This is simply insane – new car sales among American households making $75k or less have crashed by 30% since 2019. Car prices soared. Incomes didn’t. They can’t afford a new car. But it’s not just the lowest incomes. Those making between $75k and $150k have bought 7% fewer cars than in 2019. This is a lot more than the K-shaped economy and to call it an affordability crisis seriously understates the problem.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Fox Business Fed Governor Stephen Miran says more than 100 basis points in rate cuts justified this year
https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/fed-governor-stephen-miran-says-more-than-100-basis-points-cuts-justified-year

Bloomberg Slowing Auto Sales Stoke Concern Over Near-Record Car Prices
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/us-auto-sales-poised-to-slip-as-middle-class-buyers-retreat

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Commodities are going nuts right now, with copper now parabolic joining silver on the crazy train. Gold is lagging behind both, which is not a good sign for each’s ability to stay on the upside. Meanwhile, at the complete other end of the commodity spectrum is oil, not just in terms of prices but key spreads in Middle East markets. One of those just flipped for the first time in years, signaling growing worries about global demand.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Loss of momentum isn’t just happening in the US, it is very well synchronized globally with practically the same pattern showing up everywhere. Updates from neighbors Canada and Mexico show a deepening downturn at the end of last year, especially Mexico putting up its deepest contraction since April. Over in Europe, Germany fell back bringing Italy down with it. Plus, global bellwether Switzerland experienced its own “unexpectedly” sharp setback.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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SPG Canada Manu
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/78c6ddcb80cf4ef0b14fc9dc3c091c86

SPG Mexico Manu
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/47f22c8de61b4d54965a25c3d3c417ca

SPG Germany Manu
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/bd3c462f68704c5ea1613f2fce2879fd

SPG Italy Manu
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/be3b992b4ebb4b4db3030abaff5e0bc5

Bloomberg Swiss Manufacturing Contracted More Than Anticipated in December
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/swiss-manufacturing-contracted-more-than-anticipated-in-december

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU