Adam Levitan, Mark Dankenbring, and Cort Smith assess the NFL Player Prop betting landscape ahead of the 2025 NFL Season, discussing everything they have learned from decades of player prop betting, how sportsbooks are adapting, and how they will apply this knowledge in the upcoming season.

In this episode, we discuss:

- Whether it’s better prioritize betting volume or ROI

- What level of performance does it take to update prior projections and baselines?

- Why are Best Ball and Redraft League impacting betting lines?

- What analysis has told us about our processes over the years?

- What days of the week do we find provide the biggest edges?

Timestamps:

0:00 - Intro

2:29 - How The Markets Have Changed

8:14 - Market Openers

12:12 - When to Place Bet

18:28 - Expanding Markets & What to Look For

22:52 - Updating Priors & Baselines

25:42 - Best Ball & Redraft Hype Carrying Over Into Markets

32:44 - Edges We Should Be Betting & Volume vs. ROI

35:22 - Alt/Long Shot Bets

37:17 - Analyzing ETR’s Results Over The Last Four Years

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2025 NFL Draft Kit Pro has you covered with:

• Draft Rankings & Tiers
• Research & Analysis Articles
• Draft Strategy Content
• In-Season Roster Management
• Trade Calculators
• Discord Community

Subscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nfldraftkitpro/

Download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app now to draft your $20 Best Ball lineup to play for a share of $15 million—and get a second ticket to play FREE for a share of $15 million. That’s two chances to win big without ever setting your lineup again. Draft One, Get One—only on DraftKings. The Crown Is Yours.

https://dkng.co/BestBallETR

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT).

With weekly Daily Fantasy NFL contests returning this week, ETR's team of experts in Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone and Sam Brott dig into what the analytics are saying about DFS and how you can use that information to beat DFS Tournaments this year.

Timestamps:

0:00 - Intro

2:08 - Stacking The Right Way in DFS

13:34 - Simulations Favoriting Onslaughts

20:34 - Utlizing a Bring Back & Double Game Stacks

30:54 - Optimizing Your Flex Position

39:15 - The Elite QB Strategy

43:18 - How Sims View Ownership

50:20 - Playing a WR Against Your Defense
52:40 - Playing a RB With Your Defense

55:43 - FanDuel Adjustments

58:14 - How to Late-Swap

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2025 NFL Draft Kit Pro has you covered with:

• Draft Rankings & Tiers
• Research & Analysis Articles
• Draft Strategy Content
• In-Season Roster Management
• Trade Calculators
• Discord Community

Subscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nfldraftkitpro/

Download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app now to draft your $20 Best Ball lineup to play for a share of $15 million—and get a second ticket to play FREE for a share of $15 million. That’s two chances to win big without ever setting your lineup again. Draft One, Get One—only on DraftKings. The Crown Is Yours.

https://dkng.co/BestBallETR

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT).

Adam Levitan returns to the Solo Pod streets to share stories from his summer, his thoughts on the upcoming NFL season, and his wisdom on dating while balding, in response to a fresh batch of listener questions.

Timestamps:

0:00 - Intro

0:50 - Thoughts From the Summer

4:04 - The Best Ball Ecosystem

5:59 - ETR's In-Season Plans

13:43 - Listener Questions

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2025 NFL Draft Kit Pro has you covered with:

• Draft Rankings & Tiers
• Research & Analysis Articles
• Draft Strategy Content
• In-Season Roster Management
• Trade Calculators
• Discord Community

Subscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nfldraftkitpro/

Download the DraftKings Daily Fantasy app now to draft your $20 Best Ball lineup to play for a share of $15 million—and get a second ticket to play FREE for a share of $15 million. That’s two chances to win big without ever setting your lineup again. Draft One, Get One—only on DraftKings. The Crown Is Yours.

https://dkng.co/BestBallETR

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT).