The calm after the storm of April's volatility has been maintained, despite a massive fiscal expansion passing through Congress and being signed by the President, and the end of the deferral period for most of the tariffs initially announced at the start of Q2. As we await the economic impacts of the One Big Beautiful Bill and the onset of significantly higher tariffs on most of the US' trading partners, Noel Dixon, a senior macro strategist on the team at State Street Markets, returns to the podcast to provide an independent outlook on the boosts and drags from policy and how damaging any economic costs might be in future electoral cycles.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this 100th episode of Street Signals, a theme ever-present throughout its two-year history comes to the fore once again: the ability of financial markets to come to grips with and move past seemingly implacable uncertainty. Q2 2025 alone provided what felt like a decade's worth of seismic and (theoretically) negative shocks to sentiment, yet equity markets have recovered quickly and are poised to push to new all-time highs, while many traditional safe haven currencies are on the back foot. This week, Peter Vincent, head of FX trading in EMEA for State Street Markets and a podcast regular, returns to offer his thinking on why markets remain so resilient in the face of such risks, whether the US growth outlook is poised to deteriorate and his outlook for currencies in the coming months.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Markets are still grappling with global trade and fiscal policies in flux and we were reminded this week that geopolitical risk is never out of the frame for too long. The broadening of hostilities in Israel and Iran necessarily extends the vigilance of policymakers for first and second order impacts on their economies, carrying with it potential implications for currency and interest rate markets, in particular. This week, we look at how all-important reserve managers and governments in Asia are considering all of these threats to stability and how currency and monetary policies are likely to adapt. We bring Dwyfor Evans, our head of macro strategy for Asia, back to the podcast for a broad discussion of the most relevant considerations.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.