Episodios

  • Target Just Revealed a Sudden Shift in Consumer Spending
    Apr 10 2026

    Target is throwing in the towel on its previous losing strategy. Like many businesses, it tried to raise prices only to find its customers going elsewhere, largely to Walmart. Now Target is slashing its prices including on the towel it just threw in. The retail giant simply has no other choice given the sudden change in consumer behavior we’re seeing across the economic landscape.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Target cuts prices on 3,000 items as stubborn inflation keeps US consumers on edge
    https://www.reuters.com/business/target-slashes-prices-more-than-3000-products-2026-03-11/

    Fewer Americans Plan to Travel After Surging Fuel Costs Hit Budgets
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/fuel-price-rise-on-iran-war-has-americans-putting-vacations-on-hold

    Numerator Consumers React to Rising Gas Prices
    https://www.numerator.com/resources/blog/consumers-react-rising-gas-prices/

    FRBNY SURVEY OF CONSUMER EXPECTATIONS
    https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/


    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    20 m
  • Asia Is Running Out of Dollars (Here’s What That Means)
    Apr 9 2026

    Several countries across Asia are confirming they experienced major dollar funding losses last month amidst a cash crunch on surging demand for money to buy oil. Officials in Taiwan, Indonesia, India and in other places have had to scramble to contain the monetary pressure, causing several of them to expend significant reserves just to keep their currency values from plunging. Or, plunging more than they did.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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    What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
    That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

    Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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    Taiwan’s Foreign Reserves Drop Most Since 2011 on Intervention
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/taiwan-s-foreign-reserves-drop-most-since-2011-on-intervention

    Bank Indonesia Prioritizes Stability as Rupiah Hits Record Lows
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-07/bank-indonesia-prioritizes-stability-as-rupiah-hits-record-lows

    Indonesia’s FX Reserves Hit Two-Year Low on Rupiah Defense
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/indonesia-fx-reserves-hit-nearly-two-year-low-on-rupiah-defence

    India’s Central Bank Holds Rate, Vows to Curb Volatile Rupee
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/india-keeps-key-rate-steady-as-weak-rupee-takes-center-stage

    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    20 m
  • "Jet Fuel Is Running Out" The Airline Collapse No One Is Pricing In
    Apr 8 2026

    Airports are canceling flights right now due fuel shortages and fears they will worsen. Airlines are including those in the US are already raising bag fees and other costs trying to pass along the doubling in jet fuel prices to passengers. Meanwhile, the international energy agency’s chief says the current oil crisis is worse than 1973, 1979, and 2022 combined. The thing is, that sounds crazy but sadly it’s not and we’re just now seeing the preliminary effects of Hormuz at the forefront in air travel.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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    World losing more barrels of oil each day than in two 1970s crises combined, IEA chief says – video
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2026/mar/23/world-losing-more-barrels-of-oil-each-day-than-in-two-1970s-crises-combined-iea-chief-says-video

    IEA chief: current oil and gas crisis worse than 1973, 1979, 2022 together
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-chief-current-oil-gas-crisis-worse-than-1973-1979-2002-together-2026-04-07/

    Korean travelers left stranded as Mideast turmoil pushes airlines to slash routes
    https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10711811

    Jet fuel supply concerns grow as war with Iran drags on, airlines cut flights
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/07/iran-war-jet-fuel-airlines.html

    Italy Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Gap
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-05/italy-sets-jet-fuel-limits-at-some-airports-on-supply-shortage

    Delta Increases Checked Bag Charges by Up to $50 After Fuel Costs Rise
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-07/delta-air-will-boost-fees-on-baggage-amid-surging-oil-prices

    United Airlines hikes checked bag fee by $10 as fuel prices continue to climb
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/02/united-airlines-raises-checked-bag-fees-fuel-prices-climb.html

    Jet Fuel Spot Prices Over 60 Days
    https://www.airlines.org/dataset/argus-us-jet-fuel-index/

    Iran War Fallout: Airlines Slash Thousands Of Flights Amid Global Fuel Shortages
    https://simpleflying.com/iran-war-airline-flight-cancellations-fuel-shortage/

    FRBNY SCE
    https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/

    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    22 m
  • "This Is What Happens Right Before an Economic Crisis" Jamie Dimon
    Apr 7 2026

    Jamie Dimon, the head of the country’s largest bank, wrote his annual shareholder letter accompanying the firm’s annual report. Filled with numerous charts touting the company’s successes and thousands of words reinforcing them, it is a single one that sticks out like a sore thumb and therefore defines the entire effort. And, yes, it is about the private credit situation. Of that, he said “probably.”

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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    What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
    That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

    Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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    With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

    To watch a replay of our webinar, click below.
    https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=share

    To take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:

    https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer

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    https://www.jpmorganchase.com/ir/annual-report/2025/ar-ceo-letters

    Recession odds climb on Wall Street as economy shows cracks beneath the surface
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/recession-odds-climb-on-wall-street-as-economy-shows-cracks-beneath-the-surface.html

    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    22 m
  • The Labor Market Just Sent A MASSIVE Warning To Investors
    Apr 6 2026

    Almost four hundred thousand American workers dropped out of the labor force in March, setting yet a new low in labor participation. Why? There are no jobs, a fact confirmed by both the employment estimate plus an utterly dismal hiring rate from JOLTS, one that rivaled January and February 2009. There’s more, too. S&P Global said the services sector contracted for the first time in three years last month and a decline in its employment index, showing how the oil price shock is already starting to sting.

    Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre

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    S&P Global US Services PMI March 2026
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/cc86952bb550465d9093b048d7bfdeb8


    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    21 m
  • Oh No... The Oil Markets JUST BROKE
    Apr 5 2026

    Oil prices are absolutely soaring...AND CRASHING. Yes, at the same time. The main US petroleum benchmark surged by a whopping $11.42 a barrel on Thursday alone, the last trading day before the Good Friday holiday. And one key benchmark clocked in above $140. Yet, the rest of oil futures aren’t soaring at all. In fact, contracts for oil early next year are under $70 per barrel right now - more importantly they’ve been falling for a couple weeks already.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
    That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

    Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

    To watch a replay of our webinar, click below.
    https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=share

    To take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:

    https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Más Menos
    21 m
  • BREAKING: 40% Of Investors Can’t Get Their Money Out Of Private Credit Fund!
    Apr 3 2026

    First, we have our "subprime is contained" moment from the Fed. Second, the run on Blue Owl is "unprecedented." Third, and more important than either of those, it's ***who*** is doing the running. In its disclosure, the sad owl let slip the truth underneath more ridiculous spin. When investors demand 20% to 40% out of your top funds, it's finally time to stop pretending this is all nothing.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

    To watch a replay of our webinar, click below.
    https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=share

    To take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:

    https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Blue Owl Limits Redemptions on Private Credit Funds After Massive Exit Requests
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/blue-owl-bdcs-impose-caps-after-facing-41-22-requests-to-exit

    Blue Owl struck by $5.4bn of redemption requests
    https://www.ft.com/content/f4320148-3d81-4bd0-9ab6-053a5bade188?syn-25a6b1a6=1

    Powell: We do not see systemic risks from private credit
    https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/financial-stability/7975526/powell-we-do-not-see-systemic-risks-from-private-credit

    CNBC Exclusive: Transcript: Berkshire Hathaway Chairman Warren Buffett Speaks with CNBC’s Becky Quick on “Squawk Box” Today
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/31/cnbc-exclusive-transcript-berkshire-hathaway-chairman-warren-buffett-speaks-with-cnbcs-becky-quick-on-squawk-box-today.html

    Private Credit’s CLO Machine Ramps Up in Push to Raise More Cash
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/private-credit-s-clo-machine-ramps-up-in-push-to-raise-more-cash

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    41 m
  • OMG... Private Credit Just Got Worse… WAY Worse
    Apr 2 2026

    Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/WW7Xqyc or code euro50.

    Oracle announced it will be laying off tens of thousands of its employees in an attempt to save cash. Not that long ago the company could borrow any insane amount it wanted. In other words, the proposed job cuts at Oracle offer more confirmation of credit market stress. So do the layoffs Block had announced in late February. The cycle has completely flipped, including Fitch admitting one form of selective default is at a 14-year high while UBS locks up one European fund for three years!

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Oracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as company continues to ramp AI spending
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/31/oracle-layoffs-ai-spending.html

    Oracle announces Equity and Debt Financing Plan for Calendar Year 2026
    https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-announces-Equity-and-Debt-Financing-Plan-for-Calendar-Year-2026/default.aspx

    UBS gates €400mn property fund for up to 3 years
    https://www.ft.com/content/67d6e6ab-724c-4e23-b806-51fed911b766?syn-25a6b1a6=1

    U.S. Private Credit Defaults Ease to 5.4% in February 2026
    https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/us-private-credit-defaults-ease-to-5-4-in-february-2026-18-03-2026

    Private Credit’s Investor Exodus Spreads to Consumer Loans
    https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/private-credits-investor-exodus-spreads-to-consumer-loans-de2507d7

    Non-Cash-Generating Private-Credit Loans Rise to a 14-Year Peak, Fitch Says
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/non-cash-generating-private-credit-loans-rise-to-a-14-year-peak-fitch-says-02ed4b94

    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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    22 m