In this episode of Retire with Style, Wade Pfau and Alex Murguia talk with William Bengen, pioneer of the 4% rule in retirement planning. They explore the rule’s evolution, how inflation and market valuations shape sustainable withdrawals, and Bengen’s current recommendations. The discussion highlights the role of asset allocation, the importance of withdrawal strategies, and why ongoing monitoring is essential for a secure retirement.

Takeaways

• William Bengen modernized retirement income planning with the 4% rule.
• Inflation is a critical factor in determining sustainable withdrawal rates.
• Market volatility can significantly impact retirement portfolios.
• A comprehensive withdrawal plan should consider multiple factors.
• Current recommendations suggest a withdrawal rate of around 5.5%.
• Asset allocation plays a vital role in retirement planning.
• Investors should consider a rising equity glide path strategy.
• Regular monitoring and adjustments to retirement plans are essential.
• High inflation can permanently elevate withdrawal amounts.
• The 4% rule is not a one-size-fits-all solution.

Chapters

00:00 Introduction to Retirement Income Planning

01:14 The Birth of the 4% Rule

03:03 Understanding Withdrawal Rates

09:15 The Impact of Inflation on Withdrawals

12:45 Market Valuation and Its Effects

18:07 Current Withdrawal Rate Recommendations

21:10 Asset Allocation Strategies

24:04 Free Lunches in Investment Strategies

27:34 Key Takeaways from A Richer Retirement

31:15 Future Research Directions

Links

Join Us for RWS Live! with Bill Bengen! We’re going live on Thursday, September 11th at 1:00 PM ET on the Retire With Style YouTube channel! You’ll have the chance to ask Bill Bengen—creator of the 4% rule—your retirement questions live in the chat.

Search “Retire With Style” on YouTube, or click this link to join us directly: https://retirewithstyle.com/rws-youtube-live

Don’t forget to subscribe so you get notified when we go live!

🎉 We're About to Hit 200 Episodes! 🎉

Can you believe it? Retire With Style is closing in on our 200th episode, and we want you to be part of the celebration!

Whether you’ve been with Wade and Alex since episode one or just joined the party, this milestone wouldn’t be possible without listeners like you. Help us mark the occasion by sending in a short video or voice note to share your favorite moment, biggest takeaway, or just some kind words for the guys.

We’re also running a special giveaway to thank our community — and yes, there will be prizes.

👉 Be a part of Episode 200 by visiting https://retirewithstyle.com/join-episode-200 to join the celebration!

Explore the New RetireWithStyle.com! We’ve launched a brand-new home for the podcast! Visit RetireWithStyle.com to catch up on all our latest episodes, explore topics by category, and send us your questions or ideas for future episodes. If there’s something you’ve been wondering about retirement, we want to hear it!

The Retirement Planning Guidebook: 2nd Edition has just been updated for 2025! Visit your preferred book retailer or simply click here to order your copy today: https://www.wadepfau.com/books/

This episode is sponsored by McLean Asset Management. Visit https://www.mcleanam.com/retirement-income-planning-llm/ to download McLean’s free eBook, “Retirement Income Planning”

In this conversation, Alex Murguia and Wade Pfau explore strategies for retirement planning, including hedging against inflation, using break-even analysis in Social Security decisions, and evaluating annuities for retirement income. They also cover the implications of Roth conversions and the reverse equity glide path strategy for managing investments. The discussion highlights the importance of understanding how different financial tools contribute to a comprehensive retirement plan.

Takeaways

• Hedging against inflation can be approached through TIPS or equities, each with distinct risk profiles.
• TIPS provide a contractually protected hedge against inflation, while equities may offer higher long-term growth.
• Break-even analysis for social security is often misleading and can lead to poor decision-making.
• Delaying social security benefits can provide inflation-adjusted lifetime income, which is crucial for retirees.
• Annuities can be a useful tool for ensuring reliable income, but their lack of inflation protection must be considered.
• Paying taxes for Roth conversions from an IRA is acceptable if no other funds are available.
• The present value of social security benefits should be considered as part of a retiree's bond-like income.
• The reverse equity glide path strategy can help manage sequence risk in retirement by gradually increasing equity exposure.
• Understanding the implications of social security estimates is essential for accurate retirement planning.
• Investment strategies should align with individual risk tolerance and retirement income needs.

Chapters

00:00 Market Valuations and Investment Strategies

00:00 Inflation Hedging: TIPS vs. Equities

04:23 The Break-Even Analysis of Social Security

09:54 Annuities and Inflation Protection

14:01 Roth Conversions and Tax Strategies

20:01 Social Security Strategies for Couples

26:58 Retirement Income Challenges and Strategies

Links

Explore the New RetireWithStyle.com! We’ve launched a brand-new home for the podcast! Visit RetireWithStyle.com to catch up on all our latest episodes, explore topics by category, and send us your questions or ideas for future episodes. If there’s something you’ve been wondering about retirement, we want to hear it!

The Retirement Planning Guidebook: 2nd Edition has just been updated for 2025! Visit your preferred book retailer or simply click here to order your copy today: https://www.wadepfau.com/books/

This episode is sponsored by Retirement Researcher https://retirementresearcher.com/. Download their free eBook, 8 Tips to Becoming A Retirement Income Investor at retirementresearcher.com/8tips

In this conversation, Wade Pfau and Alex Murguia discuss retirement planning topics including market downturns, buffer assets, demographic trends, and emerging products like tontines and buffered ETFs. They highlight how historical market performance shapes future expectations and emphasize the role of strategic asset allocation in retirement income planning.

Takeaways

• Market downturns can last longer than five years, impacting retirement planning.
• Buffer assets can help retirees weather market downturns without selling at a loss.
• Demographic trends may influence market performance and interest rates in the future.
• Modern tontines could provide innovative solutions for retirement income.
• Combining safety for essential expenses with discretionary spending can optimize retirement income.
• Historical returns should not be the sole basis for future market assumptions.
• Buffered ETFs may serve as effective tools for risk diversification in high market valuation environments.
• Understanding the liquidity and terms of financial products is crucial for effective retirement planning.
• Technological advances may reshape traditional financial products like tontines.
• A diversified portfolio can help manage risks associated with market fluctuations.

Chapters

00:00 Introduction and Technical Setup

03:58 Market Downturns and Retirement Planning

12:59 Buffer Assets in Retirement

19:09 Tontines and Modern Financial Solutions

23:06 Combining Safety and Growth in Retirement Income

29:07 Buffered ETFs and Risk Diversification

33:31 Retirement Income Perspectives

34:06 Market Valuations and Investment Strategies

Links

Explore the New RetireWithStyle.com! We’ve launched a brand-new home for the podcast! Visit RetireWithStyle.com to catch up on all our latest episodes, explore topics by category, and send us your questions or ideas for future episodes. If there’s something you’ve been wondering about retirement, we want to hear it!

The Retirement Planning Guidebook: 2nd Edition has just been updated for 2025! Visit your preferred book retailer or simply click here to order your copy today: https://www.wadepfau.com/books/

This episode is sponsored by McLean Asset Management. Visit https://www.mcleanam.com/retirement-income-planning-llm/ to download McLean’s free eBook, “Retirement Income Planning”