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In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information. In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation.

Making decisions is one of the key tasks of managers, leaders, and professionals. In Smart Management, Jochen Reb, Shenghua Luan, and Gerd Gigerenzer demonstrate how business leaders can utilize heuristics—simple decision-making strategies adapted to the task at hand.

Doomsday prophets of technology predict that robots will take over the world, leaving humans behind in the dust. Tech industry boosters think replacing people with software might make the world a better place—while tech industry critics warn darkly about surveillance capitalism. Despite their differing views of the future, they all agree: machines will soon do everything better than humans. How to Stay Smart in a Smart World shows why that's not true, and tells us how we can stay in charge in a world populated by algorithms.

Gerd Gigerenzer is one of the researchers of behavioral intuition responsible for the science behind Malcolm Gladwell's bestseller Blink. Gladwell showed us how snap decisions often yield better results than careful analysis. Now, Gigerenzer explains why our intuition is such a powerful decision-making tool.

Brought to you by Penguin. Is more data always better? Do algorithms really make better decisions than humans? Can we stay in control in an increasingly automated world? Drawing on decades of research into decision-making under uncertainty, Gerd Gigerenzer makes a compelling case for the...

Kompetent, mündig und digital: Bestsellerautor Gerd Gigerenzer über die Herausforderungen im 21. Jh. Wie groß ist die Chance, beim Online-Dating den Partner fürs Leben zu treffen? Was genau zeichnen die smarten Geräte bei uns zu Hause auf? Gehört dem autonomen Fahren die Zukunft? Überhaupt: Wo sind Algorithmen besser als der Mensch, wo aber nicht? Der weltweit renommierte Psychologe und Risikoforscher Gerd Gigerenzer beschreibt anhand vieler konkreter Beispiele, wie wir lernen können, auch im digitalen Zeitalter souverän und digital mündig zu bleiben.

¿Sufres de reflujo biliar o gastritis alcalina y los médicos no saben cómo ayudarte? Una de las principales razones por las cuales el reflujo biliar es a menudo difícil de curar es porque no existe una opción de tratamiento efectivo. Y desafortunadamente, parece que la medicina convencional no sabe mucho sobre cómo tratar este problema. Y es que deshacerse del reflujo biliar y sus síntomas molestos requiere más que de medicamentos antiácidos o de simples cambios en la dieta. Se necesita un enfoque de tratamiento integral que ataque el problema desde la raíz y proporcione una ...

Tried all the medical advice but still hurting from reflux? You're not alone. I was there for 15 years, trusting advice that just didn't help. Medications faded in effect, and the fear of long-term side effects grew. Thankfully, a tip from a friend changed everything for me. In the same way, I hope that the tips in my free digestion challenge—digestionchallenge.com—are what you needed to confirm that you're ready for my three-step plan.

Jodi Picoult's poignant number one New York Times best-selling novels about family and love tackle hot-button issues head on. In The Storyteller, Sage Singer befriends Josef Weber, a beloved Little League coach and retired teacher. But then Josef asks Sage for a favor she never could have imagined - to kill him. After Josef reveals the heinous act he committed, Sage feels he may deserve that fate. But would his death be murder or justice?

A major new work by a leading historian and pioneer in women's studies, The Creation of Patriarchy is a radical reconceptualization of Western civilization that makes gender central to its analysis. Gerda Lerner argues that male dominance over women is not "natural" or biological, but the product of an historical development begun in the second millennium BC in the Ancient Near East. As patriarchy as a system of organizing society was established historically, she contends, it can also be ended by the historical process.

Has gastritis and stomach pains made your life miserable? Eliminating gastritis and its annoying symptoms calls for more than acid-blocking medications or simple dietary changes. It requires a comprehensive treatment approach that tackles the root cause and provides a real solution to the problem, which is exactly what this audiobook is all about. The Gastritis Healing Book offers a completely new treatment approach that incorporates precise advice and recommendations about the changes you should make in your diet, habits, and lifestyle, in order to heal your stomach.

GERD and acid reflux disease: Do you suffer from heartburn or perhaps one of the other uncomfortable symptoms of GERD, also known as "acid reflux" including: Unexplained chest pain, abdominal pain, difficulty swallowing, excessive burping and belching, unexplained weight loss, frequent nausea and vomiting, persistent coughing or hoarseness, laryngitis, sinusitis or ear infections, passing of black stool, wheezing or asthma-type symptoms.

Erinnern wir uns an die weltweite Angst vor der Schweinegrippe, als Experten eine nie dagewesene Pandemie prognostizierten und Impfstoff für Millionen produziert wurde, der später still und heimlich entsorgt werden musste. Für Gerd Gigerenzer ist dies nur ein Beleg unseres irrationalen Umgangs mit Risiken. Und das gilt für Experten ebenso wie für Laien.

With the 2020 new updated and extended edition, you will finally know how to have tasty meals without having acid reflux and solve your problems! If you want to know more about acid reflux diet, GERD, and LPR, then you're about to discover how to have tasty meals without having acid reflux right now! In fact, if you want to know how acid reflux works and how to solve it, then this audiobook gives you the answers to 10 important questions and challenges every person with acid reflux problems faces.

Der Psychologe Gerd Gigerenzer, die Datenanalyse-Expertin Katharina Schüller, der Ökonom Thomas Bauer und der Statistiker Walter Krämer diagnostizieren uns seit Jahren in ihrer »Unstatistik des Monats« eine Art Analphabetismus im Umgang mit Zahlen, mit Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Risiken. Anhand neuer spektakulärer Beispiele erklären die vier, wie wir Unsinn erkennen, Prognosen richtig einordnen, zwischen Kausalität und Korrelation unterscheiden und unsere immer komplexere Welt sinnvoll beschreiben können. Das ist unterhaltsam—und wichtiger denn je!

Trockenobst ist giftig. Fast Food macht depressiv, Choleragefahr nimmt rasant zu, Polen sind fleißiger als Deutsche: Mit solch dramatischen Meldungen auf höchst fragwürdiger Datenbasis lassen wir uns täglich nur allzu gern aufstören. Der Psychologe Gerd Gigerenzer, der Ökonom Thomas Bauer und der Statistiker Walter Krämer diagnostizieren uns eine Art Analphabetismus im Umgang mit Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Risiken und haben darauf mit der Ernennung der "Unstatistik des Monats" reagiert.

When Damien Cave brought his young family to Sydney to set up the New York Times’ Australian Bureau, they encountered the local pursuits of Nippers and surfing – and a completely different approach to risk that changed the way they lived their lives. Damien Cave has always been fascinated by...

Menschen schätzen Risiken oftmals falsch ein, sie besitzen auf der einen Seite zu wenig gesicherte Informationen, auf der anderen Seite greifen sie immer wieder auf ihre Intuition zurück. So kommt es, dass wir kein mulmiges Gefühl haben, wenn wir ins Auto steigen und während der Fahrt mit dem Handy hantieren, dass wir immer gleich an den Absturz denken, wenn wir ein Flugzeug besteigen. Obwohl die Unfallstatistik eindeutig für das Flugzeug und gegen das Auto spricht. Welche Gründe hat diese Risikoblindheit, wie kann man sie überwinden. Antworten gibt Prof. Gerd Gigerenzer, Kognitionspsychologe und Direktor des Berliner Max-Planck-Instituts für Bildungsforschung.

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