War is Math: How to Use Wargaming to Prevent & Win Wars

How to Use Wargaming to Prevent & Win Wars

De: Eric Engle

Narrado por: Virtual Voice

Military Secrets! How Math and Wargaming Can Prevent and Win Conflicts!

In modern war, making informed decisions is key to winning & preventing conflicts. "War is Math: How to Use Wargaming to Prevent & Win Wars" offers a groundbreaking approach to understanding war through the lens of mathematics, including elementary game theory, probablity, and statistics.

Wargaming enables policymakers and military strategists to develop effective strategies for preventing and resolving conflicts and winning wars. You'll get a comprehensive guide to using math in wargames, exploring its applications, benefits, and limitations. Combat maths, artificial intelligence, open-source intelligence are all in there. You'll discover how wargaming can help you make better decisions about war and peace.

Discover the Power of Wargaming
* Explore mathematical models and probability theory to simulate war
* Understand surprise as a combat multiplier
* Explore conflict resolution with diplomatic role-playing games and opponent modeling
* Analyze real-world scenarios, including Chinese Maritime Conflict and China's Warring States Era
* Discover and avoid cognitive biases that lead to bad choices and defeat

A Must-Read for Anyone Interested in War and Strategy

Whether you're a military strategist, policymaker, or simply interested in the art of war, "War is Math" is a must-read. By applying the principles of wargaming, you'll gain a unique perspective on the complexities of war and the probabilities of different outcomes.

Unlock the Secrets of War

Order your copy of "War is Math: How to Use Wargaming to Prevent & Win Wars" today and discover a new and better way to study the art of war to prevent war if possible with effective deterrence and collective security and to win it if necessary through effective leadership and training.

Keywords: Wargaming, Military strategy, War prevention, Combat simulations, Mathematical models, Probability theory, Conflict analysis, Military training tools, Artificial intelligence in warfare, War simulations, Cognitive biases in decision-making, Opponent modeling, Defense analysis, War gaming applications, Strategic decision-making, Combat power, Path dependence in war, Chinese maritime conflict, Science fiction diplomacy, Bayes’ theorem in warfare, Time Wargaming, Military strategy, War prevention, Combat simulations, Mathematical models, Probability theory, Conflict analysis, Military training tools, Artificial intelligence in warfare, War simulations, Cognitive biases in decision-making, Opponent modeling, Defense analysis, War gaming applications, Strategic decision-making, Combat power, Path dependence in war, Chinese maritime conflict, Science fiction diplomacy, Bayes’ theorem in warfare, Time series forecasting in war, Military tactics, National security strategy, War analysis tools, Military simulations and AI.series forecasting in war, Military tactics, National security strategy, War analysis tools, Military simulations and AI,
#Wargaming #WarStrategy #Mathematics #Probability #MilitaryStrategy #ConflictPrevention #WarPrevention #DecisionMaking #CognitiveBiases #ArtificialIntelligence #OpenSourceIntelligence #DiplomaticRolePlaying #OpponentModeling #ChineseMaritimeConflict #WarringStatesEra

Free, but I still want my money back

Where to even begin with this train wreck of a book.

In this rambling, poorly researched attempt at an academic book, the only thing that is thoroughly explored is the depths of the authors own incompetence. It is absolute PEAK Dunning-Kruger. The author shows that he's read one, maybe TWO, books on wargaming or perhaps military training. He then had the audacity to write his own book.

His pronouncements in the book are sweeping, but made without any attempt to produce any compelling evidence to support them. He ignores the wide, academically and professionally rigourous, and rich literature on wargaming which spills gallons of ink on the questions of what the lines of delineation are between an exercise, a simulation, and a wargame. Engle conflates all of these different thing, an error that would have been avoided if: (A) Engle stayed within his expertise; or (B) he actually conducted a real review of the existing literature. Engle does neither. Engle explicitly says his book is based on the work of James Dunnigan, a single author. Wow.

Instead of any real grounding in literature or previous research, Engle expects the reader to trust his credentials to analyze and evaluate wargames, mathematical models, and simulations. But he does not provide any. He relies on his self-styled "Dr." Eric Engle cover page to do the work for him. Any brief google search of "Dr." Engle shows that he does not hold any PhD in mathematics, statistics, operations research, international relations, war studies, political science, or any research degree whatsoever. Instead he holds a J.D. and a German Dr.Jur., professional law degrees that torture the idea of calling one's self a "Doctor" and are completely irrelevant to the topics covered in this book. His sole evidence that he is even a good lawyer is laid out on the back cover of the book; he's impressed by his first-attempt success at the NYS bar exam... where, again, a quick google search will tell you that over 80% of law school graduates from reputable NY state schools like Albany Law or New York Law, pass on their first time also. Woof. His law credentials are largely irrelevant to the books material, so his emphasis on this is both weird and off-putting. I mention it here because he brings it up. The only other possible credential he puts forward in his Amazon bio is that he's a veteran. But without any specification of what service, specialty, rank, or even era, it's hard to claim that this provides him deep insight. An E-4 Navy cook in the mid-90s (with no other sources of expertise) shouldn't be regarded as a legitimate source of wargaming knowledge. Considering we know how utterly average "Dr." Engle performed on the NYS Bar exam, I would think if he had relevant expertise in wargaming, actual combat experience, or high rank, he'd have bludgeoned the reader/listener over the head with it. Since it isn't even mentioned, I suspect his veteran status is a red herring meant to distract from his complete and utter lack of qualifications to even discuss this topic.

All in all, I feel compelled to treat this book the eminently MORE qualified "Dr." Seuss treats the main character in "The Grinch." This book is "an appalling dung heap; Overflowing with the most disgraceful assortment of rubbish imaginable; Mangled up in tangled-up knots!"

Do Not Waste Your Time

In the eight years I've been listening to Audible, I've only come across a handful of real lemons. I don't just mean books I've disliked, but books that Audible should be embarrassed about selling because they are so poorly written and edited. I've listened to close to a thousand books and can count the lemons on my hands. War is Math, despite the potential of it's topic, is one of those lemons. No one should pay money or waste a credit on this book (thankfully I didn't). The book has several incredibly repetitive sections (I lost count of how many times Engle defined regression to the mean). The connections between the different sections are disjointed and underdeveloped. Some parts read like AI slop or Wikipedia articles. Although the AI narration is surprisingly good, the book is not optimized for AI narration, so the text includes lists, links, and statistical data that should have been included as a separate PDF appendix, as is the case with professionally produced scholarly audiobooks. Engle's understanding of military history and theory are superficial at best, with the best example of this deficit being the omission of operational art from his discussion of the connection between strategy and tactics. Finally, the few useful ideas he presents are not enough to redeem this book. Readers would be better exploring the far superior and more accessible Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Superforecasting by Tetlock, Naked Statistics by Wheelan and/or Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman. All of which are available on Audible.