Post Racing Podcast 15/11/24
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Today we chat about NH racing returning to Windsor, the "near miss" at Chelmsford and offer up a hurdler and a chaser to follow this season.
One horse each to follow for the NH season – and why?
RON
Hurdler - WILLY DE HOUELLE
Chaser – INTHEPOCKET
SEAN
Hurdler – DYSART ENOS
Chaser – BUGISE SEAGULL
Saturday Racing
12.35pm Cheltenham (just Sean)
SEAN – EAST INDIA DOCK
1.58pm Navan
BOB OLINGER came back to life and won this last season, and he’s favourite to go in again tomorrow. If he pulls it off, he’ll be the first nine-year-old to win it in the last decade at the very least.
I worry about the ground for him as he’s 0-1 on it and the majority of his winning form has come on soft or heavy ground and if I were to even consider taking 6/4 I’d need my bumps feeling.
No six-year-old has won this since APPLES JADE won it for a second time back in 2018 but that was the third of that age group to win in a four year spell back then and I will be with JETARA who is 1-2 ground, 4-7 trip and 1-1 track.
Currently second favourite at around 7/2 and as they’ve only had one winner return an SP bigger than 5/1 in the last 10 years I’m happy taking the favourite on with the Jessica Harrington trained runner.
The horse is in good form right now having won a Listed hurdle at Limerick towards the end of last month, then went to the Curragh and hacked up on the flat.
The horse has won or placed in 14 of the 18 races under rules she has gone for and I’ll go for it.
RON – JETARA
SEAN – BOB OLINGER
2.20pm Cheltenham (Sean only)
SEAN – GA LAW
2.33pm Navan
Just six going to post but it’s a little cracker, isn’t it.
Henry De Bromhead has taken the last three renewals of this race, the last twice with CAPTAIN GUINNESS, who goes for the hat-trick tomorrow.
He is unbeaten in two runs at Navan but tomorrow I reckon he’ll come up just short….BANBRIDGE is the one I like. Unbeaten in two ruins on the going as currently described, won on his only previous visit to the track, and is 4-6 at the trip. He also beat CAPTAIN GUINNESS at the Punchestown Festival back in April after trying to get 2 ½ miles around Cheltenham on soft ground….he had two hopes of that ever happening, and one was Bob!
Ideal conditions tomorrow, he has won on seasonal debut for the last three years, as has the current favourite FOUND A FIFTY….never out of the first two in seven runs over fences, winning four.
It’s the ground I feel might catch him out against BANBRIDGE. He is 1-1 on it but that was over half a mile further….I’d rather be with the trip “specialist”….also….FOUND A FIFTY is 0-1 at Navan, beaten at odds on back in 2022.
RON – BANBRIDGE
SEAN – GENTLEMAN DE MEE
3.15pm Newcastle
A conundrum….eight of the last 10 winners were aged three (3), or four (5), with nine winners returning SP’s no bigger than 6/1.
If I apply those criteria then nothing tomorrow qualifies.
Weight ranges don’t apply as it’s a Listed race but the one constant I can apply is market position.
The winner has been front three on the tissue in nine of the last 10 renewals of this race and they are: