The Downballot

De: David Nir & David Beard
  • Resumen

  • The Downballot podcast is dedicated to the thousands of elections below the presidency, from Senate to city council. With more than 20 years of experience analyzing U.S. elections, we provide unparalleled insight into congressional, state, and local races nationwide. Tune in every Thursday morning for one-of-a-kind coverage of these key contests.

    www.the-downballot.com
    The Downballot, LLC
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Episodios
  • Democracy prevails in North Carolina
    May 8 2025

    At long, long, long last, Republicans have abandoned their effort to overturn the election for North Carolina's Supreme Court—which took place all the way back in November. We've closely followed every twist and turn, so naturally we're exploring what it all means, both for Democrats and democracy, on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast.

    And joining us as our guest is Matt Hildreth, executive director of Rural Organizing, who tells us how Democrats can actually succeed in rural areas—and the common pitfalls they face. Hildreth says that "the messenger matters more than the message" and emphasizes two huge issues of overriding importance to rural voters: housing and child care. He also explains how Donald Trump's tariffs, which are disproportionately impacting farmers, create an opening for Democrats this year and next.



    Get full access to The Downballot at www.the-downballot.com/subscribe
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    51 m
  • Nir & Rupar: G. Elliott Morris on Trump’s drooping polls
    May 2 2025

    On the latest edition of Nir & Rupar, our live weekly video show, David Nir of The Downballot and Aaron Rupar of Public Notice talk with data journalist G. Elliott Morris all about Trump’s sagging job approval ratings.

    Elliott, who previously ran the seminal site 538, recently launched his own Substack, Strength In Numbers, which you can subscribe to here:

    On the show, Elliott tells us:

    * Why history suggests Trump’s numbers could go much lower by the midterms—and could even put the Senate in play.

    * How nearly all data we rely on to understand politics—from polls to job reports—are based on estimates that are subject to error and can often change.

    * How Democrats have helped sink Trump’s popularity on the last issue that had been his strength, immigration.

    And much more!

    If you missed our livestream, you can watch it by clicking above! You can also find a complete transcript by clicking here and looking for the “Transcript” button.

    Nir & Rupar goes live every Friday at 2 PM ET. The easiest way to participate is by downloading the free Substack app.

    Folks who are paid subscribers to either of our publications can participate in our Q&A!

    If you haven’t yet subscribed to Public Notice, which offers insightful and independent commentary on U.S. politics and media, click the button below:

    And if you haven’t yet subscribed to The Downballot, which provides unparalleled coverage of the thousands of critical elections below the presidency, sign up below:



    Get full access to The Downballot at www.the-downballot.com/subscribe
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    46 m
  • GOP implosion in Virginia
    May 1 2025

    The Virginia GOP is in the midst of a meltdown after the state's governor demanded a fellow Republican running for lieutenant governor quit the race—even though he's the only candidate running. We're examining the mess on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast, as well as another big story out of the Old Dominion: longtime Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly's retirement and what it means for his perch atop the House Oversight Committee.

    The Davids also dive deep into their favorite topic—North Carolina politics—with Rob Schofield, editor of the invaluable NC Newsline. Schofield explains how his organization grew to fill a gap left by vanishing traditional media and shares his insights on all the major stories unfolding in his home state. On the docket: Gov. Josh Stein's unusually placid relationship with GOP lawmakers; Justice Allison Riggs' unusual post-election campaign for public support; and Sen. Thom Tillis' unusual start in politics. You're sensing the theme for this most unusual of states!



    Get full access to The Downballot at www.the-downballot.com/subscribe
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    53 m
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!

just love them and their insight. Almost resembles my own. Great way to get more knowledge about any and all elections.

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SO GLAD I STUMBLED ON THIS !!!

I have never heard such a concise but all encompassing election update/analysis.. will come back for more 😁

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Why it so important to be informed and vote!

I thoroughly enjoyed listening to this podcast. They are entertaining and informative. So glad I found them.

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