March 27-29 | Ledger Recap

It is Monday, March 30, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this edition of the Ledger Recap, the team analyzes a 14-3 record and a net gain of five units, while diving into the efficiency of recent market positions. We look at the structural flaws in the CLIPPERS' narrow win and why high-conviction odds on the SPURS and RAPTORS provided significant value that was left on the table.

• NBA Analysis: Reviewing Stephon Castle’s historic triple-double and the impact of Giannis Antetokounmpo's absence on spread contracts.
• NHL Tape: Why the SABRES puck line failed despite a straight win and how milestones can impact game flow.
• Refining the Algorithm: A deep dive into position sizing and identifying underpriced blowout contracts on leading platforms.

Maximize your strategy on Kalshi and Polymarket by understanding the chain of causation behind every move. Our hosts provide a masterclass in risk-based accounting and finding the true alpha in prediction market units.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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