Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how the news sounds worse than the markets have performed so far. What Peter Lynch famous 1994 speech tells us about market declines and corrections. Plus, really? The Fed Funds futures are now pricing in higher probability of rate hikes vs rate cuts. Finally, the Mag 7 seems to be on sale, so what needs to happen for them to start leading the market back to the highs?

Peter Lynch on market corrections

Mag 7 valuations are getting cheap relative to where they were

Fed Rate hikes, really?

Volatility in markets

Why is the VIX higher?

The news is worse than the markets retracement so far, but will that change?

Mentioned in this Episode

Article with Peter Lynch video link plus forward valuation charts on the market, Nvidia, and Exxon. https://zegainvestments.com/blog/is-the-market-getting-cheaper-or-just-early-ahead-of-analyst-revisions

Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509

Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp

Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner where they get into a discussion around the market moving lower, lowering the forward PE, and analysts haven't budged their estimates yet. So, who's right and who's wrong? Then they go through the volatility environment and whether this is a normal midterm year pullback reminding everyone this is pretty typical. Later, they get into Arizona suing Kalshi and whether prediction markets (or betting) belong under the CFTC.

Vix and VVIX

Volatility in markets

CFTC as regulator of prediction markets

Who needs prediction markets?

Arizona sues Kalshi

Forward PE multiples drop

While EPS forward estimates rise

When will analysts start adjusting their EPS estimates?

What are breakeven inflation rates

Why breakeven rates historically haven't been a great predictor of future inflation

Mentioned in this Episode

Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509

Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp

Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options markets on Micron before next week's earnings. Finally, why the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply issues.

Straight of Hormuz oil tanker conundrum

Oil and the US Dollar jump and why it may not be good news for earnings

Implied Volatility on Micron

Pricing the long and short straddles on Micron

Midterm Year Market Cycles and how this compares

Talking about the movies Margin Call and The Big Short

Mentioned in this Episode

Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509

Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp

Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com