The Griff Report - College Football October 4th Games

October 3, 2025 College Football for October 4th games

We start in Cincinnati where the Bearcats are taking consensus some 65%. Buyer beware the Cyclones have won the past two matchups in this series including a 30-10 win two years ago on the road just as this game is. My pick here is the Cyclones against the consensus. Iowa State -108 money line is the pick as they do bring back the QB and coaching staff from last years 34-17 win vs. the Bearcats.

App State host Oregon State in an early game for the west coast team. Consensus ATS and money line is on App State. I’ll follow the consensus here Appalachian State -120

Virginia Tech looks to get the ship righted they are -7 vs. Wake Forest. Wake traditionally has trouble with this team playing in VA. Two years ago the last matchup a 30-13 win for Va Tech. I’ll take the Hokies, Virginia Tech -7

Kentucky vs. Georgia – Well last year the game was 13-12 UGA escaped Lexington with a win. Georgia has won 15 in a row in the series. This version of the Wildcats doesn’t appear to really be able to compete with the SEC in league play. With this game coming the week after the Alabama game in which the DAWGS were upset doesn’t bode well for the Wildcats. In 2024, 2022, 2020 and 2016 Kentucky was able to keep it close. The Cats have shown me nothing yet to say they will keep this close. Under 48.5 and Georgia -20 the two options as I see it.

Fresh off their win vs. FSU the Cavaliers and Virginia travel to Louisville. This is a tough matchup at the Cards have won 3 in row in the series. At -6.5 the Cards would’ve covered two of the last 3 as well with last years matchup only going 24-20 Louisville’s way. Virginia can be tough to cover against because they run the ball well. After having to come back last week in Pittsburgh I think the Cardinals will want to start better at home. My pick U of L -6.5 of course try to get them even money should they fall behind here.

Nebraska the consensus favorite at around 66% laying -11.5 vs. Michigan State. While the Spartans haven’t won in Lincoln since 2013 they have won two and four years ago in the most recent matchups. This Nebraska team is good but I’ll take the Spartans with the points.

California 85% consensus vs. Duke, they have no recent matchup history here.

Florida hosting Texas in a year where things couldn’t look much worse last year it was Texas 49-17. This one may have live bet opportunities depending how long the Gators stick around. My pick though is Texas -7.

Miami looks to make some noise from the state of Florida and let it go nation wide they are for real. 74 % consensus is the Hurricanes here. They won last year 36-14, my pick is Miami -4.