Episodios

  • Clare Craig: “Spiked” | Tom Nelson Pod #377
    Mar 6 2026

    Tom interviews British doctor Clare Craig about her new book (including a newly released audiobook) and her involvement in a European Court of Human Rights case. Craig describes being smeared and censored during COVID, alleging UK information operations involving the 77th Brigade and a Counter Disinformation Unit, and cites claims of UN/UNICEF-funded influencer campaigns and problematic WHO priorities. She argues COVID policies (lockdowns, masking, distancing) and vaccines failed to stop infection, severe disease, or death, critiques scientific publishing and peer review, and recounts a dispute with The Lancet over a myocarditis paper she says misused data. Craig discusses ethical drift toward utilitarian public health, revisits historical narratives on smallpox vaccination and the 1918 “Spanish flu” (including a possible aspirin-toxicity role), and outlines the Finnish “Mika” case over vaccine restrictions.


    00:00 Meet Clare Craig

    09:26 Losing Trust In Institutions

    18:42 Ethics Nuremberg To Helsinki

    24:51 Smallpox Vaccine Origins

    29:10 Crude Early Vaccines

    29:58 Pushback and Belief

    30:49 Smallpox Vaccine Reality

    31:59 Monkeypox Emergency Politics

    33:57 Spanish Flu Numbers

    36:02 Two Pathologies Explained

    38:12 Aspirin Toxicity Theory

    42:24 Covid Wave Math

    45:00 Aerosols Everywhere

    48:05 Household Data and Vaccines

    52:18 Where Did Flu Go

    54:03 Dashboards and Modeled Data

    56:20 Human Rights Case Closing


    https://x.com/ClareCraigPath

    Spiked: A shot in the dark: https://a.co/d/4W8P2JD

    ========

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    58 m
  • David Dilley: “Food shortages looming?” | Tom Nelson Pod #376
    Mar 2 2026

    David Dilley, a former NOAA and Air Force meteorologist, says climate is driven by natural “climate pulse” cycles from Earth–Moon–Sun gravitational/electromagnetic interactions, not human CO2. He argues warming and cooling have repeated for centuries and claims Arctic ice loss since 1990 is mainly from periodic surges of warm Atlantic subsurface water about every nine years. He critiques NOAA temperature averaging and ice-core CO2 estimates, citing fossil leaf stomata to claim CO2 often exceeded 300 ppm and that most post-1850 CO2 rise is natural. He forecasts a global cooling cycle starting around 2030 lasting 60–75 years, with shorter growing seasons, possible food shortages, and greater energy needs. He advocates shifting climate research funding and expanding thorium/molten-salt nuclear power.


    00:00 Shorter Growing Seasons & Food Shortage Warnings (2030s)

    00:31 Meet Meteorologist David Dilley + Climate Pulse Tech Overview

    03:49 CO₂ Since 1850: Challenging the “All Fossil Fuels” Claim

    05:05 Historic Warming & Cooling Cycles: Medieval Warm Period to Today

    07:44 Why Arctic Ice Melted (1990–2025): Warm Atlantic Surges

    10:52 How NOAA Calculates Global Temps: Oceans Skew the Average

    13:39 Earth–Moon–Sun Cycles: The “Climate Pulse” & Long-Term Rhythms

    17:49 Gravitational Peaks & the Coming Global Cooling Cycle

    21:55 CO₂ Proxies Explained: Ice Cores vs Fossil Leaf Stomata

    27:36 Correcting the CO₂ Record: Natural vs Human Contributions

    33:10 CO₂ in the Atmosphere: What the Numbers Actually Are

    35:30 Ocean Cycles 101: The Atlantic’s 65–70 Year Warm/Cold Pattern

    38:42 ENSO Shift Ahead: La Niña to El Niño and ‘Erratic Weather’ (2027–2030)

    40:27 2030 Arctic Freeze-Up Forecast: Cold Water ‘Plunges’ and Europe’s ‘Beast from the East’

    41:40 All Oceans + Solar/Geomagnetic Cycles: Why the 2030s Could Flip to Cooling

    43:16 Energy Crunch in a Cooling World: AI Power Demand, Heat Pumps, and Grid Risk

    44:39 Next-Gen Nuclear Pitch: Molten Salt & Thorium Reactors vs Wind

    51:39 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Explained: Jet Stream ‘Rubber Band’ Break

    55:54 Food & Society Impacts: Shorter Growing Seasons, Europe Cold, and ‘Year Without a Summer’

    01:02:54 Wrap-Up: Call to Refocus Research Away from ‘Political Science’


    David Dilley’s March 2025 appearance on this podcast (episode #284): https://youtu.be/DKNP_LXp0o8

    https://www.globalweathercycles.com/

    http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/

    https://x.com/WeatherCycles

    https://www.youtube.com/@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles

    =========

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    1 h y 4 m
  • Paul Burgess: “Burgess Oceanic-Solar-CO2 Index Follow-Up” | Tom Nelson Pod #375
    Feb 26 2026

    Paul Burgess presents updates to his Burgess Oceanic Solar CO2 index, claiming it precisely matches satellite temperatures from 1982–2025 without changing its fixed formula, including UAH v6.1 and final 2024–2025 data despite a record-low PDO. He says the index is not a forecasting model and implies ECS is 1°C, with ~25% warming from CO2 and ~22–23% from human CO2 after outgassing. A second paper argues oceans drive low-cloud changes (1–3 year lag), with ~2% cloud decline explaining warming, challenging IPCC positive feedbacks. He previews an extension back to 1900 with ~0.96 correlation using a UHI adjustment (Connolly 2021) and invites critique by email.


    00:00 Paul Burgess Returns: Introducing the Oceanic Solar CO₂ Index Update

    00:24 How the Index Matches Satellite Temps (and Why That’s Unusual)

    01:02 No Curve-Fitting: Validation, Critiques, and Why It’s Public

    02:19 Completing 2024–2025 + Switching UAH v6.0 to v6.1

    03:42 Index vs Model: Fixed Formula, Inputs, and What It Can (and Can’t) Forecast

    05:01 CO₂ Contribution & ECS = 1°C: What the Index Implies

    07:01 Paper #1 Results: Record-Low PDO Stress Test and Fit Metrics

    11:43 From Statistics to Physics: Paper #2 on Oceans, Clouds, and Sunlight

    13:03 Clouds as Earth’s Thermostat: The ~2% Low-Cloud Change Claim

    15:58 Cloud Layers & Evidence: Low Clouds Drive the Signal

    17:58 IPCC Feedback Story Explained (and Critiqued)

    21:31 Chicken-and-Egg Problem: Ocean–Cloud Coupling and the 1–3 Year Lag

    22:00 Paper #3 Teaser: Testing Water Vapor, Albedo, and Cloud Feedbacks

    27:21 Key Takeaways: Albedo/Ice Changes Follow Warming + Better Cloud Observations

    28:19 Cloud Cover vs. Shortwave Radiation: What the Satellite Data Shows

    28:59 Takeaway #3: Low Clouds as an Ocean-Driven “Sunshade” (Not a Warming Amplifier)

    29:37 Four Key Lessons: Ocean Leads Clouds, and the Radiative Effect Matches

    30:57 Implications for Climate Sensitivity: Why Models May Overstate CO₂ Feedbacks

    32:07 How to Critique the Framework: Falsification Tests and Evidence Chain

    34:57 Extending the BOI Back to 1900: Data Limits, UHI Adjustments, and Out-of-Sample Logic

    36:12 Sneak Peek Results: BOI 1900–2025 and the 0.96 Correlation Claim

    40:23 Q&A: How the BOI Coefficients Were Built (Covariance Fitting, Weights, Inputs)

    43:51 Testing and Next Steps: Volcano Signals, Ocean Mechanisms, and Future Projections

    47:02 Forecast vs. IPCC + Wrap-Up: Cooling Possibility, Politics, and Contact Info


    Email: svsuliere@gmail.com

    Explaining Every Temperature Change from 1983 to 2025 - My Most Important Work Ever: https://substack.com/home/post/p-182701114

    Linking Ocean Heat, Low Clouds, and Sunlight In Burgess Oceanic index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/linking-ocean-heat-low-clouds-and

    Testing Water Vapour, Albedo and Cloud Feedback with the Burgess Oceanic Index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/testing-water-vapour-albedo-and-cloud


    Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    56 m
  • Joseph Fournier: “There is not one greenhouse effect; there are two” | Tom Nelson Pod #374
    Feb 22 2026

    Joseph Fournier presents “part two” on how Pacific Walker circulation controls Earth’s largest greenhouse effect: cloud longwave radiative forcing. He explains cloud radiative forcing terminology, cites literature claiming cloud greenhouse warming dwarfs CO2 forcing, and shows satellite-era links between trade winds, cloud shifts during ENSO, outgoing longwave radiation, and global/tropical temperature anomalies. He contrasts absorbed solar radiation, OLR, and Earth energy imbalance, arguing global averages can be dominated by regional Pacific dynamics. He reviews multidecadal “dimming/brightening” sunshine trends in Europe, Japan and the U.S., discusses aerosols vs natural drivers, and briefly addresses future uncertainty, AMO/IPO impacts, and solar/cosmic-ray hypotheses.


    00:00 Welcome Back: Joseph Fournier & Why This Is “Part Two”

    02:15 Cloud Basics 101: Shortwave vs Longwave, Net Cloud Radiative Forcing

    05:51 Albedo Matters: How Small Cloud Changes Rival CO₂ Forcing

    08:40 Evidence in the Literature: Trendberth and Early Satellite Cloud Forcing Maps

    14:28 Clouds vs CO₂ Since 2000: Step-Change in Cloudiness and OLR

    16:56 Geography Over Global Averages: The Western Pacific Warm Pool Hotspot

    20:12 Warm Pool Size, SST, and Real-World Impacts (Winters, ENSO Timescales)

    22:48 Walker Circulation Explained: Where Deep Convection Sits in La Niña vs El Niño

    25:34 Warm Pool “Thermal Capacitor”: Thermocline Slosh, Water Volume, and Cloud Shift

    30:32 Sea Level Pile-Up and the Gravity-Driven Discharge During El Niño

    32:36 Radiation Signatures of ENSO: DLW/OLR Links to Niño Indices

    36:13 Cloud Forcing Ratios & Decadal Patterns: What El Niño Does to Warm Pool Clouds

    40:34 Global Signals: OLR vs Global Air Temperature and the ENSO Lead–Lag

    45:14 Trade Winds as the Control Knob: Linking Pacific Easterlies to Global OLR

    47:44 Tropical temps, OLR & trade winds: Walker circulation link

    48:42 Clouds as the “other knob”: absorbed shortwave (ASR) vs temperature

    50:29 2023 El Niño cloud changes: low-cloud cover & shifting albedo

    53:49 ASR vs OLR since 2000: the hiatus ends and the energy budget shifts

    55:44 Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) vs GAT: why the correlation breaks

    57:58 Seasonal cycle first: EEI swings, hemispheres, clouds & land–ocean contrast

    01:00:10 Wrap-up: two greenhouse effects & a call for academics to test it

    01:02:54 Sunshine hours & AMO: UK/Europe brightening over the 20th century

    01:07:26 Aerosols vs clouds: modern satellite trends and the “brightening” debate

    01:11:53 Global dimming/brightening goes global: Japan/China records & Pacific teleconnections

    01:12:56 Natural vs human drivers: when aerosols don’t explain surface radiation

    01:18:13 Forecasting the next decade: sun, AMO/IPO, cooling claims & big uncertainties

    01:26:17 Closing remarks: slides, Substack, and the climate–energy–geopolitics link


    More information about Joseph Fournier: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/joseph-fournier/

    His 2024 presentation: https://youtu.be/P2hVW0R67CY

    Joseph’s Substack: https://josephfournier.substack.com/

    X: https://x.com/JosephF55175005

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 h y 28 m
  • Jamie Andrews: “Control Studies” | Tom Nelson Pod #373
    Feb 18 2026

    Jamie Andrews discusses his journey from geology to virology, questioning the mechanisms and validity of virus transmission and pathogenic theories, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Drawing on historical and contemporary controlled human infection studies, Andrews suggests that viruses do not spread as traditionally believed and criticizes the reliance on PCR tests for diagnosing viral infections. He also questions the role of global institutions in shaping scientific narratives, proposing that environmental factors and industrial toxins may play a more significant role in disease than viruses.


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome

    00:20 Journey into Virology and 2020 Events

    01:21 Geology Background and Climate Data

    04:48 Skepticism and Investigations

    10:28 Controlled Human Infection Models

    11:25 Spanish Flu and Historical Experiments

    15:42 Modern Virology and Contagion Studies

    31:36 Court Cases and Legal Battles

    39:01 Realizing the Potential of Independent Research

    40:21 Crowdsourcing and Engaging CROs

    41:16 Following Standard Laboratory Protocols

    41:56 Unexpected Findings in Cell Cultures

    45:22 Microscopy and Viral Morphologies

    49:36 Challenges with Mainstream Virology

    54:58 Genetic Sequencing and Future Research

    01:02:05 Debating Historical Disease Outbreaks

    01:10:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Directions


    https://x.com/JamieAA_Again

    https://substack.com/@controlstudies

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 h y 11 m
  • Joseph Hickey: “Is Canada Warming?” | Tom Nelson Pod #372
    Feb 14 2026

    Joseph Hickey from CORRELATION Research in the Public Interest discusses findings on Canada’s temperature records, revealing a unique stepwise increase in 1998 that accounts for all the country’s warming since 1948. This anomaly challenges the prevailing CO2-driven warming paradigm, suggesting potential influences from natural climate variability, such as ocean oscillations. Hickey also highlights issues of data adjustments and inconsistencies in Environment Canada’s records.


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

    00:23 Overview of Correlation Research

    02:13 Joseph Hickey's Background

    03:53 Initial Observations on Temperature Data

    08:18 Stepwise Increase in Temperature Data

    11:12 Geographical Spread of Temperature Steps

    18:31 Analysis of Temperature Trends Post-1998

    27:24 Potential Causes of Temperature Steps

    34:09 Conclusion and Future Research

    35:19 Q&A Session


    https://x.com/josephmhickey

    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Joseph-Hickey-5

    =========

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    43 m
  • Cohler/Soon: “Rebuttal to Nikolov on global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #371
    Feb 10 2026

    Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives.


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

    00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless

    01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance

    02:26 Disagreement in Science

    02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion

    04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST)

    08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship

    15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims

    34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws

    49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths

    49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation

    51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics

    53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models

    54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST

    55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science

    01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research

    01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Work


    https://jonathancohler.com/

    https://x.com/cohler

    DDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1I

    DDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8

    =========

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    1 h y 38 m
  • Ned Nikolov: “Meaning of global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #370
    Feb 4 2026

    Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility.


    00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview

    00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature

    01:24 Review of Key Papers

    02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature

    04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages

    09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement

    19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons

    33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics

    37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts

    38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws

    38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy

    40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications

    43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy

    44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules

    45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy

    48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship

    49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant

    54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature

    57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature

    01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship

    01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics

    01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts


    Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf

    Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf

    Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17

    Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdf

    My tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848


    https://x.com/NikolovScience

    =========

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    1 h y 16 m