Shutdowns to Delay Tax Refunds, Agentic Commerce, Supply Chains, Consumer Confidence

Even with the partial government shutdown now over, the lingering impacts to employers and employees will be felt throughout 2026. The IRS is short-staffed and already communicating that there will be delays in tax refunds, which hurts finances and potentially morale and budgeting. Agentic commerce hits a snag because the payment guardrails aren’t ready for bots yet, creating purchasing bottlenecks. Tariffs are still affecting supply chains, but businesses in 2026 should be redesigning their approach to offset scarcity of some key items. And consumer confidence hits a 12-year low, while other indexes are also bottoming out around labor and income conditions.

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