Flat Beveridge strikes again. You know the drill. We’ve been stuck in forgot how to grow and its no-hire/no-fire labor market the past few years. That began to change last year, especially last summer when no-hiring somehow got to be even less hiring. Then last year and this year, no-firing became some firing, in other words, shifting to the flat part of the Beveridge curve. But what we’ve been getting more recently looks to be an escalation in firing. Verizon just announced it may be cutting 15% of its 100,000 strong workforce.

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Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2025/2510#tab-report

Bloomberg Verizon Eyes Up to 15,000 Layoffs as New CEO Takes Charge
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-13/verizon-layoffs-could-come-next-week-as-new-ceo-takes-charge

CNBC White House says October jobs and inflation data may never be released because of the shutdown
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/12/white-house-october-data-release.html

Bloomberg Fed’s Perli Says Won’t Be Long Before Fed Starts Buying Assets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-12/fed-s-perli-says-won-t-be-long-before-fed-starts-buying-assets

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The collapse and bankruptcy of another private credit supported firm has generated significant losses this week. But as I pointed out last week with the shuttered UBS sponsored hedge funds, it isn’t necessarily the amount of money being burned. It’s what each of these cockroaches reveals, and how they add to the growing mistrust about the entire private credit shadow banking network. That’s the real danger which could threaten to unravel a whole lot more than a few troubled firms.

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Bloomberg BlackRock Faces 100% Loss on Private Loan, Adding to Credit Market Pain
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-10/blackrock-eyes-100-loss-on-private-loan-amid-debate-over-marks

Bloomberg Why First Brands Has Sparked So Many Concerns on Wall Street
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-10/why-first-brands-collapse-sparked-concerns-on-wall-street

Bloomberg Car Loan Delinquencies Hit Record for Riskiest Borrowers
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-12/car-loan-delinquencies-hit-record-for-riskiest-borrowers

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Fast food chain Wendy's said it’s closing hundreds more US locations than previously announced because customers can’t afford to eat there. It fits with what McDonalds US President said last week about how the entire industry is fighting for contracting traffic. It sounds practically Chinese talking about oversupply of cheap hamburgers and chicken nuggets. But as we know only too well from China’s economy, it isn’t too much production it is the lack of demand.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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USA Today Wendy's to close roughly 300 stores nationwide starting in late 2025
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2025/11/07/wendys-closing-hundreds-stores-2025/87146469007/

CNBC McDonald’s U.S. boss puts focus on ‘value and affordability’ as consumer spending splits
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/06/mcdonalds-us-boss-memo-value-affordability.html

Bloomberg US Small-Business Optimism Dips to Six-Month Low on Earnings
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-11/us-small-business-optimism-slips-to-six-month-low-on-earnings

Bloomberg US Companies Shed Jobs in Late October, Weekly ADP Data Show
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-11/us-firms-shed-11-250-jobs-per-week-in-four-weeks-to-oct-25-adp

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The federal government may be opening back up but the administration floating a tariff dividend is the real news here. It’s yet another dose of reality showing the stock market is not that reality. Americans are struggling and the timing behind this dividend is transparently in response to worsening economic conditions. After all, more Americans say they think unemployment is coming than at any time since 1980.

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In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That’s why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don’t have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University’s comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Ready to make your week count? Subscribe to One Big Weekly Theme today. You can sample the service or sign up and get started straight away.

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President Trump Truth Social
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115514453574326959
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115520395997089111
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115519726463094783

NBC Trump floats giving Americans cash for health care and tariff dividends
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-floats-giving-americans-cash-health-care-tariff-dividends-rcna242835

Bloomberg Bessent Says Trump’s $2,000 ‘Dividend’ May Come Via Tax Cuts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-09/bessent-says-trump-s-2-000-dividend-may-come-via-tax-cuts

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CarMax sacked their CEO after preannouncing just brutal results for an industry already reeling and at the epicenter of the current ongoing breakdown in credit markets. The stock plunged 25% Thursday when management disclosed unit sales are looking to crash by 8 to 12% in the latest quarter. Relatedly, consumer confidence plunged to record and near-record lows...and it has little to do with the govt shutdown.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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UBS is reportedly closing down not one but two hedge funds, in a more that raises a lot of questions but also some very uncomfortable parallels to 2007. One of those funds is exposed to First Brands, so understandable. The other...isn't. And that raises the prospect of the R-word; in this case, that does not stand for recession, rather its uglier monetary twin.

Bloomberg UBS Winds Down O’Connor Funds in Sign of First Brands Strain
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-06/ubs-to-wind-down-o-connor-funds-with-first-brands-exposure

NYT $3.2 Billion Move by Bear Stearns to Rescue Fund
https://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/23/business/23bond.html

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The most October job cuts in over twenty years. More than October 2008, if you’re keeping score. While that doesn’t mean this is a repeat of 2008, can we all finally admit this is a really serious situation? And as the flat Beveridge curve emerges more clearly, the rising unemployment it represents is also causing collateral damage, pun intended. The New York Fed said yesterday auto, credit card and student loan delinquencies hit levels, well you’ll have to see.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nov 06 October Challenger Report: 153,074 Job Cuts on Cost-Cutting & AI
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/october-challenger-report-153074-job-cuts-on-cost-cutting-ai/

Revelio Labs Employment — October 2025
https://www.reveliolabs.com/public-labor-statistics/employment/

Revelio Labs RPLS Reports 60k Jobs Added in September Amid BLS Shutdown
https://www.reveliolabs.com/news/macro/rpls-september-release/

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The dollar is accelerating and not in the direction most people were anticipating, to the point it has rattled the entire cryptocurrency space. That’s why cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin just got hit with a major selloff this week as the dollar debasement theme which had driven their latest surge comes up completely empty. More important than that, however, the dollar is accelerating higher which signals quite a lot all its own. But what? You can see how this gets confusing with all this unnatural noise.

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What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise.

With our memberships, we’ll fill in everything that you’ve been missing.
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