TWIFO 481: Geopolitical Volatility, Greenland Tensions, and the Nasdaq Put Surge

Geopolitical drama is back on the menu, and the futures options markets are feeling the heat. In this episode of This Week in Futures Options (TWIFO), Mark Longo breaks down a wild week where nearly every complex saw a volatility explosion. From potential trade wars to "Greenland drama," we explore how the tape is reacting at CME Group.

On today's episode, we dive into:

The Movers & Shakers Report

• The Volatility Spike: A look at the CVOL (CME Volatility Index) across the board. Why Treasury vol is roaring back to life (up 10 points) and Energy is pining the needle at 69.35.

• Natural Gas Mania: Nat Gas jumps a staggering 57% as the polar vortex hits.

• Metals & FX: Precious metals explode in both price and vol, while FX vol gains a full point on trade war chatter.

• The Dark Side: Bitcoin slides over 8%, leading the losers alongside Palladium and Copper.

Equities: The Big Tech Rotation

• Nasdaq vs. Small Caps: We analyze the pronounced rotation out of large-cap tech and into small caps.

• Zero-DTE Action: A deep dive into the massive paper hitting the Nasdaq-100 (NQ), where 0-DTE contracts dominated 43% of the weekly flow.

• The March Skew: Why traders are paying a premium for March 24,000 puts in the Nasdaq and what it means for the next 60 days of market risk.

• Call Discounts: Is the 13.5% discount on March calls a buying opportunity or a warning sign?

Market Intelligence

• Geopolitical Impact: How the "Greenland deal" headlines and Middle East tensions are impacting WTI and precious metals.