Volatility Index Stands at 14.69 Amid Steady Oil Markets and Firm Inflation Expectations

The Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX, currently stands at a spot price of 14.69 as of January 5, 2026, according to Cboe Global Markets trade data. This reflects a percent change of 1.24 percent, up 0.18 points from the prior session, per the same Cboe report updated at 9:15 PM on January 5.

This modest uptick follows a close of 14.51 on January 2, as reported by the St. Louis Fed's VIXCLS data updated January 5, after holidays with no trading on January 1. Earlier, the VIX closed at 14.95 on December 31 and 14.33 on December 30, per Investing.com historical rates and FRED observations, showing some fluctuation in the low teens amid stable market sentiment.

Underlying factors for the recent change include steady oil markets post-US strikes, with WTI 1-month implied volatility easing from 68 percent to 51 percent as supply disruption fears faded, notes Cboe insights. US inflation expectations held firm despite oil jumps, unlike the 2022 Russia-Ukraine response. The VIX, a gauge of 30-day S&P 500 volatility from SPX options, maintains its inverse tie to stocks, hovering near the 52-week low of 13.38 after a high of 60.13, Cboe data shows. Mean-reversion tendencies keep it trending toward long-term averages, with implied vols slightly above realized levels.

Recent trends indicate low volatility persistence: Investing.com data lists daily closes like 14.95 on January 1 adjusted, down to 14.20 on December 29, with percent changes ranging from -14.03 percent to +21.89 percent in prior weeks. Broader context from Cboe highlights equity vols rising post-Fed uncertainty despite rallies, and upcoming data like jobs reports could spur moves, with VIX futures for January 21 at 22.27 settlement.

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