Ecaterina Bigos, Chief Investment Officer for Asia ex-Japan, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss how financial markets might evolve in 2026 and where the biggest opportunities and risks lie. In terms of developments to monitor, they weigh up topics such as the US’s ambition to produce more of what it consumes, the durability of capital spending on artificial intelligence, monetary policy, and Europe’s drive to boost competitiveness and strategic autonomy.

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The US economy is headed for a spell of slower growth in 2026 and while inflation may not fall much further, slack in the labour market should allow for additional cuts in the benchmark fed funds rate – overall, this is a favourable backdrop for US high-yield corporate bonds. Jack Stephenson, Investment Specialist for US High-Yield, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that high-yield credit is perhaps not the cheapest now, but the quality of bond issuers has improved notably.

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Geologically and meteorologically, Asia is vulnerable when it comes to the fallout from climate change. Crystal Geng, Asia ESG Research Lead, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the factors driving Asia's push for decarbonisation, nature conservation, and greater equality.

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