We start in Cincinnati where the Bearcats are taking consensus some 65%. Buyer beware the Cyclones have won the past two matchups in this series including a 30-10 win two years ago on the road just as this game is. My pick here is the Cyclones against the consensus. Iowa State -108 money line is the pick as they do bring back the QB and coaching staff from last years 34-17 win vs. the Bearcats.

App State host Oregon State in an early game for the west coast team. Consensus ATS and money line is on App State. I’ll follow the consensus here Appalachian State -120

Virginia Tech looks to get the ship righted they are -7 vs. Wake Forest. Wake traditionally has trouble with this team playing in VA. Two years ago the last matchup a 30-13 win for Va Tech. I’ll take the Hokies, Virginia Tech -7

Kentucky vs. Georgia – Well last year the game was 13-12 UGA escaped Lexington with a win. Georgia has won 15 in a row in the series. This version of the Wildcats doesn’t appear to really be able to compete with the SEC in league play. With this game coming the week after the Alabama game in which the DAWGS were upset doesn’t bode well for the Wildcats. In 2024, 2022, 2020 and 2016 Kentucky was able to keep it close. The Cats have shown me nothing yet to say they will keep this close. Under 48.5 and Georgia -20 the two options as I see it.

Fresh off their win vs. FSU the Cavaliers and Virginia travel to Louisville. This is a tough matchup at the Cards have won 3 in row in the series. At -6.5 the Cards would’ve covered two of the last 3 as well with last years matchup only going 24-20 Louisville’s way. Virginia can be tough to cover against because they run the ball well. After having to come back last week in Pittsburgh I think the Cardinals will want to start better at home. My pick U of L -6.5 of course try to get them even money should they fall behind here.

Nebraska the consensus favorite at around 66% laying -11.5 vs. Michigan State. While the Spartans haven’t won in Lincoln since 2013 they have won two and four years ago in the most recent matchups. This Nebraska team is good but I’ll take the Spartans with the points.

California 85% consensus vs. Duke, they have no recent matchup history here.

Florida hosting Texas in a year where things couldn’t look much worse last year it was Texas 49-17. This one may have live bet opportunities depending how long the Gators stick around. My pick though is Texas -7.

Miami looks to make some noise from the state of Florida and let it go nation wide they are for real. 74 % consensus is the Hurricanes here. They won last year 36-14, my pick is Miami -4.

Vikings vs. Steelers from Ireland. In this early season we have seen the stars of the Vikings show up even with McCarthy injured. The main thing with this Vikings team is the defense really because Coach Flores is showing everyone he should’ve been their head coach candidate. The Steelers showed last week on the road they can play that type of low scoring game in their win at New England. We do see so far it’s 27 a game for Minnesota and 24 a game for Pittsburgh. We see the total not paying that any mind at all sitting at 41. I think this is gonna be a defensive game that has a slight chance to get over. Who knows what kind of consistency we get from Wentz he hasn’t played Pittsburgh since Big Ben was at QB. That being said I’ll take the Under 41 and take my chances. With my lean towards the Steelers here.

Playoff look ahead? It’s week 4 but Todd Bowles has done well against the Eagles. Last team to beat Hurtz at QB was this Tampa Bay team. Yet we have the hamstring with Evans, Godwin may be out too with the ankle so the rookie and Baker. I think it’s only because the Eagles look unbeatable right now because I have to let you know that 4 or the last 5 meetings have gone the Buccaneers way. Eagles -3.5 I’m just not picking against them right now.

Bills /Saints Under 47.5 my reasoning being Buffalo is gonna want to get the win run the ball and get the fuck out of there. The Saints will want to move the ball anyway they can, but I’m on the UNDER instead of laying -16 thats too much.

Patriots vs Panthers Under 43, because I think it’s also New England -5, reason being its odd to see them favored by that much and the bookie knows something in setting that line.

Commanders vs Falcons – Over 45.5 and I think right now this line is giving credit where it has been a tall task to Washington since last year. Jayden Daniels has too many weapons right now for me to look at Atlanta. They have to show me to make me believe because the number -1 looks like free lunch. Always beware because you still gotta always beware what appears to be free lunch. Washington -1

The Lions vs. The Browns, I look at the -10 and said damn they set the line like they got Eminem up there betting on the Lions. The Browns strength is on defense which won’t hold up against Detroit. Lions -10.

0-3 and they get a division opponent they have beat up the four of five times in Tennessee. Texans -7.

Chargers are going to have to be dealt with in the playoff this year. I’ll take them in NY as well LAC-6.5

Jaguars +3 as injury woes have to take a toll eventually for the 49ers.

Colts vs. Rams I have to go with the every four year matchup having the Rams won the past 4. Rams Money Line

The Bears who looked good against the Cowboys and the trip to Vegas might be another win if they can run the ball and hold it the same way. I’ll take Chicago -103.

I’ll just take the over in the Ravens/Chiefs as it could go either way but the Chiefs have won 6 of 7 vs Baltimore with their 2012 being the last Ravens win at Arrowhead. Baltimore looked like they had some problems 3rd down getting off the field, thats where this game will be decided if the Ravens d can win 3rd down. Cheifs money line. Over 48.5

Packers -6.5 taking some 90% consensus. I know what they did in the playoffs but this game is all about Parsons hype, except the Pack has won 9 of 10 vs Dallas. Packers -6.5.

As always Best of luck and enjoy your Sunday

The Gamecocks QB Sellers returns from concussion, is back as the Wildcats look to not get beat like they did last year in the matchup. Last year it was 31-6 at Kroger Field in Lexington. The Cats do come off the early bye week and you have to think Stoops has a bit of different game plan, or do we have to start asking ourselves with the rise of Vandy and Beamer Ball in South Carolina are the Wildcats gonna end up the door mat of the SEC depending on Florida. They played tough at home vs. Ole Miss and have of course beaten some MAC teams but I look for the Wildcats to use their extra time to forge a different outcome as its been 3 in row in the series for South Carolina but 2021 UK won at their spot. Fan pick Kentucky +6.5

The Louisville Cardinals come into a familiar foe in Pittsburgh. Last year U of L won at home vs Pitt 37-9, but they haven’t won outright vs. Pitt in Pittsburgh in 2012. This is a tough one because the Cards are the consensus like 70 percent and they are favored on the road by -4.5. After looking into this game its the expectation of Moss at Qb for the Cardinals that have them with the backing at the bet window. Try live bet and maybe not have to lay the points on the road. Pitt is at an early cross roads after losing the Backyard Brawl at 7 point faves to WVU. Cardinals money line is my play.

LSU -1 at Ole Miss- Listening to Saban on TV and the corners are very good for LSU and the QB is one of the most experienced. He has came up big in big games, which this is. Ole Fashioned SEC West? LSU leads all time but since Kiffen has been there 2 of the last 3 have gone Ole Miss. I’m on the experienced qb in a tough environment. LSU-1

Indiana vs Iowa- Wow the line is IU -7.5 and the consensus on the road Hoosiers. What’s going on Mendoza put some guys on notice last week but the Hawkeyes have won 4 straight in the matchup in Iowa City and that is a tough place to win. My guess is the line is ramped up because the bookie knows more than you. Indiana -7.5 in what is being called a trap game by sports illustrated. The fact that IU is favored means that the head to head of 8 of 9 games in the series for Iowa means nothing to the oddsmakers. The early consensus that heavy on IU and take it how goes but at least you know. 2007 the last Hoosier win in Iowa 38-20 then and so this aint impossible. Indiana -7.5

ND travels to Arkansas, now the Irish are -4 on the road, I’ll take Carr and the Irish here. 50 /50 consensus -4

Mississippi State vs Tennessee – The cowbells will be ringing and the consensus is 80% on the Bulldogs at home. MSU+7.5

Cincinnati vs. Cleveland – Let me say this first at least we have Burrow playing the preseason this year at least some, but they added some guys who were playing well in the preseason to help out a loaded receiver unit, they recover from the mistake of letting Perine go as free agent. Then you bring in Al Golden and you have a chance as a team to help out the defense by going an extra play on offense, the pass game is the given with the Bengals, but the question for them is are they able to run the ball at all. With Perine back as the number two back it helps relieve a soft spot from last year. That and well Burrow has had a few nightmare games in Cleveland, a few years ago it was opening on the road just as they are again, but week 1 Cleveland has traditionally been bad. You have to assume internally they are thinking playoffs because even though it was a horrible beating at Houston blown out by a rookie qb but the Texans D shut them down in that game, but just like Pittsburgh who can win a playoff game? Cincinnati, because with rotating QBs we have seen Burrow put his up and try to keep up at that point. Get it live bet if you can of course and get it down to -3 or so or however it goes my pick is Bengals -5

Steelers vs Jets – Possibly an under right under here, but I’m on the Steelers just on thats how they usually perform.. unless Rodgers is a bust you win this game Steelers MONEY LINE & UNDER 38.5 is my pick.

Dolphins vs. Colts- I know the Colts are tough at home especially, but I think Tyreke Hill by not taking the Captain role is forcing others to step up and be leaders but he may have something to prove, and with the arrests everyone does. Slight road dog gimme the Phins bc you got Daniel Jones. Miami pk

49ers vs Seahawks- This should be all Niners if they are going to do anything this year. 49ers -136

Lions vs. Packers – This is another one where the matchup has been lopsided in the Lions way since Love took over at QB so we will see but I’m with the Lions +2.5

Buccaneers vs Falcons – Look up and the Falcons have won 4 of 5 vs TB and Penix is getting the hype assuming this is him at QB here. Mayfield and the Bucs never an easy out but you have to feel especially defensively they have them figured as to how they want to defend. Falcons +2

As far as betting goes there, well the 80% consensus have the birds taking victory laps as they drop doodie on the Cowboys as the 80% is on the Eagles. 94 % of the consensus on money line Eagles. I tell you this is division football and Dallas with Dak and Ceedee Lamb are there but it will be up to them because as soon as Tony Pollard went to Tennessee it hurt their offense in a crippling manner so who is gonna take those hits and run with no lead blocker? That will be what determines Dallas this year. I don’t care about consensus, and I mean Dak don’t play defense so it ain’t his fault what Green Bay came in and did. I don’t care about early consensus, I would say your better off hoping for 7.5 but I’m taking the Cowboys here to let them know Dak is 9-4 yall blew out Cooper and this is a different game. There is a potential for a MILLION points in this game.

As far as betting goes there, well the 80% consensus have the birds taking victory laps as they drop doodie on the Cowboys as the 80% is on the Eagles. 94 % of the consensus on money line Eagles. I tell you this is division football and Dallas with Dak and Ceedee Lamb are there but it will be up to them because as soon as Tony Pollard went to Tennessee it hurt their offense in a crippling manner so who is gonna take those hits and run with no lead blocker? That will be what determines Dallas this year. I don’t care about consensus, and I mean Dak don’t play defense so it ain’t his fault what Green Bay came in and did. I don’t care about early consensus, I would say your better off hoping for 7.5 but I’m taking the Cowboys here to let them know Dak is 9-4 yall blew out Cooper and this is a different game. There is a potential for a MILLION points in this game.

Dallas +7.5

The Battle for AFC West Supremacy begins in LA as Mahomes and company will see if they can even start the year out not trailing the Harbaugh led Chargers. Remember he had Collin Kaepernick in the Super Bowl? So I think just in style of play this is his best QB he has coached, but I remember as a youth Harbaugh taking these same Bolts to the big game only to see the biggest blowout ever to I believe Steve Young might’ve put 55 on em. Anyways they play this thing twice and the Bolts will win once in my opinion. So my pick vs the heavy money line consensus on the Chiefs is the Chargers +3. Its another divisional game and the more the Chiefs beat them like they did once last year they have to see how the Raiders played them and see they are more vulnerable than ever once everyone has ten years of game tape they know your first and second move. I do have to let you know the stat though, 8-2 last 10 vs. LAC, however the +3 would’ve been 2-0-1 last 3 matchups in LA for my pick LA CHARGERS +3, also out of the last 3 36 have been the most points scored so this is who makes it 20 wins the game.

Chargers +3

143

144

Boise State

South Florida

-9

+9

-6-116

+6-104

147

148

Wyoming

Akron

-9

+9

-7-109

+7-111

149

150

Ohio U

Rutgers

+10½

-10½

+15½-105

-15½-115

151

152

Nebraska

Cincinnati U

-7

+7

-6½-120

+6½+ev

155

156

Miami Ohio

Wisconsin

+17

-17

+17

-17

Boise State vs USF a CBS game and about 60 % coming in on Boise. They bring back Madsen at QB and he is facing a defense that was 119th in the nation last year.

Brown is USF first 3000 yard passer who is running their high volume offense. He gives this game a bit of confidence that USF will be able to move the ball and score some maybe.

My lean here goes to Boise on the advantage implied from last year as they were the better unit. I would recommend trying to get them at -3 or even money because we could see USF show up here and if they are ahead at some point then Boise would be in even money territory.

My Pick Boise -6

Wyoming vs Akron last years 123 vs 120th ranked offenses at 19.7 and 20.3 a game. That being said this is an espn+ game and a chance of an upset right here. For what it’s worth I’ll take the home team Zips here at +7 and if you’re looking for a money line underdog then this might be the play for you.

Akron +7

Rutgers vs Ohio with the line now up to 15.5, really if you want to wait one down on live bet it may be there or Rutgers may go down the field first drive and not relinquish the lead rest of the game 92% on the Scarlett Knights. Beware Ohio was 9-5 ATS last year and Rutgers run d was 111th both at 5.2 yards per carry, which leads us to Ohio’s 3rd down percentage at 11th in the country. Knights were 5-5 ATS a season ago so the only real likely thing is a win money line. Your playing with chance but live bet may be your best way to wait down the line here.

Rutgers -15.5

Nebraska vs Cincinnati At Arrowhead Stadium. Always the hype at Nebraska but the strength of both teams is on defense. I looked at it and consensus isn’t leading me into a lot of confidence as on paper it looks like UC would win from last years stats or at least cover. The total at 53.5 actually higher than what I thought it would be so I go UNDER here.

UNDER 53.5 Cincinnati +6.5

Miami vs Wisconsin -17, only once in history have these two met and it was a 59-0 victory. This has beat down all over it as well as low scoring game. With total sitting at 39.5 but I think this one is all Wisconsin as it better be with their O line and we’ll see what the coach has in year two.

Wisconsin -17

Early consensus on the Irish but I’m not sure I would worry about that too much… Rewind to last year, Carson Beck was at Georgia and got hurt right before the tournament in the SEC Championship game. He had to still prepare or even one more had to prepare his backup to be prepared. The question is does he give himself the same advice he gave his backup in falling short to the Irish and with that being part of his last bit at Georgia does he feel like that injury stopped Georgia from worst case scenario an epic title game if not another business as usual for the SEC Title-Machine. I would say between that preparation and the full summer to prepare for ND week 1 he may be about to raise questions as to him being better than number 1 pick Cam Ward who just departed from the “U”. A huge lead in the all-time series for the Irish but the last 6 games played in Miami have been big wins for Canes including the last Catholics vs. Convicts.

The Irish return a soon to be NFL Stars cast at Wide Receiver and Tight End.Carr the QB change but they don’t have a proven starter in a ruckus enviroment however even the Canes supporters seem to think that Carr will move the Irish vertically all day long. This Canes team has a weakness from last season they have attempted to address in the form of the transfer portal, a new D coordinator, and we saw last year some of these Canes games can get high scoring. Cal VT Louisville Duke Iowa State and Syracuse where they allowed 30 + points and with the possibilities of facing a future NFL All-Pro team in the like 6 main Irish receivers I would expect the money is on the Irish for the expectation of them going over 30 thus making Carson Beck have to figure out how much that UGA defense is different from the Miami defense. The feeling is that there is unknowns for Beck coming off injury and a completely new group of receivers. ND is loaded on defense as well but the lose Al Golden to the NFL the Defensive Coordinator, that may have some impact as honestly we don’t know if its the Canes who try to run to the mall more because the strength of the team is the offensive line. We may see stars come from no where on the Miami Receiver Corps just as we saw Cam Ward and the portal is the way Cristobal is building the program. The key may be keeping the Irish offensive on the sideline and we know Beck knows how to manage a run heavy game plan from his days at Georgia and keeping Notre Dame under their team total is where the pendulum swings, if they do that then they will have a great chance to win, inasmuch as the Irish defense is tough and has played these run heavy styles in some big games where they had more proven quarterbacks. The number for ND looks to be about 28.5-30 for their team total.

My pick here is the offensive line, the proven QB, with a full cast of new receivers, they have been replaying the U on ESPN or something because my pick is an upset or at least a cover on a small number as I feel like Miami has to want to run the ball and Beck should’ve just studied this defense last year at UGA though injured. Last 7 in the series playing in Miami went the Canes way. Expecting 30 point on the road in game one from a guy they bring up instead transfer in at QB.

ND 31 Miami 30

IO ST VS. KSTATE OVER 49.5 IO ST +134

FRESNO OV 51.5 VS KANSAS KANSAS +14 LOOK ML UPSET how many week 0 upsets the past few years? A lot, so I’m fishing and wishing but that money line underdog is where I play popcorn sometimes.

STAN V HAWAII OVER 55.5 I like the Cardinals as slight underdogs.

ECU NCSTATE UNDER 56.5

NEVADA PENNST UNDER 60

MARSHALL UGA UNDER 55

COASTAL V UVA UNDER 57.5

MISSISSIPPI UNDER 62.5

VA TECH VS SO CAR OVER 45.5

UNC VS TCU UNDER 59

TEXAS ML – NEW QB BUT AT HOME IN HORSESHOE VS. ARCH MANNING Pick of the opening week for a game I will probably be cool with watching even though betting against the Buckeyes at the SHU can be a formula for the worst three hours in sports the wrong end of a blowout. Texas has been playoff team last two years and couldn’t get it done in those big games where they had there chances. Is Arch and Texas going to win the SEC? will this game even matter to them? Ohio state loaded on defense but the new unexperienced QB at least has the home crowd. I’ll take the Longhorns here money line.