Miami vs. Ohio State -9 Cotton Bowl – Consensus on Ohio State -9 58% Looking at consensus first we see the biggest number of the playoffs and strength vs strength as the Ohio State defense faces the Miami O-line. Miami did enough vs. Texas A&M but it was an ugly win and for them to have a shot this one is gonna be another game. OSU is 2nd in the country on 3rd down defense and for the year they have the best defensive unit in the nation. The Canes two loses to Louisville and SMU but no one has beaten them by 9 yet. However OSU is 10-2-1 ATS, the Canes are 2-0 as underdogs. Which brings me to the total which is sitting at 42. I think both teams are comfortable with playing a defensive game, I normally would not make a total play but seeing the first CFP game from Miami they are comfortable playing that style of a game as well. I think Miami will have to play a perfect game to even cover here. It'll be close for most of the first half and they may cover on the Canes just down the stretch meaning you can probably pick up Ohio State during the game for a discounted number. However I think this one goes somewhere around 24-14 Buckeyes way. Ohio State -9 and the UNDER.

Oregon-2.5 vs. Texas Tech – I've seen Texas Tech play a few times this year but they weren't playing anyone who is a really good team. Maybe they show me wrong but until then I look at them as beat up on an easy schedule and think the rest of the teams in the CFP still would've gone undefeated with that type of schedule. 68% consensus with me on Oregon -2.5 and OVER 52.5 93% consensus as I feel like Oregon just let up a lot of points to JMU granted it was late but this one here will be back and forth. Oregon and the OVER

Alabama vs. Indiana-7- Consensus 51% on Bama here. I know Indiana is the cinderella of the football world this year and yea they did beat Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game with OSU really cared nothing about. I just don't think the Big Ten is as good as the SEC. Indiana has failed to cover some of their games as well 8-5 ATS, Alabama 2-1 ATS as a dog this year. Thing is I feel like there is zero chance that Alabama is underestimating IU and what has happened the rest of the year may be a feel good story but the momentum from going into OU and coming back from down 17-0 I've got to pick Alabama +7 and if your feeling lucky Alabama +203.

Ole Miss vs. Georgia-6.5 – A rematch from SEC play has the Bulldogs taking 82% consensus against the Rebels. Even though UGA covered in the first meeting it was Ole Miss who was ahead after 3 quarters. I think this may be a very competitive game where Georgia's run attack builds strength as the game goes on. It's hard for me to pick anywhere else because I feel like Georgia is the best team in the playoffs. UGA-6.5 by a score of about 27-20 with Ole Miss trying to drive to tie the game up and Georgia's D having to make the stop the secure the win. Georgia -6.5

As always Best of luck and Enjoy your New Years!

Alabama - The road team here looks to avenge an upset of earlier this year played in Tuscaloosa, the question will be can they protect the QB and avoid the big turnovers that doomed the Tide in the first matchup. On the surface it was the defense of OU and will have to be again in this one. However we have seen that this isn't Alabama of old as Georgia would never have put that type of beat down on Saban. The total set at 41 so expect a defensive battle even with 71% consensus on the over. 54 % on the Tide here but I'm not sold on them as being worth putting my money on here. This is a game I'll watch but could go either way. My pick however is Alabama pk as the bookmakers aren't giving -3 for home field here. Bama is 8-4-1 ATS, OU 6-5-1 ATS. Crimson Tide PK.

Oregon-21 88% consensus and this has the makings of a massacre. James Madison is 8-5 ATS, Oregon is 8-4 ATS. The Dukes lost by 14 to their only real competition this year at Louisville. Really JMU shouldn't be in the tournament and I think Oregon shows up and shows out with a big win. Ducks -21

Ole Miss -17.5 79% consensus - Miss 7-5 ATS was 45-10 when these two played earlier this year Rebels in a blowout, and no reason to think that they can't duplicate that result even with Kiffin gone, in-fact in the short term maybe that gives them a chip on their shoulder. Tulane should really not be in the tournament this is not gonna be a game most likely a blow out. Rebels -17.5

Miami +4 consensus split ATS has Texas A&M at 69% however the money line is where the Canes dollars are going where we find 74% on Miami +140. UM 7-5 ATS, Texas A&M 5-7 ATS. Two years ago these teams met to open the season. Different QBs and coaching staffs have changed a little too, but that game was a Miami win but in 2022 A&M won 17-9 when the game was played in College Station. For me this game just comes down to QB play and Carson Beck. He has never faced A&M before but he is national champion from his Georgia days and is no stranger to road SEC wins. I'll take the Canes and the points here Miami +4.

As always Best of Luck and enjoy your College Football Playoff.

Kennesaw -135 90 % consensus Kennesaw 8-4 ATS They played in November and it was Jacksonville State winning 35-26. Think consensus may be wrong. Jacksonville State.

James Madison -23 79% consensus JMU 8-4 ATS – Some talk of somehow making the playoffs, no I don't think they do but they handle their business in the conference championship.

North Texas vs. Tulane ov 66.5 73% consensus North Texas 10-2 ATS Was surprised to see North Texas favored and when I see 77% consensus I wonder about last years game a 45-37 Tulane win. They are my pick here Tulane vs Over 66.5

Boise State -4.5 77% consensus 56-31 Broncos way earlier this year and I think Boise State still has too much for UNLV.

Texas Tech -12.5 75% TTU 11-1 ATS This was a massacre before and BYU no slouch a 9-3 ATS record. I still gotta go Red Raiders -12.5

Georgia 62% consensus however the record sits Alabama won 24-21 this year and Kirby Smart is 1-7 vs Alabama. The Tide should have to win to make the playoff. Alabama is my pick.

Virginia -4 79% consensus was a 34-17 matchup played at Duke this year. UVA is 8-4 ATS. Would recommend trying to get even money on live bet but my pick is UVA -4.

Ohio State is 10-1-1 ATS -4 is 72%. With the Hoosiers being given a lot of credit with the number being only 4. Still I haven't seen anyone keep it within a touchdown of the Buckeyes all year long. Ohio State -4.

As always Best of luck and enjoy your weekend.

Tennessee 84% UT 23-17 UT won last year but haven't won in Gainesville since 2003. Tennessee -4 84% consensus. The Gators put up a fight so if you want Tennessee then wait and take them live bet. Still I think the number is as low as it because the Gators at home vs. Tennessee and you can throw out the records. Florida +4.5

Georgia Tech 63% -3 vs. Pitt – Pat Narduzzi is 6-1 vs GT, last meeting was 2022. The number here is awfully low with GT being only favored by 3. 98% money line on the Jackets -140. See all the consensus and no line move? Thats because despite all the bets on the Yellow Jackets this is still a bad matchup for GT. Pitt +3

Kentucky +9.5 Consensus finds the lump of money on the Wildcats money line here 86% of 20K on the Wildcats +289. Kentucky on a win streak and needs one more win to get bowl eligible. Vanderbilt has gone 2-2 last 4 vs UK but last years game was a 20-13 Vandy win, however the Commodores haven't won in Nashville vs. UK since 2015, and Coach Stoops is 8-3 vs. Vanderbilt. Kentucky +9.5

BYU vs Cincinnati 86% BYU All-time 3-0 vs. UC however none since 2022. UC still with a shot to make the Big Twelve Championship Game as well with a win in its last two games and help. BYU needs to win out to make B12 Championship Game. BYU-2.5

OU -7.5 vs Missouri- Missouri won 30-23 last year, that is the only recent history matchup. However Missouri hasn't won in Norman since 1966. I think that Oklahoma's defense will have to carry them to have a chance to cover. This is another where live bet may the way to go so you won't have to lay the big number. Oklahoma covers by a score of 21-10 is my pick.

USC +10 vs. Oregon USC 70% The Trojans basically make this one a playoff game for their chances to make the playoffs and what that might do to the Ducks positioning as well because if they fall back to two losses what a position they would have put themselves in being at the mercy of the committee. Last meeting was two years ago and Oregon won by 9. While none are from the immediate future and USC does own the overall matchup record the Ducks have won 3 in a row in the series. Think the Ducks win but give me the Trojans and the ten. USC +10

James Madison -13.5

As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday

NCAA Football November 8, 2025

Indiana -15 vs Penn State - I/U 6-3 ATS - Penn State 25-2 All-time vs. Indiana, but this is the best IU team so far and they are laying the huge number because of Penn State being marked as down for the year. Other than losing their QB really this is gut check time for the Nittany Lions having to face #1 and then #2 back to back. Penn State is 13-0 all time at home vs. IU. When you see all this history then you see the Hoosiers favored by that much its because their backers have been running consensus. This year may be the one for the Hoosiers with their number 1 scoring offense and there # 3 scoring defense, 87% consensus pick is the Hoosiers. Still I think Penn State may be a trap game for the Hoosiers, the games they haven't covered have been road games in the Big Ten. Penn State +15.

Georgia -8.5 vs. Miss St - Mississippi State 8-1 ATS - Was 41-31 Last year UGA's way. UGA 3-5 ATS. Georgia Bulldogs who are 77% consensus pick face the Mississippi State cover machine. This matchup has favored Georgia with them being 14-1 last 15 vs MSU, 10 of the 14 wins by double digits. I know MSU has been on fire ATS but I like Georgia in this spot here. Georgia -8.5

Texas A&M -7 vs. Missouri - 4-4 ATS for the Aggies, 4-3-1 ATS for Missouri, the game went the Aggies way last year 41-10. Last year same place but A&M went up 24-0 at half time. Missouri has one of the nations top 10 running backs, but if they can't slow the Aggies it'll be a long afternoon. 72% on the Aggies consensus, but even though there is the tendency to say this will go exactly like last years game, I would expect Missouri to want to run the ball as much as they can stay in 3rd down and short instead of 3rd and long. I think the Aggies even though they blew out LSU in the second half may keep it close in the first. If you have the chance to Live bet this may be a chance where you may not have to lay the whole -7 because Missouri is likely to keep it close in the first half, they covered and even had their chances vs. Alabama at home. I think with some injuries at running back the Aggies may have to win a close one here. Missouri +7

Texas Tech -10 vs. BYU - Tech is 8-1 ATS, BYU 6-2 ATS - Last meeting was 2023. Texas Tech #3 in scoring offense, number 5 in scoring defense. Still this is an interesting game because BYU is undefeated, they have won outright as a big underdog this season, they finally got past the Holy War with Utah and run into a Tech team is with one loss right behind the undefeated Cougars in the standings for the playoffs. Does a loss here knock the other out of the playoffs? Possibly, which is why I'm going to take the Cougars and know this one could go the other way but BYU players are older and more mature, BYU+10

Alabama -10 vs. LSU Bama 5-2-1 ATS - Bama won 42-13 last year, 42-28 two years ago. Bama clearly the better team and LSU is now inferior to when they were gonna be a playoff team right? Thats what makes LSU dangerous because they lost their primary goals and have to play the rest of the season. Alabama -10

Oregon -6.5 vs. Iowa 5-3 ATS for the Ducks, Iowa 5-2-1- Not played since 1994. In Iowa they put the visitors in a pink locker room for psychological purposes. This is Big Ten play here on the road in that tough environment. 46 % on Iowa +6.5, but the Ducks have a huge amount of money consensus every game, infact 54% is low for their consensus. Virtually no bets amount wise on the money line here but this is a spot I may look at Iowa 22% on the money line +203 for you sports investors

San Jose State -5.5 vs. Air Force SJSU won 17-7 last year. Based on last year how bout an under right here, but I don't bet totals so my pick is Air Force money line.

Kennesaw State -9.5 vs. New Mexico Kennesaw State 6-2 ATS - First meeting ever

SDSU -7 vs. Hawaii SDSU 7-1 ATS - SDSU has won five years in a row but last years was a 27-24 victory.

Army -6.5 vs. Temple 6-3 ATS Temple - Army won 42-14 last year but Temple is improved. Army money line played from a live bet position. Temple played Navy really tough before a one point loss. -250 should be played live bet as if Temple gets a lead which at some point they may then jump on the live bet even money.

Ohio State -28.5 vs Purdue - Buckeyes are 7-0-1 ATS for the season. Was 45-0 last year, and is 9-0 vs Purdue in Columbus. Do I need to say anything else? Buckeyes -29.5

NCAA Football November 1 2025

K State has been traditionally the worst place for Texas Tech but the sign of times that Tech has arrived for this season is them laying -7 on the road in Manhattan Kansas. What happens to road teams is like think and grow rich bad vibrations but Texas Tech is the consensus pick because this team is supposed to make the playoff. I'll take the home team here and if I get beat then it will be the first time in while that road conference opponent came in and covered a touchdown, K state has won 8 in row SU vs. Tech. K State +7

Texas - 3 This game was 27-24 last year and that was in Nashville but this isn't where I'd want my money because it's going to be a close game. Give me Commodores. Vanderbilt +120 that is a 31% consensus pick.

Tennessee - money line 25-15 last year out in Oklahoma the Vols way, and just worked security at the Kentucky game so they blew us out. 59% consensus on UT here but they may want to play the under based on last years game, but I am not playing totals.

Duke vs Clemson - No action yet on Clemson they are 29% consensus to be able to tell anything, but this is Dabo Sweeney off a bye week at home against a team that beat him 28-7 last time they met but Duke hasn't won in Death Valley since 1980. Give me the Tigers -3.

Ohio State vs. Penn State 8 times in row this has gone the Buckeyes way but not one of the 8 by 19 or more points which is a wow factor to it. A look at consensus and 81% is laying that 20.5, but I think they are insane. Penn State is going to have to run the ball and try to shorten the game. The Buckeyes strength is on defense the total at 45.5 and we see 97 % consensus on the over. I don't know I was thinking under here but I pass on the total because consensus the other way, here anyways because it was 20-12 20-13 last two matchups, and give me the Buckeyes maybe 33-10 for their biggest win in the series since 2016.

Homecoming game for the Wolfpack and what a better way to celebrate than getting 5.5 points at home. The last years game was 30-29 and this year is in Raleigh on homecoming. Consensus here going the other way 71% on the road team Yellow Jackets ranked in the top 10. I'll take the Wolfpack +5.5

Ole Miss 94% +174 @ Oklahoma Ole Miss +5.5 73% vs. Oklahoma. Last year was a 26-14 Rebels victory. I like against the spread and money line here Ole Miss.

Arkansas 92% -140 vs Auburn – Arkansas won 24-14 last year causing 5 turnovers. Closer game maybe this year but I'll go with Petrino. Arkansas -140

Vandy 88% -140 vs Missouri 67% ATS This game could go either way as well just like the money line consensus is Vanderbilt the ATS consensus is Missouri. Missouri escaped last year with a win 30-27 game. As an SEC fan I root for the underdogs except they are the favorites in this game so I'm gonna stick with Vanderbilt.

Iowa State -145 vs BYU 45-13 Cyclones way but that was two years ago. I guess the cornerbacks are back healthy as they are on two game losing streak because of those injuries but still the offense only put up 17 last week in a loss at Colorado.

Texas A&M 92% -140 @ LSU was 38-23 Aggies was last year however they haven't won in Baton Rouge since 1994. I'm gonna buck consensus on this one and take LSU who can't afford to lose anymore because of playoffs but A&M could lose and still make playoffs. LSU Tigers is my pick.

Baylor +3.5 @ Cincinnati – Two years ago was 32-29 and you can bet this is gonna be a close game either way it goes. I'll take the points Baylor +3.5

NC State +6.5 84 % @ Pitt on NC State despite Pitt pulling off the cover against Syracuse last week. Sides haven't met since 2020. Right now I'm gonna pass on this game because I feel like Pitt at home is scary, they had Louisville down and let them come back. NC State +6.5

Purdue 92% vs. Rutgers Haven't met since 2020, they are the consensus pick but some communities online are to the contrary with Rutgers here. I'll just don't trust Purdue, give me Rutgers right here.

Wake +3 83% vs SMU – SMU hasn't lost since coming into the conference but no recent meetings. They just beat Clemson while Wake just beat Oregon State. Consensus is on Wake but I'll take the road team Mustangs SMU -3.

Mississippi State +7.5 vs Texas – Its more road football in the SEC for Arch Manning and Texas. Consensus on the Cowbells at home, but it was 35-13 last year Texas' way and I think the Longhorns cover here. Texas -7.5

Houston +7.5 @Arizona State Haven't met since 1990 in what looked like a basketball score 62-45. Consensus on Houston and if they can move the ball they should be able to hang close here. Houston +7.5

Duke -2.5 vs GT consensus on the Devils but last year it was GT winning 24-14.

UCLA -160 vs. Maryland Consensus on the Bruins with this being first meeting between sides since 54-55.

Texas A&M -7.5 @ Arkansas Was Texas A&M 21-17 last year in Fayetteville the Aggies left with the 4 point victory.

UCF -7.5 vs. WV – The past two years its been the Mountaineers who came away with victory, 31-21 last year and 41-28.

Clemson -5.5 vs SMU 34-31 Clemson won narrowly last year.

LSU @ Vandy 24-17 Tigers way last year with the series not having a Vandy win since 1976.

UNLV +13 @ Boise State – Was 21-7 Broncos way last year.

Florida -9.5 consensus 13 % vs Mississippi State – Was 45-28 Gators way last year at State, this one is in Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

OSU -25 @ Wisconsin Two years ago was 24-10 Buckeyes win.

Texas -12.5 vs UK 31-14 last year Texas in Lexington

Oregon -17.5 vs. Rutgers – First Meeting

Bama -8 vs Tennessee – Tennessee won last year in Knoxville 24-17

Oklahoma -5 vs. South Carolina – Was 35-9 the Gamecocks way.

Cuse +10 vs Pitt Pitt won 41-13 last year at the Carrier Dome.