Trump's Iran Bluff Has Cracked — And Risk Just Spiked

Airlines cancelled flights and allies pulled back after Trump escalated Iran strike talk, and that reaction exposes a reality he can’t retreat from. Right, so Donald Trump has publicly threatened Iran with imminent attack, encouraged unrest, and triggered live military preparations, and the immediate result is that embassies have shut, flights have been cancelled, bases have thinned out, and airspace is being treated as unsafe, because nobody who actually has skin in this believes this is just noise, nor is entirely certain of what is going on between the orange ones ears. The system is already reacting as if retaliation is credible and imminent, and that reaction doesn’t rewind just because a politician decides to sound calmer by that afternoon. The confidence you’re being sold right now, by spokespeople, by pundits, by people insisting this is all under control, that Trump is walking back on threats, only works if airlines keep flying and allies stay put, and they aren’t. So is Trump going to go ahead, or is he now backing off as realty finally dawns on him as to what this would mean? Right, so Donald Trump has publicly escalated towards a US strike on Iran while telling the world, in the same breath, that things are “stopping”, and the practical result is that governments, airlines, and the US military posture have started behaving as if a strike window is live, because they don’t get to gamble on his mood swings. Donald Trump has been posting and briefing in a way that keeps the military option deliberately “on the table”, and he has been framing it around a supposed humanitarian trigger, executions and street violence, while also issuing encouragement to protesters and implying external help is coming.