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The Griff Report

The Griff Report

De: John Griffin
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  • The Griff Report : Pro Football Edition
    Oct 4 2025
    October 3, 2025 NFL Week 5 Vikings -3.5 Browns in London – The Vikings here my pick of course you may want to hope for a live bet but I think Flores will be causing problems for Gabriel in his first NFL start, its in a foreign country and the Vikings just played in Ireland last week. Minnesota -3.5 Cowboys ml at jets I know the Cowboys defense has looked back at times but this is the Jets here, Dak beat them 31-10 a few years ago. The Cowboys haven’t won in New York since 2003, but the two sides only meet every four years. 95% consensus money line on the Cowboys, as I know the Jets are looking for their first win but Dallas is looking they could be outscoring people all year who knows. Raiders 10 % +7 at colts Consensus all 90% on the Colts -7, but I’ll go with Geno Smith as the 7 point underdog. Colts haven’t beat Raiders by 7 or more in a game in Indianopolis since 2004. Las Vegas +7 and OVER 48. Giants +2 71 % vs Saints After thinking about it this is also the best chance for the Saints to not go winless, they are favored and this is a tough road environment. I’ll take the Saints and UNDER 42, which is a fade of the ATS consensus but inline with money line consensus. Texans -130 vs Baltimore – Ravens still taking in money consensus as we are finally gonna see a healthy dose of Henry 61% consensus still on the Ravens, but I think its the Texans who will pull off the win with Huntley at QB for the Ravens and the defense not looking that well either. Houston has never won in Baltimore they are 0-8. My pick the Texans who’s defense plays pretty well as of late. It would be a historic win for the Texans franchise. Eagles -4 vs. Broncos Broncos haven’t won in Philly since 1986, and I don’t expect this to be their day either. Philadelphia 69% consensus -4, 87% consensus on the money line. Dolphins vs. Panthers Dolphins haven’t won in Carolina since 09 game is 51 and 49 Carolinas way on money line consensus. 59% ATS -1 Miami way. This game is a toss up recent history of 23 the last meeting but that was in Miami. Bryce Young is also decisively better at home than his horrible record. I’ll take the Panthers money line. Cardinals -8 vs. Titans Don’t trust either team here, for picking for pick sake Cardinals -8 but my pick here is the Under 41. I’m thinking a 20-14 win would get it done here so lay those points or don’t because the Titans are desperate to try to get off the mat themselves. Under 41 Lions -10.5 vs Bengals Detroit hasn’t won in Cincinnati since 1992. For whatever reason maybe the Lions don’t fare well in the jungle. There goes the entire argument for Bengals because from what we seen since the Burrow injury wagering too much on the Bengals seems like an entirely foolish operation. For the podcast and because that is a local game I just hope the Bengals can keep it within 10. Bengals +10.5 but 92% consensus is not, they are on the Lions -10.5. Chargers -3 vs. Washington. Not since 1986 has the Washington franchise won a road game at the Chargers franchise. After last week I look for the Chargers to get back at it after the loss. I would just money line instead of laying 3 because they have a way of winning by 3. Chargers 79% consensus Seahawks -3.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven’t won in Seattle since 2009. 61% consensus on the road team Buccaneers. I think Seattle is a much improved team this year and that is why they are favored against a Tampa squad that doesn’t always fare well without Mike Evans 3-10 all-time when he is out for injury or suspension. Seattle -3.5 Chiefs vs. Jaguars We’ve seen this matchup the last 8 times go KC’s way, and this will be a true barometer for how much have the Jags improved. Still until they win this game I can’t see it happening because recent matchups have gone only KC. Chiefs -190, but if you wait you’ll be able to get this one at even money as at some point I would say Jacksonville has to want the lead. Chiefs money line its only 57% consensus as the Jags money line appears to be the pick at a lot of places, but I’ll have to see it to believe it. 78 % on Chiefs -3.5. Bills -9 87% consensus as the “Bills Mafia” looks for a cover. That has not been the way of the matchup however. It looks like they would’ve covered that 4 out 9 times they played, with the last 4 having been close. You can expect New England to be running the ball. No love at the betting window for the Patriots. Bills -9. As always best of luck and enjoy your Sunday. NFL Week 5
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    11 m
  • The Griff Report - College Football October 4th Games
    Oct 3 2025
    October 3, 2025 College Football for October 4th games

    We start in Cincinnati where the Bearcats are taking consensus some 65%. Buyer beware the Cyclones have won the past two matchups in this series including a 30-10 win two years ago on the road just as this game is. My pick here is the Cyclones against the consensus. Iowa State -108 money line is the pick as they do bring back the QB and coaching staff from last years 34-17 win vs. the Bearcats.

    App State host Oregon State in an early game for the west coast team. Consensus ATS and money line is on App State. I’ll follow the consensus here Appalachian State -120

    Virginia Tech looks to get the ship righted they are -7 vs. Wake Forest. Wake traditionally has trouble with this team playing in VA. Two years ago the last matchup a 30-13 win for Va Tech. I’ll take the Hokies, Virginia Tech -7

    Kentucky vs. Georgia – Well last year the game was 13-12 UGA escaped Lexington with a win. Georgia has won 15 in a row in the series. This version of the Wildcats doesn’t appear to really be able to compete with the SEC in league play. With this game coming the week after the Alabama game in which the DAWGS were upset doesn’t bode well for the Wildcats. In 2024, 2022, 2020 and 2016 Kentucky was able to keep it close. The Cats have shown me nothing yet to say they will keep this close. Under 48.5 and Georgia -20 the two options as I see it.

    Fresh off their win vs. FSU the Cavaliers and Virginia travel to Louisville. This is a tough matchup at the Cards have won 3 in row in the series. At -6.5 the Cards would’ve covered two of the last 3 as well with last years matchup only going 24-20 Louisville’s way. Virginia can be tough to cover against because they run the ball well. After having to come back last week in Pittsburgh I think the Cardinals will want to start better at home. My pick U of L -6.5 of course try to get them even money should they fall behind here.

    Nebraska the consensus favorite at around 66% laying -11.5 vs. Michigan State. While the Spartans haven’t won in Lincoln since 2013 they have won two and four years ago in the most recent matchups. This Nebraska team is good but I’ll take the Spartans with the points.

    California 85% consensus vs. Duke, they have no recent matchup history here.

    Florida hosting Texas in a year where things couldn’t look much worse last year it was Texas 49-17. This one may have live bet opportunities depending how long the Gators stick around. My pick though is Texas -7.

    Miami looks to make some noise from the state of Florida and let it go nation wide they are for real. 74 % consensus is the Hurricanes here. They won last year 36-14, my pick is Miami -4.

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    7 m
  • The Griff Report - Pro Football Edition
    Sep 26 2025
    September 26, 2025 NFL Week 4

    Vikings vs. Steelers from Ireland. In this early season we have seen the stars of the Vikings show up even with McCarthy injured. The main thing with this Vikings team is the defense really because Coach Flores is showing everyone he should’ve been their head coach candidate. The Steelers showed last week on the road they can play that type of low scoring game in their win at New England. We do see so far it’s 27 a game for Minnesota and 24 a game for Pittsburgh. We see the total not paying that any mind at all sitting at 41. I think this is gonna be a defensive game that has a slight chance to get over. Who knows what kind of consistency we get from Wentz he hasn’t played Pittsburgh since Big Ben was at QB. That being said I’ll take the Under 41 and take my chances. With my lean towards the Steelers here.

    Playoff look ahead? It’s week 4 but Todd Bowles has done well against the Eagles. Last team to beat Hurtz at QB was this Tampa Bay team. Yet we have the hamstring with Evans, Godwin may be out too with the ankle so the rookie and Baker. I think it’s only because the Eagles look unbeatable right now because I have to let you know that 4 or the last 5 meetings have gone the Buccaneers way. Eagles -3.5 I’m just not picking against them right now.

    Bills /Saints Under 47.5 my reasoning being Buffalo is gonna want to get the win run the ball and get the fuck out of there. The Saints will want to move the ball anyway they can, but I’m on the UNDER instead of laying -16 thats too much.

    Patriots vs Panthers Under 43, because I think it’s also New England -5, reason being its odd to see them favored by that much and the bookie knows something in setting that line.

    Commanders vs Falcons – Over 45.5 and I think right now this line is giving credit where it has been a tall task to Washington since last year. Jayden Daniels has too many weapons right now for me to look at Atlanta. They have to show me to make me believe because the number -1 looks like free lunch. Always beware because you still gotta always beware what appears to be free lunch. Washington -1

    The Lions vs. The Browns, I look at the -10 and said damn they set the line like they got Eminem up there betting on the Lions. The Browns strength is on defense which won’t hold up against Detroit. Lions -10.

    0-3 and they get a division opponent they have beat up the four of five times in Tennessee. Texans -7.

    Chargers are going to have to be dealt with in the playoff this year. I’ll take them in NY as well LAC-6.5

    Jaguars +3 as injury woes have to take a toll eventually for the 49ers.

    Colts vs. Rams I have to go with the every four year matchup having the Rams won the past 4. Rams Money Line

    The Bears who looked good against the Cowboys and the trip to Vegas might be another win if they can run the ball and hold it the same way. I’ll take Chicago -103.

    I’ll just take the over in the Ravens/Chiefs as it could go either way but the Chiefs have won 6 of 7 vs Baltimore with their 2012 being the last Ravens win at Arrowhead. Baltimore looked like they had some problems 3rd down getting off the field, thats where this game will be decided if the Ravens d can win 3rd down. Cheifs money line. Over 48.5

    Packers -6.5 taking some 90% consensus. I know what they did in the playoffs but this game is all about Parsons hype, except the Pack has won 9 of 10 vs Dallas. Packers -6.5.

    As always Best of luck and enjoy your Sunday

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    10 m
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