Episodios

  • Beef’s Biggest Threat Yet? 🐂⚠️
    Sep 26 2025

    The screw worm is closing in on Texas, threatening the nation’s largest cattle herd and the beef market with it. Avian flu resurfaces, pork stays steady, and butter keeps sliding – but is beef facing its biggest challenge yet?

    BEEF: The new screw worm was found less than 70 miles from Texas, potentially impacting the beef industry. Prices are falling for many cuts, but ribeyes and tenderloins stay expensive. The real question – do we have a few more weeks of relief, or are we on the brink of something much bigger?

    POULTRY: Avian flu has returned, hitting 2.5 million egg layers in Wisconsin, with more turkey cases piling on. Chicken prices are falling, with wings, breasts, and tenders dropping in price. The question now is – will this market reset hold, or will avian flu spoil the party?

    GRAINS: Argentina tried a quick cash grab by suspending export duties on corn and soy, raking in billions in just two days before reinstating them. Here in the U.S., the markets barely blinked – corn ticked up to $4.15, with soy and wheat holding steady. Will global moves finally shake up these calm grain markets, or are we stuck in steady mode for a while longer?

    PORK: Bellies nudged up to $169, but don’t be fooled – I still see more downside ahead for this market. Loins are steady, ribs are inching higher, and butts are showing some strength. The big question – are we about to see pork finally heat up, or will it stay the quiet value play against beef’s chaos?

    DAIRY: The CME finally showed a flicker of life this week – barrel had its first uptick in a month, block slipped a bit lower, and butter keeps sliding. Is this the true bottom we’ve been waiting for, or will butter keep melting into the holiday baking season?

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    4 m
  • The Market Exhale 😌📉🍗
    Sep 19 2025

    After weeks of rising costs, the markets are finally taking a breather. Beef is still tight, chicken is easing, pork bellies are drifting lower, and dairy might be finding its bottom. It’s not a full cooldown, but it feels like the first exhale in a long while.

    BEEF: Harvest ticked up to 561K head, but most cuts are easing lower – a welcome shift after months of pressure. Middle meats like ribeyes and tenderloins remain stubbornly high, and with the holidays ahead, record pricing could be in play. The real question: how long before consumer pushback forces this market to blink?

    POULTRY: Production is still running hot – over 7 billion chickens processed this year – but now supply is outpacing demand, pushing prices down across wings, breasts, and tenders. The seasonal dip isn’t unusual, but the size of these price drops is worth watching. Meanwhile, avian flu is stirring again with seven new turkey cases, hinting the calm streak may be over.

    GRAINS: Harvest is just beginning, with corn already 7% in – but prices are holding steady. Corn slipped slightly to $4.11, while soy and wheat stayed flat, with biofuel quotas on the horizon that could shift demand for soy. For now, it’s steady fields and steady markets – but will harvest season bring surprises?

    PORK: Pork remains the best bang for your protein buck as beef prices stay sky-high. Bellies slipped again to $168, with more downside likely in the weeks ahead. Loins are still the standout value, while butts and ribs are just inching up – making this the season to menu pork.

    DAIRY: Week five of declines has the CME looking softer, but this slide might be about done. Barrel dropped 4, block held steady, and butter tumbled another 15 – the steepest of the bunch. Are we finally at the bottom, or is there one more dip left?

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    4 m
  • Cluck and Decline 🐔📉👀
    Sep 12 2025

    Poultry leads the move lower as chicken prices ease, but across the board, the markets are full of mixed signals. Beef stays strong, dairy keeps sliding, and pork and grains add their own twists.

    BEEF: Demand is cooling a touch with grinds, briskets, and flanks easing back, but ribeyes and tenderloins are still charging higher. Supplies remain too tight for a true correction, so any relief looks more like a pause than a pullback. Heading into the holidays, the pain point for consumers hasn’t hit yet – and we may not be close.

    POULTRY: Avian flu is back in the headlines – six new cases this week, hitting nearly 300K turkeys, stirred up by cooler weather and migration. On the chicken side, it’s all good news: supply is finally ahead of demand, bringing prices down across the board. The question is, how long will the balance last?

    GRAINS: Markets are holding steady with corn at $4.17, soy flat, and wheat unchanged. All eyes are on the USDA report out Friday – if crop yield estimates are trimmed, we could finally see a push higher. Until then, it’s calm in the grain bin.

    PORK: Bellies finally slipped, closing at $172 – down $10 from last week – and should keep easing over the next few weeks. But with cold storage stocks very low, don’t expect a major falloff. Meanwhile, butts and ribs are ticking higher, loins are steady, and pork still delivers solid value on the plate.

    DAIRY: It’s week four of declines at the CME – barrel down 8, block off 7, and butter slipping another 3. The slide keeps rolling, and while it’s unclear how long it will last, for now we’ll take the ride.

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    3 m
  • High Steaks, Low Falls 🥩📉🐓
    Sep 5 2025

    Summer’s still sizzling in the beef market, but other proteins and dairy are slipping. From ribeye highs to butter slides, it’s a week of high steaks and low falls across the board.

    BEEF: Signs point to the market finally cooling as we move through September – but it may be short-lived. Ribeyes, tenderloins, chucks, rounds, and grinds are still climbing, though thin meats like skirts and briskets are starting to slip. With herds small and Mexico still closed, high prices aren’t going anywhere soon… moderation may be coming, but not just yet.

    POULTRY: Production stays strong – up about 1% – but prices are sliding for the second week straight. Wings, breasts, and tenders are all moving lower, making chicken a solid feature right now. Still, with one new avian flu case reported and cooler weather coming, could we see trouble ahead?

    GRAINS: Corn nudged back over $4 for the first time in three weeks as export demand looks solid and crop estimates soften a bit from “best ever” to “some issues.” Soy keeps trying to rally but can’t quite get there, while wheat remains the bargain buy of the bunch.

    PORK: Bellies are stuck in the $180–$185 range, closing at $182 – but the next move looks lower, so it’s not the time to load up. Butts and ribs are bouncing back after recent declines, while loins continue to be the standout value cut.

    DAIRY: Week three of a sliding CME – barrel down 1, block down 3, and butter off another 11 after last week’s steep drop. It’s not a massive slide, but the steady decline is adding up – will the dip deepen, or start to level out?

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    3 m
  • Belly Flop 🥓🏊‍♀️☀️
    Aug 29 2025

    Summer’s wrapping up, but the markets are still making waves. Pork bellies take a dive, beef keeps the heat on, and chicken cools just in time for football season. From butter drops to grain gluts, it’s a late-summer belly flop across the board.

    BEEF: Prices keep climbing as production stays tight – 547K head harvested this week and even fewer expected with the holiday ahead. Chucks, grinds, ribeyes, and tenderloins are leading the charge, while strips are still the relative value. The market may cool off soon, but not yet – buy now, waiting will cost you money.

    POULTRY: Chicken prices finally cooled off for Labor Day – wings, breasts, and tenders are all down. Production is still running strong, about 1% ahead of last year, so we’ll take the win and enjoy cheaper chicken for now. One small avian flu case popped up, but nothing major.

    GRAINS: Another rally fizzled – corn harvest is pegged at a massive 16.7 billion bushels, keeping prices in check. Corn nudged up slightly to $3.94, while soy and wheat stayed flat. With crops this strong, the market’s still waiting for a spark to push things higher.

    PORK: Bellies slipped again, closing at $181 with more downside likely ahead. Butts and loins are steady, ribs are edging up, and overall production is running about 2% lower year-to-date. With nothing pushing demand higher, this market looks set to stay quiet for the next few weeks.

    DAIRY: CME gave back August’s gains – barrel down 2, block down 3, and butter dropping a sharp 14. After weeks of climbing, this market is sliding fast… will the downturn stick?

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    3 m
  • The Calm Before the Fall 📉🍂
    Aug 25 2025

    Sorry for the delay, we were on vacation on Friday. Market Updates for last week below!

    BEEF: Prices keep climbing across the board – ribeyes, tenderloins, chucks, and rounds are all on fire. With packers still losing money, production dropping, and the Southern border closed to live animal imports, pressure is building. Relief may come after Labor Day – but will it be too little, too late?

    POULTRY: Chicken stays strong with production up and demand steady – wings are flat for now while breasts and tenders ease a bit. Football season could give wings a lift, but the real watch is Avian Flu: after six clean weeks, a new case breaks the streak. Will cooler weather bring more trouble?

    GRAINS: Harvest is underway and while yields look good, they’re not record-shattering just yet. Corn is holding under $4 for a third straight week, soy is showing some strength on export demand, and wheat is slipping. The market looks steady – but will exports or tariffs be the wild card?

    PORK: Bellies look like they’ve peaked, slipping back to $182 from last week’s $194 – and likely heading lower into fall. With butts and loins down and ribs steady, pork remains one of the best buys on the menu. But is this the break buyers have been waiting for, or just a seasonal pause?

    DAIRY: After a couple of big weeks higher, the market eased back – barrel down 1½, block steady, and butter slipping just ½. The push has cooled for now, but will those gains start to melt further in the weeks ahead?

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    3 m
  • Grill Bills 🔥💳
    Aug 15 2025

    BEEF: The summer beef rally isn’t slowing down – low production and high demand are keeping prices on the move. Middle meats, chucks, rounds, and grinds are all climbing, setting us up for a pricey Labor Day BBQ. Will the market cool after the holiday, or will tight cattle supplies keep the heat on?

    POULTRY: Production is running 1% ahead of last year, with demand staying strong as chicken remains the go-to alternative to high beef prices. Wings are steady for now, but will football season send them higher? Six weeks with no new Avian Flu cases – let’s keep it going.

    GRAINS: Corn prices remain under $4 with a record U.S. harvest on the horizon – great for feeders, rough for farmers. But with soy inching up on palm oil tariffs and wheat holding steady, could this calm market be setting the stage for a surprise turn?

    PORK: Bellies cracked the $200 mark before slipping back – still riding high for now. But with just a few more weeks of seasonal strength left, will the fall bring the big break buyers have been waiting for?

    DAIRY: Cheese keeps climbing – barrel up 6, block up 4 – but butter’s the rebel, dropping 11 points. With baking season buying about to kick off, is the clock ticking on those lower butter prices?

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    4 m
  • Meating Market Heat 🔥🥩
    Aug 8 2025

    BEEF: Prices are surging in the dead of summer – and it’s not slowing down. With record-high cattle costs and packers losing $300 a head, the market’s acting more like spring than August… so what’s driving this upside?

    POULTRY: Chicken stays steady – strong production, strong demand, and no big price moves on the horizon. With five weeks flu-free and beef heating up, is poultry about to hold its ground or ride the market wave?

    GRAINS: Grains keep sliding – with corn dipping under $4 a bushel for the first time in a long while. Soy and wheat are following suit, but could strong soy meal exports shake things up?

    PORK: Pork bellies bounce back to $189 – and the strength may hold through month’s end. But with loins, butts, and ribs slipping, how long will the split market last?

    DAIRY: The CME heats up – barrel jumps 11, block climbs 12, and butter bucks the trend, sliding 4.

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    3 m