Rising Inventory, Lukewarm Employment Data, Fed Uncertainty: How This Impacts the Market

A cooling labor market, rising housing inventory, and growing uncertainty around the Fed’s next move are shaping a complex end to the year for real estate. In this month’s market update, Gabi Brennesholtz and Ruben Gonzalez break down the latest unemployment trends, what October’s existing home sales reveal about buyer behavior, and how affordability challenges are reshaping who’s entering the market. They also dig into NAR’s newest survey insights—from cash buyers to rising down payments—and explain why December’s Fed meeting could trigger meaningful rate volatility.

In this episode, you’ll learn:

• What the latest unemployment and claims data suggest about the labor market’s direction
• Why existing home sales remain flat despite easing mortgage rates—and how rising inventory is shifting buyer behavior
• How affordability challenges are pushing the average first-time buyer age to 40 and driving down-payment trends to record highs
• What the NAR’s newest survey reveals about cash buyers, investor participation, and today’s longer buying cycles
• Why December’s Fed meeting is essentially a 50/50 call—and how that uncertainty may impact mortgage-rate volatility
• What a 50-year mortgage would really mean for buyers, equity, and long-term wealth building

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Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction & overview of this month’s market update

00:51 Unemployment data, claims reports, and what they signal about the labor market

03:12 What the Fed will consider in the upcoming meeting and why uncertainty is unusually high

04:29 October existing home sales, rising inventory, and regional price trends

06:13 NAR survey insights: cash buyers, buyer age, down payments, and shifting buying cycles

12:34 Upcoming Fed meeting and what to expect

14:21 50-year mortgage question: viability, affordability impact, and long-term wealth concerns

17:59 Final takeaways & closing remarks

This podcast is for general informational purposes only. The views, thoughts, and opinions of the guest represent those of the guest and not Keller Williams Realty, LLC and its affiliates, and should not be construed as financial, economic, legal, tax, or other advice. This podcast is provided without any warranty, or guarantee of its accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or results from using the information.