Repo. It’s back. Or more accurately, never really left. When we last left off with it, things were calming down which is not unusual in these circumstances. That didn’t mean it was a one-time, one-off matter, just that in the middle of the month there isn’t a whole lot going on. But now with the Thanksgiving holiday here and December approaching, repo rates are up, borrowing from the Fed is back, and in related developments the hedge fund-private credit world is getting spicier.

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Bloomberg UBS Boss Is Right on Private Credit Rating Risks
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-11-06/ubs-boss-scores-one-for-banks-over-private-credit

BIS The transformation of the life insurance industry: systemic risks and policy challenges
https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap161.htm

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Despite half the Federal Reserve’s best efforts to take away the December rate cut, the bond market is signaling from top to bottom, back to front it doesn’t care one bit. The FOMC can spout off on tariff inflation, they can claim there is no way they’ll support lowering rates next month, yields are going down and taking inflation expectations with them. The bond market is making big moves despite KC Jeff and his federal funds band.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in November
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/

Bloomberg Retail Sales Lost Steam in September as Shoppers Pulled Back
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/us-retail-sales-rose-0-2-in-september-as-consumers-pulled-back

CNBC Core wholesale prices rose less than expected in September; retail sales gain
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/25/core-wholesale-prices-rose-less-than-expected-in-september-retail-sales-gain.html

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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

India’s rupee broke, plunging and I mean plunging Friday to a new record low and once again embarrassing the country’s central bank which had been intervening heavily for the past month. The funny thing is, there really wasn’t much of a trigger to it, at least not on the surface. The rupee continues to be a major global bellwether that often has less to do with India specifically. This once again appears to be one of those cases especially with the dollar making big moves against other important currencies, too.

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Bloomberg Indian Rupee Sinks to All-Time Low as RBI’s Absence Sows ‘Panic’
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-21/indian-rupee-slides-to-record-low-on-delay-in-us-trade-deal

Bloomberg Korean Won Approaches Dollar-Sale Trigger Zone Before Rate Call
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/korean-won-approaches-dollar-sale-trigger-zone-before-rate-call

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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU