It was maybe inevitable that the oil shock would lead to a dollar shock especially around Asia. The sudden, sharp rise in oil prices is essentially a margin call in dollars which hits the biggest energy importers the hardest. Today, the biggest economy in Southeast Asia just tightened currency controls restricting dollar availability there, and confirming the monetary situation is in a precarious position already.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Meta Platforms is reportedly considering laying off over 20% of its workforce. The company didn’t confirm anything, but it also didn’t deny the thrust of the rumor, either. The purpose of these theoretical job cuts does not appear to be replacing employees with AI bots, instead it sure looks like the company is trying desperately to conserve a lot cash which raises a bunch of questions about debt and debt markets.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web

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Meta planning sweeping layoffs as AI costs mount: Reuters
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/14/meta-planning-sweeping-layoffs-as-ai-costs-mount-reuters.html

BIS Financing the AI infrastructure boom: on- and off-balance sheet borrowing
https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2603u.htm

How AI Companies Are Keeping Debt Off Their Balance Sheets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-31/meta-xai-starting-trend-for-billions-in-off-balance-sheet-debt

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Deutsche Bank. Wells Fargo. Both global systemically important banks are sitting here watching their stocks get pounded in the same way as BlackRock or Blackstone. Thankfully, not as bad as Blue Owl. Yet. And it is for the same reason. We know the private credit industry and shadow banks are in really bad shape. Markets are already looking outside of them to who might be next to have pay for really bad decisions.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

Sign up below:
https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU