Episodios

  • The Bull Case for Pakistan: "Energy Abundance", The Death of Cash & Looming Global War | 509
    Apr 14 2026

    Welcome back to another episode of Thought Behind Things!Today, we sit down with Farooq Tirmizi, the former Managing Editor for Profit Magazine and one of the most astute, data-driven financial analysts covering the Pakistani market. While the headlines focus on doom and gloom, Farooq breaks down why the private sector has quietly initiated a massive structural transformation, building what he calls "The Bull Case for Pakistan."In this highly critical and nuanced episode, we decode the paradoxes of the current economy and the terrifying global shifts on the horizon.We cover:The "Energy Abundance" Paradox: Why Pakistan actually generates too much electricity, how the solar revolution is fundamentally changing the grid, and why heavy industry is finally becoming viable.The Death of the Cash Economy: Analyzing the explosive data showing mobile banking transactions officially surpassing ATM cash withdrawals—and what this means for the end of the undocumented, rent-seeking elite.The Bottom-Up Industrial Shift: Why legacy family businesses are hesitating to deploy capital, while aggressive new players are scaling from basic assembly to heavy manufacturing (like copper and aluminum).The Looming US-China War: Farooq's chilling warning about why a global conflict is closer than we think, how a blockade of the Strait of Malacca could choke global supply chains, and what it means for Chinese investments in Pakistan.Regional Connectivity vs. Regional Spoilers: We analyze the recent Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline developments, the illusion of Central Asian trade corridors, and the very real threat of a renewed India-Pakistan conflict driven by internal political pressures.Let us know in the comments below: Do you buy the "Bull Case" for Pakistan's digital and energy future? Or do the geopolitical threats outweigh the domestic progress?

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    1 h y 20 m
  • How Pakistan Stopped WW3: The Islamabad Accord, 'Middle Power' Status | Ali Khizar | TBT 508
    Apr 10 2026

    Welcome back to another episode of Thought Behind Things! After doing the last five episodes in English, we are bringing things back to our usual style of Urdu based on our local audience's feedback. Today, we sit down with one of Pakistan’s top economic minds and journalists, Ali Khizar, to decode the massive geopolitical shifts happening right now. With global analysts warning that the world is on the verge of World War III, all eyes are currently on the peace talks and the "Islamabad Accord" taking place in Pakistan. In this episode, we cover:The Global Stage: How Pakistan took on a mature, middle-party role to broker negotiations between the US and Iran, stepping up when the world needed stability. The "Middle Power" Era: We discuss the emergence of Pakistan as a "Middle Power" and how a strong military posture has allowed the country to project influence in a changing global order. Regional Economic Integration: If sanctions on Iran are lifted, what does it mean for Pakistan's energy crisis, trade corridors, and stability in Balochistan? The End of the Rent-Seeking Elite? A critical look at Pakistan's elite who historically parked their wealth in the UAE, and why the shifting geopolitical alliances might close those doors forever. The Threat of Spoilers: We analyze the worst-case scenarios, including what happens if the ceasefire fails, the impact on global oil prices, and how external players might try to spoil the peace. Internal Cohesion: Why Pakistan must solve its internal political friction and move past traditional political dynasties to truly capitalize on this global win. Let us know in the comments below: What are your expectations for the Islamabad Accord? Do you think Pakistan can leverage this diplomatic victory for long-term economic growth?

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    1 h y 8 m
  • The New World Order: Pakistan's Rise as a "Middle Power" | Faisal Aftab | TBT 507
    Apr 9 2026

    In this highly anticipated episode, Faisal Aftab returns to the show to break down the rapidly shifting geopolitical and geo-economic landscape. We explore the massive global transition happening between the old military-industrial complex and the rising financial-technology complex. Faisal explains the concept of a new "middle power" emerging between the major empires, potentially aligning countries like Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia into a powerful new bloc.


    We also dive deep into Pakistan's economic future. We discuss how the aggressive push for digital payments and cashless systems will eventually force the undocumented "black economy" into the tax net, potentially unlocking massive GDP growth similar to India's trajectory post-demonetization. Finally, we explore the critical concept of AI sovereignty and discuss "Sky 47," a state-of-the-art sovereign cloud data center being built right here in Pakistan.


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    1 h y 38 m
  • The Islamabad Accord: What the US-Iran Peace Means for Pakistan's Economy | Yusuf M Farooq | TBT 506
    Apr 8 2026

    In this episode, we unpack the unprecedented macroeconomic and geopolitical shift following Pakistan’s successful brokering of a ceasefire between the US and Iran. With global markets reacting instantly—Bitcoin surging, US stock futures climbing, and crude oil crashing below $100—Yusuf M. Farooq breaks down exactly what this means for the Pakistani economy and local investors.


    We analyze the immediate market relief and discuss whether this signals a permanent shift or a temporary pause in regional instability. The conversation transitions into a critical look at Pakistan's deeper structural issues: the severe lack of infrastructure development in Karachi versus the North, the urgent need for agricultural deregulation, and the misallocation of capital in the power sector. Finally, we explore the silver lining of the recent 5G spectrum auction and how improved internet infrastructure is uniquely positioning Pakistan for an IT and BPO export boom.


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    53 m
  • The $200 Oil Shock: Is Pakistan's Economy Facing Armageddon? | Abdul Rehman Najam | TBT 505
    Apr 7 2026

    In this episode, we break down the severe economic implications of the global oil shock and what it means for Pakistan's immediate future. Abdul Rehman Najam joins the show to provide a critical analysis of current macroeconomic indicators, comparing today's crisis to historical events like the 1990 Gulf War. We analyze whether the worst of the demand destruction is already priced into the market, the reality of a potential currency devaluation if foreign reserves drop below $10 billion, and the specific impacts on industries reliant on diesel and local refining. Finally, we cut through the noise to deliver actionable insights on how to navigate the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) during periods of extreme volatility.

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    1 h y 7 m
  • Dollar to 350? The $4.8B Debt Trap & Pakistan’s Economic Reset | Laeeq Ahmed | TBT 504
    Apr 6 2026

    Pakistan is officially repaying its $3.5 billion debt to the UAE while the dollar begins its violent search for parity at 350 PKR. We are standing at a critical juncture: an oil shock, a forex shock, and a regional war are colliding simultaneously. Is this a short-term knee-jerk reaction, or are the systemic foundations of our economy finally resetting?In this episode, Laeeq (Founder & CEO of Sarmaaya) joins me to break down the "bust-flatline-bust" reality of the Pakistani markets. We discuss why the stock market plummeted from 190,000 to 150,000 points, the inevitability of a 22.5% dollar devaluation, and why the government’s removal of subsidies is actually a signal of a strengthening state. We also explore the massive transition into Solar and EVs (BYD vs. Tesla), the local lithium-ion battery revolution, and why Pakistan must pivot from a consumption-led economy to an export-led engine to survive the next five years.

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    52 m
  • Is World War 3 Already Here? Iran, Israel, and the End of the UN | Yasir Abbas | TBT Podcast | 503
    Apr 3 2026

    Fuel prices in Pakistan have hit a historic high of 400 rupees. While the public is rightfully outraged, the brutal reality is that the state has no buffers, no reserves, and no choice. But this is just the tip of the iceberg. As supply chains for plastics, aluminum, and helium go offline globally, we are entering Phase 1 of a massive economic shift that will redefine the next six months. Are you prepared for what comes next?In this episode, we sit down with Yasir Abbas, a PhD researcher at the University of Manchester and former advisor on Law and Public Policy. We go deep into the multifaceted nature of the Iran-Israel conflict, exploring whether we are truly on the brink of World War III or if we are witnessing a new era of "unilateralism" where international institutions like the UN have been ruptured beyond repair.

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    54 m
  • America is Fading, Europe is a "Theme Park": The Multipolar Reality | TBT 502
    Apr 2 2026

    Welcome back to Thought Behind Things. The global supply chain is experiencing a synchronized heart attack. With the Middle East conflict threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz, 20% of global oil and 50% of the world's urea are effectively offline. For decades, our survival strategy has been neutrality—but neutrality is a luxury you can only afford in a unipolar world, and that world is dead. It is only a matter of time before emerging markets are forced to choose a side.In this episode, Javed Hasan (Former Chairman of the Economic Advisory Group) dismantles the structural hubris of the state. We discuss the myth of the "China Model," why the exact same 10 conglomerates have controlled the local economy for 40 years, and how the West is rapidly turning into a "Disneyland" tourist center while China builds the AI-driven industrial factories of the future. Finally, we break down the grim reality of the "Bust-Flatline-Bust" cycle, and why recent pushes to deregulate real estate might just be the elite searching for exit liquidity before the crash.

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    1 h y 2 m