unabridged
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In his first book for a general audience, Mandelbrot, with co-author Richard L. Hudson, shows how the dominant way of thinking about the behavior of markets-a set of mathematical assumptions a century old and still learned by every MBA and financier in the world-simply does not work. As he did for the physical world in his classic The Fractal Geometry of Nature, Mandelbrot here uses fractal geometry to propose a new, more accurate way of describing market behavior.
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Where are the PDF?
- By RD on 03-30-19
By: Benoit Mandelbrot, and others
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Safe Haven
- Investing for Financial Storms
- By: Mark Spitznagel
- Narrated by: Fred Berman
- Length: 6 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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What is a safe haven? What role should they play in an investment portfolio? Do we use them only to seek shelter until the passing of financial storms? Or are they something more? Contrary to everything we know from modern financial theory, can higher returns actually come as a result of lowering risk? In Safe Haven, hedge fund manager Mark Spitznagel - one of the top practitioners of safe haven investing and portfolio risk mitigation in the world - answers these questions and more.
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blah
- By JW on 09-21-21
By: Mark Spitznagel
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King of Capital
- The Remarkable Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Steve Schwarzman and Blackstone
- By: John E. Morris, David Carey
- Narrated by: George K. Wilson
- Length: 14 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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The financial establishment---banks and investment bankers, such as Citigroup, Bear Stearns, Lehman, UBS, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley---were the cowboys, recklessly assuming risks, leveraging up to astronomical levels, and driving the economy to the brink of disaster.
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Great Story Ruined by Monotone Reading
- By Marc on 04-23-13
By: John E. Morris, and others
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A Short History of Financial Euphoria
- By: John Kenneth Galbraith
- Narrated by: Liam Gerrard
- Length: 2 hrs and 8 mins
- Unabridged
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With incomparable wisdom, skill, and wit, world-renowned economist John Kenneth Galbraith traces the history of the major speculative episodes in our economy over the last three centuries. Exposing the ways in which normally sane people display reckless behavior in pursuit of profit, Galbraith asserts that our "notoriously short" financial memory is what creates the conditions for market collapse. By recognizing these signs and understanding what causes them we can guard against future recessions and have a better hold on our country's (and our own) financial destiny.
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Short and Sweet
- By Phebe on 05-19-25
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The Rule
- How I Beat the Odds in the Markets and in Life - and How You Can Too
- By: Larry Hite, Michael Covel - foreword
- Narrated by: Scott Pollak
- Length: 5 hrs and 28 mins
- Unabridged
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In The Rule, legendary trader and hedge fund pioneer Larry Hite recounts his working-class upbringing in Brooklyn as a dyslexic, partially blind kid who was anything but a model student - and how he went on to found and run Mint Investment Management Company, one of the most profitable and largest quantitative hedge funds in the world.
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Amazing story of how Larry Hite won at life
- By Amazon Customer on 04-07-22
By: Larry Hite, and others
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Think Twice
- Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
- By: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 5 hrs and 21 mins
- Unabridged
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How to Stop Yourself Before You Make Another Costly Decision - No one intentionally makes bad decisions. Yet we make them all the time. In fact, some of the worst disasters in recent history - the collapse of major investment banks, the global financial meltdown - were the result of seemingly reasonable decisions made by a lot of smart people. How does this happen? Michael J. Mauboussin argues that the correct process for deciding well - especially when the stakes are high - conflicts with how our minds naturally work.
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Nothing original
- By Kilgore Trout on 09-01-18
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Competition Demystified
- A Radically Simplified Approach to Business Strategy
- By: Judd Kahn, Bruce C. Greenwald
- Narrated by: Timothy Andrés Pabon
- Length: 14 hrs and 22 mins
- Unabridged
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Bruce Greenwald, one of the nation's leading business professors, presents a new and simplified approach to strategy that cuts through much of the fog that has surrounded the subject. Based on his hugely popular course at Columbia Business School, Greenwald and his co-author, Judd Kahn, offer an easy-to-follow method for understanding the competitive structure of your industry and developing an appropriate strategy for your specific position.
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Prof, we need the figures/graphs that’s in the the book
- By sid on 12-25-20
By: Judd Kahn, and others
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Misbehaving
- The Making of Behavioral Economics
- By: Richard H. Thaler
- Narrated by: L. J. Ganser
- Length: 13 hrs and 35 mins
- Unabridged
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Richard H. Thaler has spent his career studying the radical notion that the central agents in the economy are humans - predictable, error-prone individuals. Misbehaving is his arresting, frequently hilarious account of the struggle to bring an academic discipline back down to earth - and change the way we think about economics, ourselves, and our world.
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Great book if it's your first about Behav. Econ
- By Jay Friedman on 09-30-15
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Nudge: The Final Edition
- Improving Decisions About Money, Health, and the Environment
- By: Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 11 hrs and 33 mins
- Unabridged
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Since the original publication of Nudge more than a decade ago, the title has entered the vocabulary of businesspeople, policy makers, engaged citizens, and consumers everywhere. The book has given rise to more than 200 "nudge units" in governments around the world and countless groups of behavioral scientists in every part of the economy. It has taught us how to use thoughtful "choice architecture" - a concept the authors invented - to help us make better decisions for ourselves, our families, and our society.
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Doesn’t include a Pdf of the images the book calls out
- By John O'Connell on 08-03-21
By: Richard H. Thaler, and others
A lot to digest and doubtless that in months to come I shall have a random conversation that shall result in an aha! moment where the authors thoughts shall be blindingly obvious.
Randomly Chosen Book
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Must read it again
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The book is quite good also. A more philosophical extension to Thinking Fast And Slow by DK & AT. Would recommend.
Fantastic job by Ochman
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I look forward to listening to/reading the rest of the series. Truly an exceptional book.
Randomness is a Boon for Bounty
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Good
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this book makes you skeptic, you will learn to not take your efforts too seriously, your knowledge too important and your circumstance to severe if it were.
if you are an economist, this book would make you feel bad. if you have an MBA, this book would make you feel useless.
Not for MBAs and Economist
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The Incerto is a must read
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That said, there are some brilliant insights and great ideas in this book that strongly resonated with me. All the discussions of probability based biases that we all experience were very insightful, and immediately examples in my own life of these biases (both from myself and others) would come to mind. Overall, I certainly enjoyed this book, even if at times it felt preachy.
Some Great Highlights
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Deep thoughts but left in generalities
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Amazing book and will forever change my investment
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