Volatility Surges: VIX Jumps 4.35% Amid Market Uncertainty

The Cboe Volatility Index, known as the VIX, stands at a current sale price of 14.20 as of the latest market close on December 29, 2025, according to Investing.com historical data. This reflects a percent change of plus 4.35 percent since the prior reported close of 13.60 on December 26, 2025, as reported by the St. Louis Fed's FRED database and cross-verified with CBOE sources.

This uptick follows a low of 13.47 on December 24, with the VIX fluctuating between 13.60 and 14.69 on December 29 per Investing.com. The increase signals rising market expectations of near-term volatility in the S&P 500, driven by underlying factors like anticipation of key economic data releases and Federal Reserve policy signals. CBOE's Macro Volatility Digest notes implied volatilities gained modestly last week amid US government reopenings and buildup to jobs reports, with a kink in SPX options term structure implying heightened short-term moves.

Recent trends show volatility easing from mid-December peaks around 17 but rebounding this week, with VIX futures settling lower at 16.6251 for near-term contracts on December 29 via CBOE market statistics. Earlier in December, the index dipped -9.35 percent in one session from 16.09 to 14.66, then surged +21.89 percent to 17.39, per Investing.com, reflecting choppy equity retracements from record highs due to valuation concerns and cooling economy signs. Overall, the VIX remains below 20, indicating moderate fear levels, though futures like VX/Z5 at 21.77 suggest expectations of persistent uncertainty into January.

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