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Gold Dragon Daily

Gold Dragon Daily

De: Gold Dragon Investments
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Gold Dragon Daily: Your Essential Private Markets Podcast The only daily podcast delivering twice-daily insights for investors winning the game of passive investing through private markets—whether you're accredited, building toward it, or exploring your first alternative investment. What You Get: Market Pulse (5 AM Daily) - Data-driven updates on US private markets covering energy sector investing, commercial real estate trends, multifamily market analysis, and private credit opportunities. Real-time market updates on natural gas investments, oil and gas private equity, renewable energy infrastructure, and institutional real estate capital flows. Game Theory (5 PM Daily) - Pure nerd entertainment meets strategic wealth building. Explore Dungeons & Dragons, Warhammer 40K, and tabletop gaming principles that teach calculated risk-taking, resource management, elite performance, and the adventurer's mindset. This isn't just gaming talk—it's how legendary campaigns reveal the psychology that separates winners from everyone else in investing and life. Perfect For: - Investors seeking private market opportunities (accredited or building toward it) - Fund managers and capital raisers in energy and real estate - Institutional investors allocating to private credit and alternative investments - Sophisticated investors building strategic wealth through passive investing - Entrepreneurs and business leaders exploring private market capital - Gamers, dungeon masters, and tabletop strategists who love D&D, Warhammer 40K, and board games - Anyone who sees the connection between gaming strategy and wealth building Your Host: Justin 2.0, powered by Gold Dragon Investments, delivering institutional-grade market analysis and strategic mindset training twice daily, seven days a week. Daily Dominance: While others publish weekly, Gold Dragon Daily gives you the unfair advantage of consistent, twice-daily content that compounds into total market authority. Morning: private markets data. Evening: nerd wisdom. No fluff, no hype—just pure analysis and strategic mindset training. Subscribe now for 3-5 minute episodes that sharpen your understanding of private markets investing, commercial real estate opportunities, energy sector trends, D&D strategy, Warhammer 40K lore, tabletop gaming insights, and the winning mindset that builds generational wealth. Download "Strategic Wealth: The Hidden Power of Private Market Energy" and join The Gold Dragon Investor Club at GotTheGold.com© 2025 Gold Dragon Investments Economía Finanzas Personales Gestión y Liderazgo Liderazgo
Episodios
  • Market Pulse — Monday: Oil, Gas, Stocks, SOFR & Real Estate Numbers
    Dec 15 2025

    Welcome to Gold Dragon Daily
    An AI-powered podcast by Gold Dragon Investments, helping you win the game of passive investing. For more information, visit GotTheGold.com. I'm your host, Justin 2.0.

    This is Market Pulse — Monday's numbers.

    Oil
    • WTI crude fell 0.30% to $57.27 per barrel
    • Brent crude rose 0.13% to $61.20
    • Double bottom chart pattern forming around $57-$57.30
    • Down 4.33% over past month, down 18.52% year over year
    • 2026 surplus expected as supply outpaces demand

    Natural Gas
    • Henry Hub fell 0.31% to $4.10 per MMBtu
    • Down 5.98% over past month, up 27.58% year over year
    • Expected $4.16 by quarter end, $5.12 in 12 months
    • Strong production and ample inventories weigh on prices

    Credit
    • SOFR fell to 3.66% on December 11
    • Federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% (third consecutive 25bp cut)
    • Fed projects only one additional 25bp cut in 2026
    • Growth forecasts revised higher: 1.7% for 2025, 2.3% for 2026

    Stocks
    • S&P 500 increased to 6,864 points, up 0.54%
    • Key data this week: November jobs report, monthly CPI, retail sales, consumer spending, housing starts, building permits, flash PMI data
    • Earnings reports from Micron Technology, Nike, and FedEx
    • Quadruple witching Friday may lead to increased volatility

    Real Estate
    • Improved sentiment heading into 2025
    • Transaction activity expected to increase up to 10% in 2025
    • Cap rates likely to decline slightly but stabilize at higher levels
    • Industrial remains strong, multifamily construction easing
    • Office leasing volume projected to increase 5%
    • Data centers remain high demand

    Bottom Line
    • Oil: Target sub-$50 breakevens, hedge floors above $75
    • Gas: Selective exposure, winter contracts locked
    • Real Estate: Industrial sub-5.7% caps near logistics hubs
    • Credit: Senior secured, SOFR plus 650+, LTV under 65%

    Visit GotTheGold.com. Stay sharp.

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    4 m
  • Game Theory — Friday: Underwater Cities — Building the Ocean's Greatest Civilization
    Dec 13 2025
    Welcome to Gold Dragon Daily An AI-powered podcast by Gold Dragon Investments, helping you win the game of passive investing. This is Game Theory — Underwater Cities: Building the Ocean's Greatest Civilization Introduction • Underwater Cities designed by Vladimir Suchy (one of the most respected heavy Euro designers in the world) • Not a light game — deep strategy wrapped in sci-fi theme about overpopulation forcing humanity to colonize the ocean floor • Complex, beautiful, and absolutely rewarding • Playtime: 2 to 2.5 hours, requires thinking three moves ahead Core Mechanic: Card Placement • Central board with 3x5 grid of colored slots • Players take turns placing colored cards into slots • When you match card color to slot color, you get both benefits: action from board slot AND advantage printed on card • Miss the color match, you only get card advantage • Tension between forcing your move now versus waiting for perfect match is where strategy lives Building Your Underwater Civilization • Collect raw materials: biomatter, kelp, steelplast, and science tokens • Use resources to build city domes, tunnels, and production buildings • Farms produce food • Desalination plants produce water • Laboratories produce science • Each building type feeds into your scoring engine and creates synergies • Well-built farm early game compounds into points all game long • Engine building at its finest Three Eras: Early, Middle, Late • Each era introduces new cards with more complex interactions • Early game: establishing your economic foundation • Middle game: scaling production and building synergies • Late game: executing your strategy and racing to fill your tableau • Card pool changes each era, so available options shift • Adaptation matters Personal Assistant Cards • Power cards that let you break normal rules in specific ways • Limited and valuable • Using them at right moment turns good turn into devastating turn • About timing, not just raw power • Separates Underwater Cities from other heavy Euros Layered Scoring System • Points from your buildings • Points from Metropolis tiles (special bonuses you unlock by meeting certain conditions) • Points from government contracts (secret objectives that reward specific actions) • Endgame bonuses based on what you prioritized: • Player who maximized farms gets bonus points for farms • Player who focused on laboratories gets science bonuses • Scoring system rewards coherent strategies, not scattered decisions Player Count Matters • At 2 players: tense tactical duel, fighting over same cards, slots, resources • At 3 or 4: more chaos, more unpredictability, more table talk, more moments where someone does something brilliant and everyone scrambles to adapt • Both are legitimate strategies Solo Mode with Legitimate Depth • Play against AI opponent • Not just multiplayer solitaire • Playing against actual strategic opponent with own goals and limitations • If you own this game and haven't tried solo, you're missing 30% of the experience Production Quality • Gorgeous art, clean iconography, consistent design • Components feel premium • Double-sided player boards give asymmetric options • Different layouts create different scoring opportunities • Game respects your time and intelligence Real Talk: Who Is This For? • Plays 80-150 minutes depending on player count and experience • Moderate in-game text • Need to track production chains, scoring conditions, and card synergies • Not for quick and light gameplay • Perfect for players who want game that rewards deep thinking, engine building, and multiple viable strategies in every play Awards and Community • Won major awards: Swiss Gamers Award, Jugg Adult Game of the Year, Kennerspiel des Jahres Recommendations • Active community • Incredible replay value because card variants create totally different games each time • Could play 50 times and find new strategies every single session Why Underwater Cities Works • Proves heavy Euro games can be thematic and mechanically deep • Not just optimizing abstract systems — you're building a city • Making decisions that feel real, that matter, that compound into victory • That's the fantasy, that's why it works That's Game Theory. Subscribe if you haven't already. Visit GotTheGold.com. Stay sharp.
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    6 m
  • Market Pulse — Friday: Oil, Gas, Credit, Real Estate & Stocks Week-End Wrap
    Dec 12 2025
    Welcome to Gold Dragon Daily An AI-powered podcast by Gold Dragon Investments, helping you win the game of passive investing. This is Market Pulse — Friday's Numbers Oil Markets • WTI Crude: $70.08 per barrel (up 0.4%) • Brent: $73.91 (up 0.5%) • WTI-Brent spread: $3.83 • Oil prices gained ground as markets assessed supply dynamics heading into year-end • Despite Friday's gains, crude remains under pressure from oversupply concerns • U.S. production continues at record levels near 13.6 million barrels per day • OPEC Plus maintains production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day, with next increase delayed until April 2026 • Analysts project WTI will average $65-$70 in 2026, with downward pressure from growing non-OPEC supply Natural Gas Markets • Henry Hub: $4.61 per million British thermal units (up 1.8%) • Prices ticked higher as colder weather forecasts emerged for late December and early January • LNG export demand remains robust, with facilities operating near capacity • Storage levels sit 5% below the five-year average, providing support for prices • EIA projects Henry Hub will average $4.30 overall in winter 2025-26 • Natural gas has pulled back from three-year highs reached earlier this month but remains well-supported by export demand and seasonal factors Credit Markets • SOFR held at 3.93% following Wednesday's Fed rate cut • Federal funds rate now sits at 3.50-3.75%, marking third consecutive cut since September • Fed signaled cautious approach to future cuts, with only one additional reduction expected in 2026 • Credit markets adjusting to new rate environment • Three-month SOFR rate now below ten-year SOFR rate, meaning short-term floating-rate funding is cheaper than long-term fixed-rate funding • Inverted curve suggests markets expect rates to remain lower for longer • Corporate bond issuance remains strong as companies lock in favorable rates • Senior secured loans with SOFR plus 650 basis points and LTV under 65% continue to offer attractive risk-adjusted returns Stock Markets • Stock markets ended the week on a mixed note • S&P 500: closed at 6,051 (down 0.5% for the week, but still up over 27% year-to-date) • Nasdaq Composite: fell 0.7% for the week to 19,926 (pressured by concerns about AI spending following Oracle's disappointing earnings) • Dow Jones Industrial Average: rose 0.3% for the week to 43,828 (supported by industrial and financial stocks) • Oracle's stock plunged over 10% Thursday after reporting weak revenue guidance and increased capital expenditure forecasts • The sell-off sparked broader concerns about AI profitability and sustainability • Nvidia and other AI-related stocks declined in sympathy • Tech sector volatility increased as investors reassessed valuations • Energy stocks outperformed, rising 2.1% for the week on higher oil prices mid-week • Financials gained 1.4%, benefiting from steeper yield curves and strong lending activity Real Estate Markets • Existing home sales data showed continued weakness • November sales fell 4.8% to 4.15 million units • Median home prices rose 4.7% year-over-year to $406,100 • Inventory remains tight at 1.37 million homes, a 3.8-month supply • Mortgage rates held near 6.7%, constraining affordability • Industrial real estate remains strong, driven by e-commerce demand and nearshoring trends • Office vacancy rates hit record highs at 18.7% • Industrial cap rates compressed below 5.5% in key logistics markets Bottom Line • Oil: Target sub-$50 breakevens, hedge floors above $75. WTI up 0.4% to $70.08, Brent up 0.5% to $73.91. U.S. production at record 13.6 million barrels per day. OPEC Plus cuts maintained. Analysts project $65-$70 in 2026. • Gas: Up 1.8% to $4.61. Colder weather forecasts emerging. LNG exports near capacity. Storage 5% below average. EIA projects $4.30 winter average. • Credit: SOFR at 3.93%, federal funds at 3.50-3.75%. Three-month SOFR below ten-year. One additional cut expected in 2026. Senior secured loans attractive at SOFR plus 650, LTV under 65%. • Stocks: S&P 500 at 6,051 (down 0.5% for week, up 27% year-to-date). Nasdaq at 19,926 (down 0.7%). Dow at 43,828 (up 0.3%). Oracle concerns weighed on AI stocks. Energy up 2.1%, financials up 1.4%. • Real Estate: Sales down 4.8% to 4.15 million units. Median price $406,100. Mortgage rates 6.7%. Industrial cap rates below 5.5% in key markets. Visit GotTheGold.com. Stay sharp.
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    6 m
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