Bull steepening on the Treasury curve, falling energy prices especially gasoline, the final look at the US economy in 2025 shows it losing momentum again as the new year begins. In fact, even mainstream Economists, the most optimistic bunch you’ll find, they’re growing concerned again, with Moody’s chief economist saying, quote, “nothing else can go wrong” because in his words, we’re already on the edge of recession.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
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S&P Global US Manu PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/7ca2ebfa9cce4c768e0cf449ba966293

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

There was an explosion, a record spike – and it’s not even close - in lending by European banks to European shadow banks in October and November. This spike in European bank lending wasn’t some newfound enthusiasm to take on risks. It was emergency lending, a shadow bank shadow bailout which was every bit the other side of the US$ repo tightness I’ve been telling you about. This surge in shadow bank borrowing in euros shows how widespread and global funding pressure has already been.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026

If you’re a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026.

To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:
https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page

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The Banker Explainer: Why the IMF fears contagion from lenders’ shadow bank exposure
https://www.thebanker.com/content/0ec3d3f5-62bc-4aa1-8202-9cccb6ebc2a3

Bloomberg Deutsche Bank Leads EU Lenders’ Exposure to Shadow Banks
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/deutsche-bank-most-exposed-in-europe-to-shadow-banks-ubs-says

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Fed is going to need some more not-QE and fast. We’ve got the year-end surge in repo borrowing at its window that is already way more than expected. At the same time, front end Treasury bill yields tumble in what is looking more like collateral scarcity along the lines of repo fails. Plus, the rest of the yield curve spent the entire fourth quarter – doing nothing. Literally nothing - and that’s huge.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026

If you’re a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026.

To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:
https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU