• Beneath the Surface of Risk-On: Are We in the Calm Before the Avalanche?| 2025/5/2_Night

  • May 2 2025
  • Duración: 5 m
  • Podcast

Beneath the Surface of Risk-On: Are We in the Calm Before the Avalanche?| 2025/5/2_Night

  • Resumen

  • Around 4 PM on May 2, 2025.
    The Nikkei 225 closed at 36,831, up 1%, wrapping up the week in what appeared to be a risk-on mood.
    However, a closer look reveals a different story: individual stocks declined, gold prices rebounded, and there was a large-scale purchase of far out-of-the-money put options worth over 100 million yen.

    Meanwhile, trade negotiations with the U.S. ended without clarity, and with bond markets appearing calm again, there’s a chance the Trump administration could once more stir volatility.

    Is this “quiet now” just the beginning of a genuine bull market?
    Or is it the calm before an avalanche?
    What risk-off signals lie hidden beneath this surface-level optimism?

    ___


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