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What the Luck?
- The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives
- Narrado por: Tim Andres Pabon
- Duración: 7 h y 49 m
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What the Luck?
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Resumen del Editor
The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives.
In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade.
And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there's one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called regression to the mean.
Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day-to-day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless.
Freakonomics showed how economic calculations can explain seemingly counterintuitive decision-making. Thinking, Fast and Slow helped listeners identify a host of small cognitive errors that can lead to miscalculations and irrational thought. In What the Luck?, statistician and author Gary Smith sets himself a similar goal, and explains - in clear, understandable, and witty prose - how a statistical understanding of luck can change the way we see just about every aspect of our lives and can help us learn to rely less on random chance, and more on truth.
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 71
From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Nontechnical, wandering far beyond "gaming"
- De Philo en 04-02-16
De: Adam Kucharski
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Success and Luck
- Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy
- De: Robert H. Frank
- Narrado por: Robert H. Frank
- Duración: 5 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 216
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 179
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 180
How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that chance plays a much larger role in important life outcomes than most people imagine.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Not what is advertised
- De Andre en 04-18-17
De: Robert H. Frank
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Sway
- The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior
- De: Rom Brafman, Ori Brafman
- Narrado por: John Apicella
- Duración: 4 h y 52 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 773
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 498
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 496
A Harvard Business School student pays over $200 for a $20 bill. Washington, D.C., commuters ignore a free subway concert by a violin prodigy. A veteran airline pilot attempts to take off without control-tower clearance and collides with another plane on the runway. Why do we do the wildly irrational things we sometimes do?
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3 out of 5 stars
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Disappointing book
- De Martin Proulx en 12-10-08
De: Rom Brafman, y otros
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The Art of Strategy
- A Game Theorist's Guide to Success in Business and Life
- De: Barry J. Nalebuff, Avinash K. Dixit
- Narrado por: Matthew Dudley
- Duración: 17 h y 2 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 311
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 267
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 265
Game theory means rigorous strategic thinking. It’s the art of anticipating your opponent’s next moves, knowing full well that your rival is trying to do the same thing to you. Though parts of game theory involve simple common sense, much is counterintuitive, and it can only be mastered by developing a new way of seeing the world. Using a diverse array of rich case studies - from pop culture, TV, movies, sports, politics, and history - the authors show how nearly every business and personal interaction has a game-theory component to it.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Completely misleading title
- De Motorjaw en 01-28-15
De: Barry J. Nalebuff, y otros
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Super Crunchers
- Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
- De: Ian Ayres
- Narrado por: Michael Kramer
- Duración: 7 h y 34 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 850
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 273
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 275
Today, number crunching affects your life in ways you might never imagine. In this lively and groundbreaking new audiobook, economist Ian Ayres shows how today's best and brightest organizations are analyzing massive databases at lightening speed to provide greater insights into human behavior. They are the Super Crunchers.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Great book on
- De Jon en 01-31-08
De: Ian Ayres
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Mindware
- Tools for Smart Thinking
- De: Richard E. Nisbett
- Narrado por: Joe Barrett
- Duración: 10 h y 17 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 509
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 434
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 427
Many scientific and philosophical ideas are so powerful that they can be applied to our lives at home, work, and school to help us think smarter and more effectively about our behavior and the world around us. Surprisingly, many of these ideas remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, the world-renowned psychologist Richard Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail, offering a tool kit for better thinking and wiser decisions.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Sound scientific advice on how to live your life
- De Neuron en 08-26-15
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Bounce
- Mozart, Federer, Picasso, Beckham, and the Science of Success
- De: Matthew Syed
- Narrado por: James Clamp
- Duración: 7 h y 50 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 710
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 524
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 523
Few things in life are more satisfying than beating a rival. We love to win and hate to lose, whether it's on the playing field or at the ballot box, in the office or in the classroom. In this bold new look at human behavior, award-winning journalist and Olympian Matthew Syed explores the truth about our competitive nature: why we win, why we don't, and how we really play the game of life.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Very eye opening
- De Joao en 06-14-10
De: Matthew Syed
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The End of Work
- Why Your Passion Can Become Your Job
- De: John Tamny
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 4 h y 37 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 31
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Narración:5 out of 5 stars 30
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 30
From the author of Popular Economics comes a surprisingly sunny projection of America's future job market. Forget the doomsday predictions of sour-faced nostalgists who say automation and globalization will take away your dream job. The job market is only going to get better and better, according to economist John Tamny, who argues in The End of Work that the greatest gift of prosperity, beyond freedom from painful want, is the existence of work that is interesting.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Positive... fun all the way... no boring parts
- De Robert J. Marks en 02-20-19
De: John Tamny
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The Shift
- The Next Evolution in Baseball Thinking
- De: Russell A. Carleton, Jeff Passan - foreword
- Narrado por: Kyle Tait
- Duración: 9 h y 42 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 60
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 51
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 50
With its three-hour-long contests, 162-game seasons, and countless measurable variables, baseball is a sport which lends itself to self-reflection and obsessive analysis. It's a thinking game. It's also a shifting game. Nowhere is this more evident than in the statistical revolution which has swept through the pastime in recent years, bringing metrics like WAR, OPS, and BABIP into front offices and living rooms alike.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Baseball Players are Human? Who knew?
- De Casey en 06-20-19
De: Russell A. Carleton, y otros
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Heads I Win, Tails I Win
- Why Smart Investors Fail and How to Tilt the Odds in Your Favor
- De: Spencer Jakab
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 8 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 86
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 74
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 75
According to Wall Street Journal investing columnist Spencer Jakab, most of us have no idea how much money we're leaving on the table - or that the average saver doesn't come anywhere close to earning the "average" returns touted in those glossy brochures. We're handicapped not only by psychological biases and a fear of missing out but by an industry with multimillion-dollar marketing budgets and an eye on its own bottom line, not yours.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Got my head screwed on straight
- De Rob Barry en 12-20-18
De: Spencer Jakab
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The Playmaker's Advantage
- De: Leonard Zaichkowsky, Daniel Peterson
- Narrado por: Fred Sanders
- Duración: 10 h y 10 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 37
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 31
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 31
Coaches search for it. Parents dream of it. Fans love it. Athletes want it. The Playmaker on any sports team possesses it: an elusive, intangible quality combining anticipation, perception, and decision-making skills. This quality raises their game above the competition and allows them to pass when no one else can, anticipate the movement of opponents, and avoid costly mental mistakes, thus holding the team together. Using today's technology and tools, it is now possible to understand, assess, and train this sixth sense rather than just hope it magically appears.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Applies to all aspects of life, coaching and business
- De Dave en 12-27-19
De: Leonard Zaichkowsky, y otros
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Average is Over
- Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
- De: Tyler Cowen
- Narrado por: Andrew Garman
- Duración: 8 h y 42 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 377
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 306
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 303
The widening gap between rich and poor means dealing with one big, uncomfortable truth: If you're not at the top, you're at the bottom. The global labor market is changing radically thanks to growth at the high end and the low. About three quarters of the jobs created in the United States since the great recession pay only a bit more than minimum wage. Still, the United States has more millionaires and billionaires than any country ever, and we continue to mint them.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Disappointing analysis of future
- De JKBart en 12-10-13
De: Tyler Cowen
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You Herd Me!
- I'll Say It If Nobody Else Will
- De: Colin Cowherd
- Narrado por: Colin Cowherd
- Duración: 7 h y 38 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 506
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 459
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 457
In this age of billion dollar athletic marketing campaigns, “feel good” philosophy with no connection to reality, and a Sports Media echo chamber that’s all too eager swallow whatever idiotic notion happens to be in vogue at the moment, it’s tough to find people who aren’t afraid to say what they’re really thinking.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Great book, Repeats majority of themes from radio
- De Troy en 01-20-14
De: Colin Cowherd
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More Than You Know
- Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 7 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 206
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 177
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 175
Since its first publication, Michael J. Mauboussin's popular guide to wise investing has been translated into eight languages and has been named best business book by BusinessWeek and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Now updated to reflect current research and expanded to include new chapters on investment philosophy, psychology, and strategy and science as they pertain to money management.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Liked it better when it was written by Taleb
- De Ian en 11-24-18
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Simple Rules
- How to Thrive in a Complex World
- De: Donald Sull, Kathleen M. Eisenhardt
- Narrado por: Jeff Cummings
- Duración: 7 h y 54 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 724
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 616
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 610
We struggle to manage complexity every day. We follow intricate diets to lose weight, juggle multiple remotes to operate our home entertainment systems, face proliferating data at the office, and hack through thickets of regulation at tax time. But complexity isn't destiny. Sull and Eisenhardt argue there's a better way: by developing a few simple yet effective rules, you can tackle even the most complex problems.
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5 out of 5 stars
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If you are in any sort of leadership position or plan to be, read this book
- De Rex en 06-09-15
De: Donald Sull, y otros
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Ahead of the Curve
- Inside the Baseball Revolution
- De: Brian Kenny
- Narrado por: Brian Kenny
- Duración: 10 h y 9 m
- Versión completa
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General5 out of 5 stars 518
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Narración:5 out of 5 stars 478
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 476
Most people who resist logical thought in baseball preach "tradition" and "respecting the game". But many of baseball's traditions go back to the 19th century, when the pitcher's job was to provide the batter with a ball he could hit and fielders played without gloves. Instead of fearing change, Brian Kenny wants fans to think critically, reject outmoded groupthink, and embrace the changes that have come with the "sabermetric era".
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5 out of 5 stars
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Wonderful detail on baseballs past and future
- De Bradley en 07-27-16
De: Brian Kenny
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The Captain Class
- The Hidden Force That Creates the World's Greatest Teams
- De: Sam Walker
- Narrado por: Keith Szarabajka
- Duración: 9 h y 24 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 977
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 829
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 822
Several years ago, Sam Walker set out to answer one of the most hotly debated questions in sports: What are the greatest teams of all time? He devised a formula, then applied it to thousands of teams from leagues all over the world, from the NBA to the English Premier League to Olympic field hockey. When he was done, he had a list of the 16 most dominant teams in history. At that point he became obsessed with another, more complicated question: What did these freak teams have in common?
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1 out of 5 stars
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Dates and names
- De Hunter en 11-28-21
De: Sam Walker
Las personas que vieron esto también vieron...
-
Standard Deviations
- Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and Other Ways to Lie with Statistics
- De: Gary Smith
- Narrado por: Tim Andres Pabon
- Duración: 9 h y 20 m
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 351
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 297
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 296
As Nobel Prize-winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, "If you torture data long enough, it will confess." Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing.
-
5 out of 5 stars
-
Now, I can't talk to people.....
- De Andrew Dunbar en 09-28-21
De: Gary Smith
-
The AI Delusion
- De: Gary Smith
- Narrado por: Eric Michael Summerer
- Duración: 8 h y 40 m
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 42
-
Narración:5 out of 5 stars 33
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 33
We live in an incredible period in history. The computer revolution may be even more life-changing than the Industrial Revolution. We can do things with computers that could never be done before, and computers can do things for us that could never be done before. But our love of computers should not cloud our thinking about their limitations. The AI Delusion explains why we should not be intimidated into thinking that computers are infallible, that data-mining is knowledge discovery, and that black boxes should be trusted.
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4 out of 5 stars
-
The non-obvious obvious
- De Jordan Worley en 07-19-19
De: Gary Smith
-
Saved by Science
- The Hope and Promise of Synthetic Biology
- De: Mark J. Poznansky PhD
- Narrado por: Jim Seybert
- Duración: 6 h y 20 m
- Versión completa
-
General5 out of 5 stars 4
-
Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 4
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 4
With all the advances in science in the last century, why are there still so many infectious diseases? Why haven’t we found cures for difficult cancers? Why hasn’t any major progress been made in the treatment of mental illness? And how do we intend to stop, and not only that but reverse, global warming and the climate crisis? In Saved by Science, scientist Mark Poznansky examines the many crises facing humanity while encouraging us with the promise of an emerging solution: synthetic biology.
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The Quiet Rise of Introverts
- De: Brenda Knowles
- Narrado por: Christine Williams
- Duración: 7 h y 54 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 60
-
Narración:4 out of 5 stars 50
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 49
More and more, people are identifying as introverts. Studies show that at least one-third of the people we encounter in our lives are introverts. The Quiet Rise of Introverts: 8 Practices for Loving and Living in a Noisy World is a guide to help tenderhearted and introverted individuals grow and nurture their peace, purpose, and relationships. Author, speaker, and life coach Brenda Knowles presents eight unique practices to help readers learn that they are not alone or flawed in their sensitivity and introversion.
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5 out of 5 stars
-
No the book I was expecting
- De Roger en 12-25-20
De: Brenda Knowles
-
100 Things Productive People Do
- Little Lessons in Getting Things Done
- De: Nigel Cumberland
- Narrado por: Qarie Marshall
- Duración: 6 h y 2 m
- Versión completa
-
General0 out of 5 stars 0
-
Narración:0 out of 5 stars 0
-
Historia0 out of 5 stars 0
Distilling all the wisdom of a lifetime of coaching successful business people into 100 short chapters, this book shows you how to boost your productivity and get things done. Packed with great ideas for achieving more and creating success, it explores the habits, tools, techniques and mentality of highly productive people and reveals how to effortlessly take on your to-do list.
De: Nigel Cumberland
-
Seeds of Hope
- Wisdom and Wonder from the World of Plants
- De: Jane Goodall, Gail Hudson - contributor
- Narrado por: Edita Brychta, Rick Zieff, Jane Goodall
- Duración: 14 h
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 79
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 64
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 64
In her wise and elegant new audiobook, Jane Goodall blends her experience in nature with her enthusiasm for botany to give listeners a deeper understanding of the world around us. Long before her work with chimpanzees, Goodall's passion for the natural world sprouted in the backyard of her childhood home in England, where she climbed her beech tree and made elderberry wine with her grandmother. The garden her family began then, she continues to enjoy today. Seeds of Hope takes us from England to Goodall's home-away-from-home in Africa.
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1 out of 5 stars
-
Amazing Content Ruined By Ideological Junk Science
- De Dianne en 06-23-15
De: Jane Goodall, y otros
-
Standard Deviations
- Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and Other Ways to Lie with Statistics
- De: Gary Smith
- Narrado por: Tim Andres Pabon
- Duración: 9 h y 20 m
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 351
-
Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 297
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 296
As Nobel Prize-winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, "If you torture data long enough, it will confess." Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing.
-
5 out of 5 stars
-
Now, I can't talk to people.....
- De Andrew Dunbar en 09-28-21
De: Gary Smith
-
The AI Delusion
- De: Gary Smith
- Narrado por: Eric Michael Summerer
- Duración: 8 h y 40 m
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 42
-
Narración:5 out of 5 stars 33
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 33
We live in an incredible period in history. The computer revolution may be even more life-changing than the Industrial Revolution. We can do things with computers that could never be done before, and computers can do things for us that could never be done before. But our love of computers should not cloud our thinking about their limitations. The AI Delusion explains why we should not be intimidated into thinking that computers are infallible, that data-mining is knowledge discovery, and that black boxes should be trusted.
-
4 out of 5 stars
-
The non-obvious obvious
- De Jordan Worley en 07-19-19
De: Gary Smith
-
Saved by Science
- The Hope and Promise of Synthetic Biology
- De: Mark J. Poznansky PhD
- Narrado por: Jim Seybert
- Duración: 6 h y 20 m
- Versión completa
-
General5 out of 5 stars 4
-
Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 4
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 4
With all the advances in science in the last century, why are there still so many infectious diseases? Why haven’t we found cures for difficult cancers? Why hasn’t any major progress been made in the treatment of mental illness? And how do we intend to stop, and not only that but reverse, global warming and the climate crisis? In Saved by Science, scientist Mark Poznansky examines the many crises facing humanity while encouraging us with the promise of an emerging solution: synthetic biology.
-
The Quiet Rise of Introverts
- De: Brenda Knowles
- Narrado por: Christine Williams
- Duración: 7 h y 54 m
- Versión completa
-
General4 out of 5 stars 60
-
Narración:4 out of 5 stars 50
-
Historia4 out of 5 stars 49
More and more, people are identifying as introverts. Studies show that at least one-third of the people we encounter in our lives are introverts. The Quiet Rise of Introverts: 8 Practices for Loving and Living in a Noisy World is a guide to help tenderhearted and introverted individuals grow and nurture their peace, purpose, and relationships. Author, speaker, and life coach Brenda Knowles presents eight unique practices to help readers learn that they are not alone or flawed in their sensitivity and introversion.
-
5 out of 5 stars
-
No the book I was expecting
- De Roger en 12-25-20
De: Brenda Knowles
-
100 Things Productive People Do
- Little Lessons in Getting Things Done
- De: Nigel Cumberland
- Narrado por: Qarie Marshall
- Duración: 6 h y 2 m
- Versión completa
-
General0 out of 5 stars 0
-
Narración:0 out of 5 stars 0
-
Historia0 out of 5 stars 0
Distilling all the wisdom of a lifetime of coaching successful business people into 100 short chapters, this book shows you how to boost your productivity and get things done. Packed with great ideas for achieving more and creating success, it explores the habits, tools, techniques and mentality of highly productive people and reveals how to effortlessly take on your to-do list.
De: Nigel Cumberland
-
Seeds of Hope
- Wisdom and Wonder from the World of Plants
- De: Jane Goodall, Gail Hudson - contributor
- Narrado por: Edita Brychta, Rick Zieff, Jane Goodall
- Duración: 14 h
- Versión completa
-
General4.5 out of 5 stars 79
-
Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 64
-
Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 64
In her wise and elegant new audiobook, Jane Goodall blends her experience in nature with her enthusiasm for botany to give listeners a deeper understanding of the world around us. Long before her work with chimpanzees, Goodall's passion for the natural world sprouted in the backyard of her childhood home in England, where she climbed her beech tree and made elderberry wine with her grandmother. The garden her family began then, she continues to enjoy today. Seeds of Hope takes us from England to Goodall's home-away-from-home in Africa.
-
1 out of 5 stars
-
Amazing Content Ruined By Ideological Junk Science
- De Dianne en 06-23-15
De: Jane Goodall, y otros
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre What the Luck?
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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Total5 out of 5 stars
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Ejecución5 out of 5 stars
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Historia5 out of 5 stars
- Jonathan B George
- 07-17-20
Describes how probability really works
Reading this book will help you understand how sports statistics and investing really works. It's worth reading.
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Total5 out of 5 stars
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Ejecución5 out of 5 stars
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Historia5 out of 5 stars
- Jason R
- 01-26-18
A fantastic and insightful read
I can't recommend this book highly enough. Regression to the mean is pervasive and yet it is so rarely recognized. This book should be required reading for anyone who has to make predictions.
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