The Griff Report - College Football Playoff Quarterfinals

NCAA CFP Quarterfinals December 31 and January 1, 2025

Miami vs. Ohio State -9 Cotton Bowl – Consensus on Ohio State -9 58% Looking at consensus first we see the biggest number of the playoffs and strength vs strength as the Ohio State defense faces the Miami O-line. Miami did enough vs. Texas A&M but it was an ugly win and for them to have a shot this one is gonna be another game. OSU is 2nd in the country on 3rd down defense and for the year they have the best defensive unit in the nation. The Canes two loses to Louisville and SMU but no one has beaten them by 9 yet. However OSU is 10-2-1 ATS, the Canes are 2-0 as underdogs. Which brings me to the total which is sitting at 42. I think both teams are comfortable with playing a defensive game, I normally would not make a total play but seeing the first CFP game from Miami they are comfortable playing that style of a game as well. I think Miami will have to play a perfect game to even cover here. It'll be close for most of the first half and they may cover on the Canes just down the stretch meaning you can probably pick up Ohio State during the game for a discounted number. However I think this one goes somewhere around 24-14 Buckeyes way. Ohio State -9 and the UNDER.

Oregon-2.5 vs. Texas Tech – I've seen Texas Tech play a few times this year but they weren't playing anyone who is a really good team. Maybe they show me wrong but until then I look at them as beat up on an easy schedule and think the rest of the teams in the CFP still would've gone undefeated with that type of schedule. 68% consensus with me on Oregon -2.5 and OVER 52.5 93% consensus as I feel like Oregon just let up a lot of points to JMU granted it was late but this one here will be back and forth. Oregon and the OVER

Alabama vs. Indiana-7- Consensus 51% on Bama here. I know Indiana is the cinderella of the football world this year and yea they did beat Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game with OSU really cared nothing about. I just don't think the Big Ten is as good as the SEC. Indiana has failed to cover some of their games as well 8-5 ATS, Alabama 2-1 ATS as a dog this year. Thing is I feel like there is zero chance that Alabama is underestimating IU and what has happened the rest of the year may be a feel good story but the momentum from going into OU and coming back from down 17-0 I've got to pick Alabama +7 and if your feeling lucky Alabama +203.

Ole Miss vs. Georgia-6.5 – A rematch from SEC play has the Bulldogs taking 82% consensus against the Rebels. Even though UGA covered in the first meeting it was Ole Miss who was ahead after 3 quarters. I think this may be a very competitive game where Georgia's run attack builds strength as the game goes on. It's hard for me to pick anywhere else because I feel like Georgia is the best team in the playoffs. UGA-6.5 by a score of about 27-20 with Ole Miss trying to drive to tie the game up and Georgia's D having to make the stop the secure the win. Georgia -6.5

As always Best of luck and Enjoy your New Years!