Despite half the Federal Reserve’s best efforts to take away the December rate cut, the bond market is signaling from top to bottom, back to front it doesn’t care one bit. The FOMC can spout off on tariff inflation, they can claim there is no way they’ll support lowering rates next month, yields are going down and taking inflation expectations with them. The bond market is making big moves despite KC Jeff and his federal funds band.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALE
Get our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings.
https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in November
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/

Bloomberg Retail Sales Lost Steam in September as Shoppers Pulled Back
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/us-retail-sales-rose-0-2-in-september-as-consumers-pulled-back

CNBC Core wholesale prices rose less than expected in September; retail sales gain
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/25/core-wholesale-prices-rose-less-than-expected-in-september-retail-sales-gain.html

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

India’s rupee broke, plunging and I mean plunging Friday to a new record low and once again embarrassing the country’s central bank which had been intervening heavily for the past month. The funny thing is, there really wasn’t much of a trigger to it, at least not on the surface. The rupee continues to be a major global bellwether that often has less to do with India specifically. This once again appears to be one of those cases especially with the dollar making big moves against other important currencies, too.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Get the free guide that breaks down the real economic signals behind America’s shrinking consumer demand, and how to protect your wealth before the slowdown hits your income:
https://web.eurodollar-university.com/home
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Bloomberg Indian Rupee Sinks to All-Time Low as RBI’s Absence Sows ‘Panic’
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-21/indian-rupee-slides-to-record-low-on-delay-in-us-trade-deal

Bloomberg Korean Won Approaches Dollar-Sale Trigger Zone Before Rate Call
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/korean-won-approaches-dollar-sale-trigger-zone-before-rate-call

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Over half of American homes lost value over the last year, the highest number since...2012. More importantly, even the media is catching on that something big changed this summer in real estate. The reason why the housing market is retreating isn't interest rates. Lower mortgage costs have not sparked a turnaround in the face of all expectations they would.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That’s why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don’t have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University’s comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you.

https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com

Zillow 53% of U.S. homes lost value in the past year, the most since 2012
https://investors.zillowgroup.com/investors/news-and-events/news/news-details/2025/53-of-U-S--homes-lost-value-in-the-past-year-the-most-since-2012/default.aspx

Home Value Declines Spread, But Losses Since Last Sale Are Rare
https://www.zillow.com/research/home-value-decline-35724/

Bloomberg Job and Housing Stresses Are Caught in a Vicious Loop
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-11-21/job-and-housing-stresses-are-caught-in-a-vicious-loop

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU