The Fourth Turning Is Here

What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End

De: Neil Howe

Narrado por: Neil Howe

The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this “riveting and revelatory” (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look like afterward.

Thirty years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived…and Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us—the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war—will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America’s next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

“Big history and bold futurology” (The Wall Street Journal), The Fourth Turning Is Here takes us deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis. explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we’ll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges ahead.

Reseñas de la Crítica

“There is always profit in reading prophets…. The Fourth Turning Is Here is big history and bold futurology.”
—The Wall Street Journal

“Riveting and revelatory.... A road map to a future that's challenging yet also full of hope.”
—Tony Robbins, New York Times bestselling author of Life Force

“The most difficult thing in the world is to see history as we are living it, and no one does that with clearer eyes and a fuller heart than Neil Howe. The Fourth Turning is Here is a tour de force.”
—Ben Hunt, creator of Epsilon Theory

“Neil Howe always sees things about America that other observers miss, harnessing a remarkable command of history and demography to help us think more clearly about current problems and summoning a remarkable imagination to help us envision the big changes ahead.”
—Nicholas Eberstadt, political economist at the American Enterprise Institute

“Driven by a deep sense that American democracy is at serious risk… [yet Howe predicts that] out of today’s polarization and partisanship will come a new egalitarian, outward-facing, confident and unified America.”
—Francis Fukuyama, The New York Times

“A vitally important book.”
—Michael J. Meese, PHD, brigadier general, US Army (retired)

“Neil Howe is a genuis at mapping the present and future. This book explains how we arrived at today's era of crises, polarization, and conflicts. Fortunately, Howe also shows us the promised land that awaits on the other side.”
—Jack A. Goldstone, Professor of Public Policy, George Mason Univeristy

“Arresting, mind-opening, and endlessly stimulating, The Fourth Turning Is Here is a monumental achievement. It's a big, complex, challenging book, daunting in its sweep and erudition, but well worth the effort.”
—Amy Chua, Yale Law Professor and New York Times bestselling author of Political Tribes

“The riveting follow-up to The Fourth Turning…. All readers should enjoy this wild ride by an entertaining writer who seems to have read every relevant source. A fascinating work of global history and look to the future.”
—Kirkus Reviews (starred review)

“Far-ranging [and] intriguing.”
—Publishers Weekly

Enjoyable - But ….

If this is your first exposure to Strauss and Howe’s generational theories you may find this interesting / for those familiar with their earlier work there is very little new here - perhaps 10% of the content - that said generational theory is fascinating and worth a listen for many

Very good Read but.....

This book was quite interesting. A few things to note. The politics of the author can come through I'm tht latter half of the book as long as you can parse this out it's great for anyone. That's where most will find fault with this book during this hyper polarization we're in. If you're very conservative this book well scare you.

The scope and scale is impressive. The cycles that take a lifetime to see once are a master stroke of historic significance.

If everyone could come to see themselves as a part of the flow of history, I believe that the world would be better served. Thinking long term, inter-generationally provides a serious way to approach living your life. I have always felt that I missed the American High of the late 40’s through early 60’s. I find it somewhat comforting that should I survive the coming crisis, I may live through another version of spring.

So many unknown facts to consider.

This material will help me immensely improve my decisions in the future and interaction with other generations.

Hopeful

It is easy to fall into the doomsday view of the world but even as the chances of the worst coming to pass seems to be increasing, it is comforting to know that we have been here before and will figure out a way forward.

Very thought provoking and applicable to life today if you think through what role you can or want to play in shaping the next seculum that will soon be upon us.

The accuracy of the observations.

A very comforting book for uncertain times. This should be required reading for all high school seniors.

Very thoughtful and well researched analysis of modern times.

Well researched and sourced. Seemed to be unbiased which is extremely unusual with books on topics like this recently.

Factual, interesting but far too long

This title is intriguing and while it is based on factual, historic deeply researched facts and events it seems to me this book could've been easily reduced by 30% removing all the fluff and repetition. Also, the monotone reading tone is hardly bearable if it weren't for the content, data and information being presented. Being able to keep up with the author and the presented information in my opinion is to some degree mind bending. While I still recommend this book it does require quite a GREAT deal of time and patience to get through. And I didn't even reference the pdf's which would have required another completely separate time commitment.

Brilliant work

Read this book with a 30,000 ft perspective. If you do, you will find it to be one of the most important book you’ve ever read.

A very well detail soft spoken language that reach any and all audience

Loved it from beginning to end. I went through all the emotions as if I were watching a movie