Episodios

  • Zohran's pollster pulls back the curtain on how he won
    Jul 10 2025

    Zohran Mamdani's stunning upset in last month's primary is still reverberating, which is why we were eager to talk with his pollster, Jane Rayburn of Workbench Strategy, on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast to understand just how he pulled it off. Rayburn pulls back the curtain to explain how her firm captured the sentiments of a radically reshaped electorate, why Mamdani wanted a two-person race, and when she knew he could actually win. Plus, the challenges of polling a ranked-choice contest!

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also delve into two major Republicans who announced retirements just before the Fourth of July: Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Don Bacon in Nebraska. Why are they bailing? Who has the inside track to succeed them? And what exactly is Lara Trump's job? We do our level best to answer all of these questions!



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    43 m
  • Mamdani's astonishing victory
    Jun 26 2025

    Zohran Mamdani pulled off one of the most astonishing upsets of all time on Tuesday, so we've devoted this week's entire episode of The Downballot podcast to understanding how it happened and what it all means.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard discuss how Mamdani drew out new voters and forged an unlikely multi-ethnic coalition through his singular emphasis on affordability—a stark contrast to Andrew Cuomo's old-school campaign (or lack thereof) and his reliance on dark money.

    The Davids also look ahead to November and explain why Mamdani remains the frontrunner despite Wall Street's panic. They conclude by emphasizing the lessons Democrats should learn from the race, including the most important of all: act like a winner.



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    41 m
  • NYC's messy primary goes down to the wire
    Jun 19 2025

    We're diving deep into New York City's many-layered Democratic primary for mayor on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast. Polls keep showing Andrew Cuomo in the lead, but is it big enough to stop a late surge by Zohran Mamdani? Will Brad Lander's arrest by federal agents give him a last-minute jolt? And will we see any more alliances like the recent Mamdani-Lander cross-endorsement? We explore all these questions and many more.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also recap Virginia's fascinating primary results, including why Richmond's former mayor did so poorly in his hometown. They then look ahead to November as Democrats display unity while the Republican ticket is in shambles. And finally, one of the winners of the Second Annual Downballot Awards is back in the news, and it's for a good reason!



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    41 m
  • Primary season starts now
    Jun 12 2025

    The 2025 primaries are underway! On this week's episode of The Downballot podcast, we're recapping all the action from Tuesday's elections in New Jersey and previewing next week's contests in Virginia. As per usual, there are also special elections to discuss, including a monster Democratic overperformance in Oklahoma.

    We've also got the bizarre case of Republican Rep. Mark Green, who just announced his resignation … while reportedly in Guayana, where he's apparently in the midst of some mysterious business dealings that have even fellow Republicans saying, WTF?



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    40 m
  • The definitive report on 2024
    Jun 5 2025

    We've been subject to endless hot takes about last year's elections, but Catalist has much more compelling answers. CEO Michael Frias joins us on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast to explore his firm's detailed new report, What Happened in 2024, that uses carefully assembled voter data to understand how things really went down.

    Frias explains why greater turnout might not have benefited Democrats and doesn't flinch from highlighting serious weaknesses the party has with key constituencies like young Latino men. And as we look toward the midterms, he cautions that MAGA is "not standing still," saying Democrats must be prepared to evolve as well.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also spotlight the huge Democratic overperformance in Tuesday's special election in South Carolina, which was the first to take place in a majority-Black district. And they explain why Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten was smart to immediately jump into the race against GOP Sen. Joni Ernst after her "we're all going to die" outburst.



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    1 h y 1 m
  • The GOP war on direct democracy
    May 29 2025

    Republicans have been trying to make it harder for ordinary citizens to effect change at the ballot box for many years, and their latest effort has now washed ashore in the Sunshine State. This week on The Downballot podcast, Amy Keith, the executive director of Common Cause Florida, joins us to explain how a new GOP bill would impose wild new restrictions on the ballot initiative process, including making it a felony if grandma collects more than 25 signatures on bingo night. But, promises Keith, no matter the hurdles placed before them, Floridians just keep jumping higher.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also preview the top state supreme court races taking place across the country both this year and next. The Davids explain why once-sleepy "retention" elections could be the next major battleground in Pennsylvania and Arizona; how Democrats can expand their majorities in Michigan; and why you shouldn't sleep on Montana, whose top court has acted as an independent check on Republican power-grabs.



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    55 m
  • How MA AG Andrea Campbell is fighting Trump
    May 22 2025

    Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Campbell has an extraordinary story to tell, and she's sharing it with us on this week's edition of The Downballot podcast. Despite an early life dominated by tragedy, including the death of her twin brother while incarcerated, Campbell rose to become the state's top law enforcement official. She explains how she's used her office both to fight for her constituents—on matters from housing affordability to gun violence—and fight against Donald Trump, with a special focus on his lawless executive order seeking to upend American elections.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also recap Tuesday's elections, including primaries in Pennsylvania's biggest cities and an extremely unusual special election in New York City. The Davids then dive into the unfolding GOP meltdown in Virginia and explain why the Republican approach to candidate diversity keeps blowing up in their faces. Finally, they preview next year's race for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, which will be another barn burner.



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    42 m
  • Another huge Dem flip
    May 15 2025

    After bursting onto the scene as the newest swing state just a few years ago, Georgia will be a top battleground in next year's midterms up and down the ballot. Joining us on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast is Charlie Bailey, the new chair of the Georgia Democratic Party, to share his insights on 2026. Bailey tells us about the most critical tasks he faces in building up the party and shines a spotlight on key races—including the "full-on MAGAthon" he expects to see consume Republicans.

    Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also dive into the huge election in Omaha on Tuesday night, which saw Democrats win the mayor's office for the first time since 2009. The race offers a smart playbook for Democrats seeking to fight back against transphobic GOP attacks. It also serves as a warning sign for Republicans as they try to protect a vulnerable House seat in the area next year.



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    49 m