UBS is reportedly closing down not one but two hedge funds, in a more that raises a lot of questions but also some very uncomfortable parallels to 2007. One of those funds is exposed to First Brands, so understandable. The other...isn't. And that raises the prospect of the R-word; in this case, that does not stand for recession, rather its uglier monetary twin.

Bloomberg UBS Winds Down O’Connor Funds in Sign of First Brands Strain
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-06/ubs-to-wind-down-o-connor-funds-with-first-brands-exposure

NYT $3.2 Billion Move by Bear Stearns to Rescue Fund
https://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/23/business/23bond.html

https://eurodollar.university

The most October job cuts in over twenty years. More than October 2008, if you’re keeping score. While that doesn’t mean this is a repeat of 2008, can we all finally admit this is a really serious situation? And as the flat Beveridge curve emerges more clearly, the rising unemployment it represents is also causing collateral damage, pun intended. The New York Fed said yesterday auto, credit card and student loan delinquencies hit levels, well you’ll have to see.

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Nov 06 October Challenger Report: 153,074 Job Cuts on Cost-Cutting & AI
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/october-challenger-report-153074-job-cuts-on-cost-cutting-ai/

Revelio Labs Employment — October 2025
https://www.reveliolabs.com/public-labor-statistics/employment/

Revelio Labs RPLS Reports 60k Jobs Added in September Amid BLS Shutdown
https://www.reveliolabs.com/news/macro/rpls-september-release/

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The dollar is accelerating and not in the direction most people were anticipating, to the point it has rattled the entire cryptocurrency space. That’s why cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin just got hit with a major selloff this week as the dollar debasement theme which had driven their latest surge comes up completely empty. More important than that, however, the dollar is accelerating higher which signals quite a lot all its own. But what? You can see how this gets confusing with all this unnatural noise.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU