Pilot — Does AI Know When It Doesn’t Know?

In this pilot episode of Muller’s Ratchet, we kick things off with a deceptively simple question: does AI know when it doesn’t know?

We talk about confidence, uncertainty, and why machines often sound sure of themselves even when they’re wrong. What does it mean for an AI to “admit” uncertainty? How is that different from human doubt? And why does this matter when we’re increasingly relying on these systems for answers, advice, and decisions?

This episode sets the tone for the show: curious, conversational, and a little skeptical — exploring how technology thinks, how we think about technology, and where those two things quietly drift apart.