It is February 14, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

On today's episode, we analyze the "Alpha" in Ames as No. 19 Kansas takes on No. 5 Iowa State. We also break down the Patriot League clash between Navy and Colgate, searching for mispriced probability on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. From total unders in Nashville to our underdog play of the day with Texas A&M, we provide the data-driven insights you need to navigate moving market odds. Our hosts track betting movements for the Midshipmen, Jayhawks, and Aggies to find where the value lies.

For questions or feedback, contact us at feedback@predictionmarketshq.com.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is Friday, February 13th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market. In this evening edition, we analyze massive market corrections forcing us to bail on Niagara and George Mason while holding our convictions on Princeton, Yale, and Iona.

We dive deep into the late-night board on Polymarket and Kalshi to find value in the Big Ten and Mountain West matchups. Our analysts explain why the odds are shifting toward Wisconsin at home and why Boise State is a strong play against UNLV. Whether you are tracking movement on prediction market apps or looking for last-minute college basketball odds, this episode covers the volume-driven shifts you need to know.

• Bail: Niagara & George Mason
• Hold: Princeton, Yale, & Iona
• Late Adds: Wisconsin & Boise State

Questions? Reach out to feedback@predictionmarketshq.com.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is Friday, February 13, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

With the NBA heading into the All-Star break, sharp money is flooding the college basketball markets. Today, we break down five specific picks where the probability is mispriced. We leverage real-time data from Polymarket and Kalshi to identify where the betting value lies, from Niagara's perimeter shooting advantage to Villanova's efficiency margin against Butler.

We also reveal our Dog of the Day, highlighting a high-variance environment where the current odds don't match the true win probability. Whether you are tracking the MAAC or the A-10, this episode provides the data-driven insights needed to navigate tonight's board.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is Friday, February 13, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this episode of Prediction Market HQ, the team conducts a deep-dive portfolio audit. We analyze a frustrating moneyline loss on the KINGS and look at how the odds shifted during the PACERS and BUCKS matchup. Marcus breaks down the systemic failure in pricing the Bobby Portis prop and why paying a premium for 'safe' bets on the SEAHAWKS is a losing long-term strategy on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.

We also discuss 'Missed Alpha' in the Joel Embiid markets and how to adjust your risk calibration to ensure your winning bet translates to maximum PnL. Whether you are trading NBA spreads or NFL team totals, understanding the implied probability of these odds is key to becoming a profitable trader.

Questions or comments? Reach out to: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is February 12th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

On this evening edition, we re-verify our morning positions as injury news shifts the landscape for the BUCKS and THUNDER. We analyze why the value has surged in our favor and check the status of our NBA player props for the TRAIL BLAZERS and LAKERS games. Using data from Polymarket and Kalshi, we identify late-breaking opportunities in college basketball, including a heavy play on HIGH POINT and our 'Dog of the Day' North Texas.

Whether you are tracking moneyline odds or specific scoring totals, this episode provides the technical breakdown of where the sharp money is moving tonight. Stay ahead of the market with our final portfolio recap for the Thursday slate.

Feedback? Email us at: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is April 12, 2024, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market. In this episode, we explore how injury reports are creating unique opportunities on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, specifically focusing on the massive spread in the BUCKS and THUNDER matchup.

We analyze several key player prop markets, including Vít Krejčí’s points total and Naji Marshall’s projected regression. Our team utilizes Polymarket data to find the 'Alpha' in these skeleton rotations, ensuring you have the latest odds before tip-off. We also reveal our 'Dog of the Day' focusing on the rebounding market for P.J. Washington as size returns to the Lakers' frontcourt.

Whether you are looking for high-conviction value plays or tracking market liquidity on Kalshi, this episode provides the analytical edge required for today's bets.

Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is Wednesday, February 11th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market. Tonight’s slate is defined by significant injury news forcing massive movement on Polymarket and Kalshi. We explore why the Giannis scratch makes the MAGIC a prime double-down target and how the KNICKS moneyline is reacting to the uncertainty surrounding Joel Embiid.

Marcus dives into the specific scoring odds for Devin Booker and why the sharp money is hammering the over in the Hawks-Hornets shootout. We also break down the interior mismatches in the Raptors-Pistons game to help you find the best bets before the markets lock. From first-half spreads to player props, get the data-driven edge for this evening’s portfolio.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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It is Wednesday, February 11th, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

On today's episode, we dive into a massive NBA board, starting with why the Rockets 1H spread is the play of the day against a struggling Clippers rotation. We also analyze the total for Hawks vs. Hornets and explain why the market odds on Kalshi and Polymarket haven't fully adjusted to the thin rotations in Orlando and Milwaukee.

Finally, we reveal our 'Dog of the Day' in Toronto, capitalizing on a massive mispricing caused by Detroit's frontcourt suspensions. Join us as we track how the sharp money is moving across Polymarket to find the best edge for your sports bets.

Contact us: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Read Transcript