Energy prices renewed their surge higher today. As it stands, WTI is now just shy of $80 per barrel, up 22% in a week. Wholesale gasoline is now above $2.60 per gallon, a 30% rise since last Thursday. These are the biggest short-term energy spikes we’ve seen since 2022. Because of that, we have to start seriously considering various potential paths for this burgeoning oil shock, up to and including a 1990 scenario where conflict in the Middle East sent energy prices skyrocketing and tipped a weak economy here and around the world into full-blown recession.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

The Swiss National Bank just issued a very rare warning hinting at currency intervention in the franc. While there is a mini-panic mainly in the mainstream media over oil being inflationary, look instead at what is going on in Switzerland and how it got to be this way. The last few years of consumer prices and interest rates. They are instructive about what we should expect everywhere else – including what happens when the world gets hit with a major oil spike.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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SNB Touts Intervention Threat as Iran Crisis Rattles Markets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-02/snb-says-increasingly-prepared-to-intervene-in-fx-markets

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The oil spike has reached the global pain threshold unleashing liquidations and a scramble for liquidity. At the same time, another big development in private credit that is already spilling over into other parts of the marketplace. The dollar is jumping, never a good sign and no shortage of reasons why it is.

Eurodollar University Money & Macro Analysis

Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web