The guys are back with their top three NFL upset picks for Week 18...and why each one is live.

This includes:

1) An underdog fighting to make it into the playoffs

2) An underdog facing a division rival

3) The model's favorite underdog (it's ugly, but that's how we like it)

Subscribe for NFL upset picks all season! 🔔

Jason Lisk breaks down Circa Survivor Week 18 and how the contest reaches its final stage — with only a handful of entries left and every decision carrying maximum leverage.

He recaps the results from Week 17, walks through the top remaining options for each surviving entry, and explains how different paths could shape the final outcome. Jason also analyzes the odds around how many entries are likely to win the contest, and what that means for strategy in the ultimate endgame scenario.

With the finish line in sight, this episode focuses on opponent behavior, expected value, and how the final choices may determine whether there’s a single winner — or multiple survivors — in Circa Survivor.

3 Value Picks for Game Winner Pools, our Top 2 Spread Picks, and the Teaser of the week!

Jason Lisk and Stephen Andress break down the smartest ways to attack NFL Week 18, using real model outputs, public pick data, and contest strategy insights to uncover the best +EV edges.

They spotlight under-picked favorites in Game Winner pools, the strongest Against the Spread plays, and wrap it up with a high-value Teaser of the Week that brings it all together. 📊 Whether you’re in pick’em contests, betting ATS, or building teasers, this episode gives you data-driven plays for every format.