The oil shock has moved way beyond merely being a price problem. The blockage at Hormuz has already created a very real physical shortage of fuel across much of Asia, and it’s now threatening to hit Europe according to the CEO of Shell Energy. It’s only been about four weeks but we’re seeing major disruptions already, from Australia to South Korea, India, Egypt. Among the hardest hit is the Philippines. There are reports today some airlines are being told to plan for rationing fuel in a few places.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web

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Australia Fuel Crunch Expands to Hundreds of Gas Stations
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/australia-fuel-shortages-expand-to-hundreds-of-service-stations

Securing Australia’s fuel supply
https://www.energy.gov.au/news/securing-australias-fuel-supply

Egypt mandates new closing time for malls and cafes to curb energy use
https://www.egyptindependent.com/egypt-mandates-new-closing-time-for-malls-and-cafes-to-curb-energy-use/

India Turns to Dirty Fuels to Fight Crippling Supply Squeeze
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/india-turns-to-dirty-fuels-to-fight-off-worst-supply-disruption-mmnfhzzs

Marcos promises 'flow of oil' as Philippines declares energy emergency
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3ex8ez3717o

Airline boss flags possible fuel rationing in Philippines as supplies dwindle
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/3347804/airline-boss-flags-possible-fuel-rationing-philippines-supplies-dwindle

Signs of Jet Fuel Hoarding Emerge in Asia on Iran Oil Shock
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-25/signs-of-jet-fuel-hoarding-emerge-in-asia-after-iran-oil-shock

Shell Boss Warns Europe Is Next After Asia Suffers Fuel Squeeze
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/shell-boss-warns-europe-is-next-after-asia-suffers-fuel-squeeze

Oil giants raise the alarm over energy shortages as Iran war drags on
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/iran-war-oil-shell-totalenergies-energy-strait-of-hormuz.html

S&P Global March 2026 US PMIs
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/adc91b5cf42442cbb220d5b66b64ec7d

Indian police manage long lines as panic grows over fuel shortages
https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/indian-police-manage-long-lines-as-panic-grows-over-fuel-shortages

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Another major development in private credit crisis - yes, it is a crisis now. Moody's downgraded a $13 billion KKR co-managed private credit fund, citing "asset quality challenges." This is a huge escalation for three key reasons we'll go over here.

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web

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Retail investors pull billions from private capital’s credit gold mine
https://www.ft.com/content/3103e960-5e54-4cff-a439-b61a77ab21bd?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Blackstone’s Gray: Market ‘noise’ fueled record redemptions from world’s largest private credit fund
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/03/blackstone-private-credit-fund.html

Moody's
https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/461835

Blackstone’s $83 billion BCred fund just reported its first monthly loss due to actual credit problems. However, it’s never credit losses that kill you; it’s always the forced selling, the liquidations. Financial crises begin with small credit losses and then snowball into something far greater because the issues here aren’t numbers on a spreadsheet and seemingly reasonable expected loss calculations. This all comes down to trust and information.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web

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Jon Gray Blackstone President
https://x.com/blackstone/status/2035088934753935648?

Blackstone Private Credit Fund Has First Monthly Loss Since 2022
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/blackstone-private-credit-fund-has-first-monthly-loss-since-2022

Private Credit Firm Ares Holds Town Hall to Reassure Staff on Market Volatility
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-11/ares-holds-townhall-to-reassure-staff-on-market-uncertainties

Ares CEO Says UBS Call on 15% Private Debt Default ‘Absolutely Wrong’
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/arougheti-says-15-private-debt-default-call-absolutely-wrong

New York Fed Sells Remainder of Maiden Lane LLC Securities; Approximately $2.5 Billion Net Gain Generated for U.S. Public from the Portfolio
https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/markets/2018/an180918

Maiden Lane Transactions
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/maidenlane.html

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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU