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In an era of terrifying unpredictability, we race to address complex crises with quick, sure algorithms, bullet points, and tweets. How could we find the clarity and vision so urgently needed today by being unsure? Uncertain is about the triumph of doing just that. A scientific adventure set on the front lines of a volatile era, this epiphany of a book by award-winning author Maggie Jackson shows us how to skillfully confront the unexpected and the unknown, and how to harness not-knowing in the service of wisdom, invention, mutual understanding, and resilience.

Volume 4 of The Great Mental Models series delves into the realms of economics and art, presenting more than twenty-four valuable ideas with clear language and style. This book equips you with an understanding of the dynamics shaping our world. It will teach you strategies to leverage these principles and give you a significant edge in the aspects of life you value most.

Pack your bags for the transformational quest of leading a dynamic, fast-growth organization in The Journey to CEO Success. Distilling more than 20 years of experience coaching visionary leaders, executive mentor Patrick Thean identifies seven essential practices that enabled Michael Praeger to transform AvidXchange from a promising startup into the billion-dollar public company it is today. This book blends compelling real-world stories with battle-tested tactics to equip entrepreneurs and CEOs to thrive.

Volume 3 of The Great Mental Models series focuses on systems and mathematics, simplifying more than twenty-four key concepts from these technical fields into easy-to-understand terms. It provides insights into the unseen mechanisms that influence our environment and teaches you how to apply these principles to benefit your life.

Volume 2 of The Great Mental Models series provides a collection of over twenty important concepts from physics, chemistry, and biology in a clear and accessible style. Not only will you better understand the hidden forces that influence the world around you, you’ll also learn how those forces can work to your advantage.

A vital book for leaders and decision makers, The Evolution of Cooperation reveals how cooperative principles help us think better about everything from military strategy, to political elections, to family dynamics.

Ist es wahrscheinlicher, dass du in einer Bäckerei arbeitest, wenn dein Nachname Bäcker lautet? Wie kannst du hundertprozentig sicher sein, dass du eine Wette gewinnst? Warum blieben so viele Einwohner von Pompeji an Ort und Stelle, als der Vesuv ausbrach? Wie kann ein Atomkrieg verhindert werden? Seit Beginn der Menschheit versuchen wir, vorherzusagen, was die Welt für uns bereithält. Genauso lange liegen wir damit aber auch schon falsch. Von religiösen Orakeln über Wettervorhersagen bis zur Politik – wir sind ständig mit mangelhaften Prognosen konfrontiert.

This is a clear and simple guide to getting out from under credit card debt, student loan debt, and all other forms of owing people money. With simple changes and smart decisions, you can start today and enjoy financial stability moving forward.

A powerful yet simple approach to positive change, a solutions focus approach to people problems explores what works in a given situation and aims do more of it. The Solutions Focus is the definitive guide to this revolutionary yet practical alternative to conventional wisdom. It demonstrates how the unique SIMPLE method of working sidesteps the search for the causes of trouble and heads directly for the solution. Today national solutions focus associations around the world from Sweden to Australia, base their training on the methods explained here.

As CEO of the Consumer Technology Association ®, owner and producer of CES ®, Gary Shapiro has had a front row seat to the launch of nearly every recent major technology. He's seen tech companies rise and fall, and bankrupt entrepreneurs become billionaires. After more than four decades in the industry, he knows that the leaders who make it in tech world have one thing in common: they know how to pivot.

Time and time again, great thinkers like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have credited their success to mental models: simple representations of how the world works that can be applied in a wide array of contexts. Mastering a small number of these concepts enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others don’t, and better anticipate outcomes.

A provocative exploration of how humans are wired to seek short-term success at the expense of long-term survival—an evolutionary “glitch” that explains everything from toxic workplaces to climate change.

In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates "The River," or those whose mastery of risk allows them to shape—and dominate—so much of modern life. These professional risk takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true-believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the 21st century. 

Every big project—whether it’s technology, sneakers, or a neighborhood café—requires a big investment to get off the ground. Unfortunately, most big projects flop with customers. Too many teams waste time, money, and opportunity because they follow the wrong strategy and lose sight of what really matters: Do people want what you’re making? Does your solution click with customers?

We have hundreds of conversations every week, offline, online and even in our heads. But have you ever stopped to think about the words you use? The way we describe ourselves and the world around us shapes our decisions, emotions and actions. Offering practical guidance based on the latest psychology and neuroscience, this witty and intelligent book urges us to be open to the possibility of our own fallibility. By embracing conversations as a tool for growth, we can learn to communicate better with others and, most crucially, ourselves, giving us a more rewarding and successful life.

We have to make decisions all the time. But were any of us taught at school, college or work how to make better decisions? This book, by Sharon Curry and Andrew St George, provides a very simple system for making good decisions, tried and tested in a wide variety of workplaces, and under extreme conditions with clients from military to health to commercial to consultancies to international governments. The process derives from the Royal Marines and military planning, fully extended and adapted to match the challenges of everyday lives.

We have to make decisions all the time. But were any of us taught at school, college or work how to make better decisions? This book, by Sharon Curry and Andrew St George, provides a very simple system for making good decisions, tried and tested in a wide variety of workplaces, and under extreme conditions with clients from military to health to commercial to consultancies to international governments. The process derives from the Royal Marines and military planning, fully extended and adapted to match the challenges of everyday lives.