(Conversation recorded on May 7th, 2024)

In contrast to ‘The Great Simplification’, some might call the events of the last few hundred years a ‘Great Complexification’ in terms of relationships, governance, supply chains, and many other human activities. Today’s conversation with economics journalist Ed Conway focuses on the six essential resources that underpin our modern economies – sand, salt, iron, copper, oil, and lithium - and dives into the (often unseen) environmental and human costs of extracting them, as well as the surprisingly fragile global supply chains they fuel.

In order to understand what possibilities – and dangers – may await us in the future, we need to understand the realities and constraints of the present, as well as the fail points of the past. What does it take to mine, refine, and transform the materials that are foundational to the world around us - which many of us now take for granted? How can we ensure the stability of global supply chains, and could we predict potential disruptions and chokepoints before they arise? If we understood the intricate web of complexity, energy, and resources that go into everything we consume, would it change our expectations for how much we need in order to live a good and fulfilling life?

About Ed Conway:

Ed Conway is a writer and broadcaster. He is the Economics and Data Editor of Sky News and has written for many newspapers and publications, including the New York Times, the Times of London and the New Statesman. His latest book, Material World, was an Economist and Sunday Times Book of the Year and was shortlisted for the 2023 FT Business Book of the Year Award. He has also written two other critically acclaimed and bestselling books and has won numerous awards for his journalism. He was educated at Oxford and Harvard. He lives in London.

For Show Notes and More visit:

https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/127-ed-conway

To watch this video episode on Youtube → https://youtu.be/4C2-tWcFKfQ

(Conversation recorded on May 8th, 2024)

As the human predicament continues to accelerate, the conversations regarding the future are still dominated by older generations - yet it is their younger successors who will face the brunt of these issues throughout their lives. Today’s Reality Roundtable with Priscilla Trịnh, James Branagan, and Natasha Linhart, focuses on Generation Z’s perspective of the metacrisis, how learning the reality of the human predicament has affected their worldview, and what they see as viable future paths for themselves and the world. How might we approach intergenerational relationships to encourage the transfer of knowledge in both directions, without blame or resentment? What are the unique challenges that young people face when addressing the layers of complexity and risk in the world, and thinking about how to respond? Could fostering community, empathy, and personal responsibility act as a bridge across generational divides, steering us towards a more unified and compassionate future?

About Priscilla Trịnh:

Priscilla Trịnh currently serves as Director of Communications at the Post Growth Institute and co-coordinator of the Minnesota Youth Institute. She is also the creator of the #postgrowth jobs board and a founding member of The Overstory Alliance. Additionally, Priscilla is an editor at the Blue Marble Review, and contributor to the Minnesota Women’s Press. Priscilla holds a B.S. in Sustainable Systems Management and resides on Očhéthi Šakówiŋ lands (Minnesota, USA) and when not working, can be found near a body of water or in the kitchen.

About James Branagan:

James Branagan is a content creator and video editor, posting content on slow living and philosophy from his channel, The New Naturalist. At a young age, he became disillusioned with many different components of society, becoming fascinated by the prospect of humans figuring out how to live in an ecologically compatible way. He's committed to the task of addressing some of the many facets of Our Human Predicament, particularly education and food production systems.

About Natasha Linhart:

Natasha Linhart graduated from the University of Amsterdam in 2023 with a degree in BSc in Politics, Psychology, Law and Economics with a focus in Economics and Business, and electives in Degrowth and Critical Theory. For the last year, she has been working as a Research Associate with the Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future. Natasha is also a passionate educator, founding her own tutoring company with a holistic approach to high-school education (IBCompanions).

For Show Notes and More visit:

https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/reality-roundtable-9

To watch this video episode on Youtube → https://youtu.be/SnpsxGQ0aZY

(Conversation recorded on May 5th, 2024)

In this episode, Nate welcomes back Daniel Schmachtenberger to unpack a new paper, which he co-authored, entitled Development in Progress, an analysis on the history of progress and the consequences of ‘advancement’.

Current mainstream narratives sell the story that progress is synonymous with betterment, and that the world becomes better for everyone as GDP and economies continue to grow. Yet, this is an incomplete portrayal that leaves out the dark sides of advancement. What are the implications when only the victors of history write the narratives of progress and define societal values? What are the value systems embedded in our institutions and policies, and how do they reinforce the need for ongoing growth at the expense of the natural world and human well-being? Finally, how do we change these dynamics to form a new, holistic definition of progress that accounts for the connectedness of our planet to the health of our minds, bodies, and communities?

The full paper discussed in this episode will be available on The Consilience Project website in the near future.

About Daniel Schmachtenberger:

Daniel Schmachtenberger is a founding member of The Consilience Project, aimed at improving public sensemaking and dialogue.

The throughline of his interests has to do with ways of improving the health and development of individuals and society, with a virtuous relationship between the two as a goal.

Towards these ends, he’s had a particular interest in catastrophic and existential risk, with focuses on civilization collapse and institutional decay. His work also includes an analysis of progress narratives, collective action problems, and social organization theories. These themes are all connected through close study of the relevant domains in philosophy and science.

For Show Notes and More visit:

thegreatsimplification.com/episode/daniel-schmachtenberger-7

To watch this video episode on Youtube → https://youtu.be/tmusbHBKW84

0:00 - Introduction

0:46 - Guest Introduction: Daniel Schmachtenberger

2:24 - Personal Catch-Up and Observations

3:55 - Paper on Development and Progress

6:19 - Definition and Importance of Progress

11:03 - Critique of Technological Advancement

14:05 - Historical Context of Progress Narratives

18:53 - Social Structures and Restraint

21:21 - Technological Efficiency and Wisdom

27:41 - Climate Change and Technological Solutions

30:32 - Historical Analysis of Conquerors

35:30 - Multipolar Traps and Progress

45:01 - Asymmetry and Power in Evolution

46:29 - Definitions of Progress

47:15 - Ecological and Economic Risks

52:54 - Case Studies of Externalities

56:14 - Corporate Personhood and Sociopathy

1:02:22 - Influence of Dominant Narratives

1:09:09 - Global Coordination and AI

1:11:51 - Self-Terminating Path of Winning

1:13:45 - Addressing Systemic Ecological Issues

1:20:17 - Human Wisdom and Restraint

1:23:27 - Jevons Paradox and Energy Efficiency

1:30:07 - Historical Analysis of Warfare

1:35:30 - Cancer and Industrial Toxins

1:39:03 - Influence of Dark Triad Traits

1:45:01 - Environmental Impact of Corporations

1:52:54 - Long-Term Ecological Solutions

2:00:27 - Role of Education in Progress

2:07:02 - Ethical Considerations in Technology

2:13:45 - Philosophical Foundations of Progress

2:20:17 - Addressing Social Inequality

2:23:27 - Integrating Traditional Knowledge

2:30:07 - Future Prospects and Challenges

2:35:30 - Personal Reflections and Closing Thoughts