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Predictive History- A Deep dive

Predictive History- A Deep dive

De: The Dominique and Howard Show
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This is a deep dive series on GeoPolitics, Secret History and Civilisation inspired by the works of Prof. Jiang.The Dominique and Howard Show
Episodios
  • Geo-Strategy #8: The Iran Trap: Geopolitics and Military Hubris
    Nov 12 2025

    In this episode, we explore the escalating tensions that could lead to a major conflict between the United States and Iran in the near future. The discussion dives into several key factors shaping this potential war:

    • The powerful influence of the Israel Lobby on US foreign policy

    • The United States' deep-rooted ambition to maintain its empire, driven by Wall Street interests

    • The ongoing and intense rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran

    • The possible role of former President Trump, influenced by advisors Jared Kushner and Nikki Haley

    • Criticism of the US military’s overconfidence through the “shock and awe” strategy

    • Insights drawn from historical conflicts like the Athenian Sicilian expedition and the Vietnam War

    • A Game Theory analysis highlighting strategic advantages for Israel and Saudi Arabia

    • Warnings about US military overextension and the shifting balance of power in the Middle East

    Tune in to understand the complex geopolitical dynamics that could reshape global power in the coming years.

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    16 m
  • Geo-Strategy #7: Iran's Succession Crisis: The Helicopter Crash, Game Theory, and the IRGC's Play for Absolute Power
    Nov 11 2025

    This episode applies Game Theory analysis to investigate the mysterious helicopter crash of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. While an accident caused by bad weather and an aging aircraft is considered the most likely explanation, the episode explores alternative scenarios of assassination, potentially orchestrated by foreign adversaries like the United States or Israel, or by internal enemies within Iran.


    The analysis focuses on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a powerful internal actor who may have had motivations to eliminate Raisi. His potential rise to Supreme Leader threatened the IRGC's monopoly on economic and political power, making it plausible they acted to ensure Mostafa Khamenei, the current Ayatollah’s son, would succeed as Supreme Leader and continue the IRGC’s extremist, anti-Western agenda.


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    14 m
  • Geo-Strategy #6: Shock and Awe — Empire, Democracy, and Hubris
    Nov 10 2025

    This episode examines the evolution of United States military doctrine and foreign policy through the lens of the "Shock and Awe" strategy employed in the 2003 Iraq War. It discusses how this approach, focused on technological dominance, rapid engagements, and increased reliance on Special Forces, shaped a flawed military paradigm driven by imperial hubris.


    The analysis contrasts this aggressive strategy with earlier post-Cold War theories that favored limited and collaborative interventions under democratic constraints. Drawing lessons from Vietnam and the Iraq campaigns, the episode argues that the "Shock and Awe" doctrine has left the US military overextended and strategically vulnerable, especially in the face of emerging conflicts such as a potential war with Iran.


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    17 m
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