Business Forecasting

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

From the bestselling author of Linchpin, Tribes, and The Dip comes an elegant little book that will inspire artists, writers, and entrepreneurs to stretch and commit to putting their best work out into the world. Creative work doesn't come with a guarantee. But there is a pattern to who succeeds...

Half of all Americans have money in the stock market, yet economists can't agree on whether investors and markets are rational and efficient, as modern financial theory assumes, or irrational and inefficient, as behavioral economists believe - and as financial bubbles, crashes, and crises suggest. This is one of the biggest debates in economics, and the value or futility of investment management and financial regulation hang on the outcome. In this groundbreaking book, Andrew W. Lo cuts through this debate with a new framework.

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal...

"...an engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit."—The Wall Street Journal A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making. When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want...

While most business thinkers focus on the endgame, Snider demonstrates that your successful exit is based on what you do now to unlock the value trapped in your business. His value acceleration methodology will give you the steps to accomplish the exit planning necessary to make you five to ten times wealthier.

What’s Keeping Your Company from Reaching the Next Level? You’ve mastered the basics of the Entrepreneurial Operating System (EOS). Your leadership team is aligned, the vision is clear, and you’re gaining traction. Now comes the real challenge: rolling out your vision and EOS company-wide. To get what you want from your business, you must take EOS beyond the leadership team and equip everyone in the organization with the tools they need to help you achieve the vision.

In their eagerly awaited book, Kim and Spear bring to light a new theory of high-achieving organizations. They examine how companies solve the most important problems better, faster, and easier than their competitors by quickly and regularly closing the gap between aspirations and real-world success. This book teaches companies that are struggling to perform how to achieve the continual greatness seen in the best of the best.

Are you tired of trading hours for dollars? Do you dream of building a business that gives you true time and financial freedom? In this groundbreaking book, land investing expert Mark J. Podolsky reveals the step-by-step system he used to go from working 50+ hours a week to just 2 hours a month - while dramatically increasing his income. Drawing on his years of experience mentoring thousands of land investors, Podolsky lays out a proven blueprint for transforming your land business into a passive income machine that runs on autopilot.

Struggling to keep your business cash flow under control? You are not alone. Many small business owners make profits on paper but still run out of cash. This book shows you how to fix that. Cash Flow Management for Small Business gives you a simple, step-by-step system to: Increase profit without increasing workload Control expenses without hurting growth Track money clearly so you always know where it goes Avoid cash shortages before they happen Build a stable, predictable cash flow system You will learn how to: Understand the difference between profit and cash flow Identify cash leaks ...

Tom Howard’s book is a step-by-step explanation of how you close the deal. Tell people how great your company is, not how big your ego is, about making the tough decisions. He chose going into the blue collar trades as a way to make his millions. You have everything to gain by learning from a master. He explains his mistakes as well as his successes, the critical importance of sales plans, empowering your employees, branding

What if your business could climb higher than you ever imagined? Every great company starts with a dream—of A-players working together, thriving in a strong culture, delivering exceptional results. But somewhere along the way, that dream gets lost in the chaos of growth. In Peak Performance, visionary coach Gregory Cleary reveals the proven system behind dozens of high-value business transformations. Built on five foundational principles—People, Purpose, Playbooks, Performance, and Profits—the Pinnacle Formula helps leaders unlock clarity, build unstoppable teams, and scale with confidence.

The best leaders aren't found. They're M.A.D.E. Win by a Hundred gives you the playbook to build a culture, a team, and a mindset that doesn't just win, it dominates. The M.A.D.E. System—Motivation, Assessment, Declaration, Execution—is a proven framework used to coach executives, entrepreneurs, and elite teams to results so decisive they redefine the competition.

En su manera franca y entretenida, Mike Michalowicz revela por qué la fórmula tradicional ventas - gastos = ganancia no sólo es contraria a la conducta humana, sino un mito que te encierra en un ciclo interminable de vender más y aprovechar menos.

Este libro consigna en sus páginas ideas innovadoras que cuestionan las ideas obsoletas de la planeación estratégica y construye una teoría desde los fundamentos acerca de ¿Qué es una estrategia?, ¿Cómo practicarla en las empresas? y ¿Cómo todos podemos ser estrategas abrazando la naturaleza emergente de la misma?

El legendario inversor John Doerr revela cómo los Objetivos y Resultados Claves (OKR) han permitido a Google lograr un crecimiento explosivo, y cómo ese método puede ayudar a cualquier organización a prosperar.

Просто быть лучшим уже недостаточно. Сегодня в конкурентной борьбе побеждают компании, у которых готовность к изменениям вшита в бизнес-модель. В четвертой книге серии Strategyzer Алекс Остервальдер и его соавторы Ив Пинье, Фред Этьембль и Алан Смит рассказывают о стратегиях адаптации успешных компаний, которые не раз перепридумывали свои бизнес-модели: Amazon, IKEA, Airbnb, Microsoft, Logitech, Zara и другие.

You know how to do the work. But were you ever taught how to run the business behind it? Many small business owners are experts at their craft, product, or profession. Yet as the business grows, they are suddenly expected to understand cash flow, budgeting, forecasting, marketing, systems, hiring, and leadership, often without a practical framework tying everything together. Running the Business offers a clear, accessible guide to operating and leading a small business with greater confidence, discipline, and purpose. Drawing on decades of experience building, operating, restructuring, and ...

What if strategy could instead be clear, simple, bold, and even actually useful? That’s what No Bullsh*t Strategy is all about. It sweeps away all the garbled corporate nonsense and dry academic theorising to leave you with pure strategic sauce, which can be actioned right away. It’ll make you see your business in a totally new light, and effortlessly unlock insights you didn’t know you had in you. Even better, it makes strategy fun.

Stop Trading Your Time for Just a Paycheck —Start Building a Scalable Empire. Most plumbing business owners are masters of their craft, but they’re stuck in the "technician trap." They’re working 60-hour weeks, managing chaotic schedules, and barely seeing the profit their hard work deserves. In Million Dollar Plumbing Business, you’ll discover the proven blueprint for transforming a service route into a high-performance, seven-figure machine. This isn't just about fixing pipes; it’s about mastering the "Wet Trades" as a high-level entrepreneur.