They used the word "irrefutable." The Indiana Attorney General filed 94 pages telling the appeals court that the case against Richard Allen is so strong, so complete, so beyond question that nothing the defense raises could change the outcome. We read every page. And we found what they left out.

This week we look back at the most important development in the Delphi case since the verdict. The man who confessed to killing Abby Williams and Libby German told his prison psychiatrist he shot them. They were not shot. They were killed with a blade. That detail — documented in the defense's appeal brief — appears nowhere in the State's 94-page response. They call the confessions voluntary, credible, and the product of free will. They never explain how a man confessing from memory described the wrong method of death.

The composite sketch witness Betsy Blair reportedly rated her identification a perfect ten. She described a man in his twenties with curly hair. It looks nothing like Richard Allen. The jury never saw it. The bullet comparison, according to trial testimony, initially came back without a match before a different methodology was applied. The prison videos documenting Allen's deterioration in solitary confinement were played for the jury on mute — they could see him but couldn't hear a word. And surveillance footage, according to the defense, shows the van that allegedly corroborates Allen's confession arriving significantly later than the State's witness said it did.

The State's answer to all of it: harmless error.

No DNA tied Allen to the scene. No murder weapon was recovered. No eyewitness directly identified him. The confessions were the entire case. And the State's response asks the court to accept them without addressing the factual error at their core.

Defense attorney Bob Motta walks through every major argument in the brief, what it means for the appeal, and what comes next. The defense reply is due soon. Oral arguments may follow. Richard Allen is in a prison in Oklahoma. Three judges are reading. This is not over.

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You've been inside these documents. You know the warrant. You know the confessions. You know what the jury never heard. Now the State has filed their formal answer to the appeal — and we're going through every argument they make, and every argument they avoid, in this complete three-part panel with defense attorney Bob Motta.

The frame: 94 pages from the Indiana Attorney General calling this conviction "conclusive and irrefutable." Not one of those pages addresses the documented fact from the defense's brief that Allen told his psychiatrist he shot the girls. They were not shot.

Session one covers the State's strategy — procedural waiver to front-load the shutdown before substance is ever reached, the coercion standard as applied to 13 months of solitary confinement, the religious conversion argument, and harmless error as a universal cover for every ruling that went against the defense.

Session two covers the two factual problems. The van — surveillance footage and FBI cell phone data suggesting it arrived after Libby German's phone stopped registering movement, met in the State's brief by a procedural objection to the paperwork rather than a dispute of the data. And the wrong cause of death — documented, in the record, and answered by the State with complete silence across 94 pages.

Session three covers what happens now — the reply brief, oral arguments, what partial reversal means in practical terms, what this does to the families of Abby and Libby, and what the five percent reversal rate actually tells us about a case with these specific constitutional questions in front of these specific judges.

For anyone who has been tracking every development in this case — this is the full analytical picture.

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The State has filed their response. The defense gets a reply. Three appellate judges will evaluate whether this conviction can stand.

In this final session of our three-part panel, defense attorney Bob Motta goes forward. Not backward through the evidence — forward through the process. What does the reply brief need to land on to give the Court of Appeals a reason to move? Where did the State leave the most daylight? What does oral argument change when you have a case this factually complicated and this constitutionally dense?

We get into what reversal actually looks like — not the single dramatic moment people picture, but the range of outcomes the court can reach. Error found on one issue. Specific proceedings on remand. Narrow reversal versus full retrial. Bob maps all of it in plain terms.

We also go into the harder questions. What does this mean for the families of Abby Williams and Libby German, who were told a verdict was finality? What does the five percent reversal rate on direct appeal actually tell us about this case — and what does it miss about what the defense is specifically arguing?

Richard Allen is in a prison in Oklahoma right now. The reply brief is coming. Three judges are going to decide whether what happened in Carroll County met the constitutional standard. For anyone who has been inside these documents — who knows what was excluded, what was muted, what was never put in front of that jury — this conversation is about whether that standard was actually met.

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