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The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists. Ciencias Sociales Filosofía
Episodios
  • 259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?
    Apr 1 2026

    Matt returns to discuss a post urging us to chill out on AI if there isn’t imminent doom in 2028.
    There is no video or preshow chat today, due to user error in setting up an in-person video recording. Sorry.

    LINKS
    Consider chilling out in 2028
    The Scary Bridge
    Kill Your Friend’s Cat
    The UnSlop AI Fiction competition
    The new Guild of the Rose

    Paid Bonus content for the week – none, sorry!

    00:00:50 – Feedback
    00:29:03 – Consider chilling out in 2028
    01:32:13 – Guild of the Rose
    01:51:24 – Thank the Supporter!

    Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

    Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
    We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

    LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

    on hiatus, returning someday

    Más Menos
    1 h y 53 m
  • 258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved
    Mar 18 2026

    We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism, directing your donations, and community.

    LINKS
    Why you should eat meat – even if you hate factory farming by KatWoods
    Donations, The Fifth Year, by Jenn
    Promises, by Harri
    Bayesian Conspiracy 28 – Effective Altruism
    The Case For Sardines
    “oh noes, Anthropic employees gonna give money to EA stuff” article
    Gwern on AI Slop
    Jenn on AI Slop & Virginia Woolf

    Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video, Preshow Chat

    00:02:23 – Feedback
    00:17:20 – You Should Eat Meat
    00:59:33 – Directing Donations
    01:23:04 – Promises of EA
    01:38:06 – Guild of the Rose
    01:40:12 – Thank the Supporter!

    Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

    Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
    We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

    LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

    on hiatus, returning someday

    Más Menos
    1 h y 42 m
  • 257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude
    Mar 1 2026

    We relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudice. With guest-star Matt.

    LINKS
    Washington Post summary
    Anthropic’s response
    Trump’s response
    Hegseth’s unhinged lunacy
    We Will Not Be Divided – Goggle and OpenAI employees open letter
    Eliezer on the tech/govt war
    Scott Alexander tweet
    RSP comment
    Opus3 Retirement

    Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video, Preshow Chat

    Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

    Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
    We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

    LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

    on hiatus, returning someday

    Más Menos
    1 h y 22 m
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