Episodios

  • Earnings Season Kicks Off, Managing the Noise & What Wall Street Won’t Tell You
    Apr 27 2025

    This week on Money Wise, the team recaps a strong rebound for the markets. The Dow rose 971 points (2.5%), the S&P 500 gained 243 points (4.6%), and the NASDAQ jumped 1,096 points (6.7%). Year-to-date losses are still present—with the Dow down 5.7%, the S&P down 6.1%, and the NASDAQ down 10%—but the gap from all-time highs is closing. The S&P and Dow are each about 10–11% off their highs, and the NASDAQ has improved significantly, now only about 14% off. Much of the rally was attributed to strong earnings results, particularly from the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks, which have contributed 14.8% of the S&P 500’s first-quarter earnings growth so far.

    The Money Wise guys also reflect on the week's political drama, with markets initially rattled after President Trump’s comments about firing Fed Chairman Powell, leading to a sharp 1,000-point drop in the Dow. However, calmer voices—particularly Treasury Secretary Bessette—seemed to prevail, with Trump later walking back his comments, helping markets rebound. The guys emphasize that while the market is still dealing with the fallout from the ongoing tariff issues, earnings season offers real opportunities, especially beyond the top tech names. Their reminder to investors: stay focused on fundamentals and don’t let headline-driven volatility knock you off course.

    Earnings Season Kicks Off

    Starting off the show, the Money Wise guys highlight that earnings season is now in full swing, bringing a critical shift in market focus away from political headlines and back toward company fundamentals. They point out that while the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks have driven much of the early earnings growth—contributing nearly 15% so far—the broader market is starting to show more opportunities beyond just big tech. With major companies like Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft reporting in the coming days, the team emphasize that this is the "meat and potatoes" part of earnings season, where real market leadership and broader participation could start to emerge.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys divulge what Wall Street Won’t Tell You. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • Market Holds in Uncertainty, The L-Shaped Recovery Debate, & RIA vs. Broker
    Apr 19 2025

    This week on Money Wise, the team recaps another choppy stretch for the markets as the Dow dropped 1,070 points (2.7%), the S&P 500 fell 81 points (1.5%), and the NASDAQ lost 438 points (2.6%). Year-to-date, losses continue to deepen with the Dow down 8%, the S&P 500 down 10.2%, and the NASDAQ down 15.7%. The Money Wise guys agree that we remain in the thick of what they’re calling a “tariff tantrum,” with ongoing headline-driven volatility and no clear end in sight. Trading volume has fallen below average on both the buy and sell sides, signaling that many investors are taking a wait-and-see approach as negotiations with global trading partners get underway.

    The team discuss the likelihood of an "L-shaped recovery" rather than a fast V-shaped rebound, emphasizing that uncertainty around tariff negotiations is keeping markets stuck in a sideways trading range. While there’s cautious optimism that some policies may shift or soften—especially as pressure builds heading into the 90-day trade negotiation deadline—they note that confidence among institutional investors remains low. Still, there are selective opportunities emerging in beaten-down sectors like tech, and the Money Wise guys have been making targeted moves. Their takeaway: In a market this headline-sensitive, discipline, diversification, and emotional restraint remain essential.

    The L-Shaped Recovery Debate

    The Money Wise team explores the idea of an "L-shaped recovery," contrasting it with the swift, V-shaped rebound seen during the COVID-era downturn. In this scenario, the market experiences a sharp drop followed by a prolonged period of stagnation, rather than a quick climb back. With investor confidence shaken and uncertainty lingering around ongoing tariff negotiations, the guys agree this slower, flatter trajectory may be more realistic. They point to low trading volume and lack of decisive direction as signs that many investors are in a holding pattern—waiting for clarity before reentering the market in a meaningful way.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys explore RIA vs. Broker. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 20 m
  • Markets Rebound, Emotional Investing, & The Best Investment Advice Ever
    Apr 12 2025

    As always, the Money Wise guys kick off this week with a look into the numbers from Wall Street. Thankfully, the markets delivered a dramatic turnaround, with the Dow up 1,898 points (5%), the S&P 500 gaining 289 points (5.7%), and the NASDAQ soaring 1,137 points (7.3%). While year-to-date numbers remain negative—Dow down 5.5%, S&P 500 down 8.8%, and NASDAQ down 13.4%—the guys unpack what they call one of the wildest weeks in market history, particularly Wednesday’s rally, which ranked among the top 10 point gains for the Dow. The Money Wise guys compare the volatility to COVID-era swings but emphasize that this time, the chaos is largely self-inflicted—driven by headlines, tweets, and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff plans.

    Much of the conversation focuses on how investor emotions—from despair to euphoria—can wreak havoc in volatile environments like this. The team stress the importance of staying invested and not letting fear drive decisions, citing that missing just a few of the market’s biggest up days can drastically cut long-term returns. They also discuss Trump’s strategic pivot on tariffs, which may lead to long-term benefits—including potential revenue generation to extend tax cuts. With policy uncertainty still hanging over the markets, they want to remind listeners that disciplined, balanced investing is more important than ever—especially when a single tweet can send stocks soaring or crashing.

    Emotional Investing

    This week, the Money Wise team emphasizes that emotional investing is one of the most damaging habits an investor can fall into—especially during volatile periods like this. Making decisions based on fear, panic, or even excitement can lead to costly mistakes, such as pulling out of the market right before a major rebound. They point out that missing just a handful of the market’s biggest up days—like this week’s historic rally—can drastically reduce long-term returns. In environments driven by headlines and political uncertainty, keeping emotions in check and staying committed to a long-term strategy is key to avoiding self-inflicted financial setbacks.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever . You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • Historic Market Drop, Tariff Tantrums & Equity Index Annuities
    Apr 6 2025

    This week, the Money Wise guys focus on one of the most volatile market stretches in recent memory, as the Dow dropped 3,269 points (7.9%), the S&P 500 fell 507 points (9.1%), and the NASDAQ plunged 1,735 points (10%). Year-to-date numbers now show steep losses, with the Dow down 9.9%, the S&P down 13.7%, and the NASDAQ down 19.3%. The team zero in on what they dubbed the “tariff tantrum,” triggered by President Trump’s trade policy announcements mid-week. Thursday and Friday alone accounted for the #3 and #4 worst point-loss days in Dow history, with the S&P 500 losing a staggering $4.9 trillion in market capitalization across just two sessions.

    The guys push back against what they called an “asinine overreaction,” blaming politically motivated selling, algorithmic trading, and a media environment eager to cast a negative light on Trump’s agenda. They argue the market’s response was out of proportion to the actual policy implications and point out that similar trade imbalance issues have persisted for decades without such dramatic selloffs. With fear and sentiment driving the downturn—not fundamentals—the message is clear: stay focused, stay invested, and don’t let emotional headlines derail long-term plans.

    Historic Market Drop

    The team emphasizes the sheer magnitude of this week’s market drop, calling it one of the most historic in recent memory. They highlight that Thursday and Friday marked the third and fourth largest single-day point losses in the history of the Dow, rivaling even the volatility seen during the COVID era. More striking, they note, was the $4.9 trillion in market capitalization wiped out from the S&P 500 alone—just over two days. While acknowledging the seriousness of the decline, they question whether the reaction was proportionate to the news, calling it an emotionally charged overcorrection rather than a reflection of true economic fundamentals.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys discuss Equity Index Annuities. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • Market Dips Amid Sentiment Swings, ‘Liberation Day’ Anticipation, & What Wall Street Won’t Tell You
    Mar 29 2025

    This week, the Money Wise guys analyze a volatile market week, with the Dow down 1%, the S&P 500 down 1.5%, and the NASDAQ dropping 2.6%. A “buyer strike” seemed evident, with the last three trading days seeing unusually low volume, suggesting traders are waiting for clarity on April 2—dubbed "Liberation Day"—when new tariff policies may take shape. The discussion highlights how sentiment, often driven by media narratives and economic indicators like the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and PCE inflation data, continues to fuel market swings. Friday saw another sharp decline, which the guys attribute to knee-jerk reactions rather than fundamental shifts. The team emphasizes the challenge of navigating a market increasingly influenced by headlines rather than hard data.

    ‘Liberation Day’ Anticipation

    “Liberation Day,” a term jokingly given to April 2, refers to the hope that markets might finally break free from the constant barrage of tariff-related headlines. The Money Wise guys express frustration with how trade policy news has dominated market sentiment, creating heightened volatility. They note that traders seem to be holding back, waiting to see how the administration’s next moves unfold before making big market decisions. The guys speculate that if the April 2 announcement brings clarity and stability, it could provide much-needed relief from the uncertainty that has weighed on investor emotions throughout the quarter. However, they also acknowledge that if the announcement sparks more confusion, the cycle of sentiment-driven market swings could continue.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys divulge what Wall Street Won’t Tell You. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • Fed Signals Support, Triple Witching Volatility, & RIA vs Broker
    Mar 22 2025

    The Money Wise guys open this week’s episode with a look at last week's market performance, which saw a modest rebound. The Dow climbed 497 points (1.2%), the S&P 500 added 29 points (0.5%), and the NASDAQ rose 30 points (0.2%). Despite the uptick, year-to-date numbers remain in the red: the Dow is down 1.3%, the S&P 500 is down 3.6%, and the NASDAQ is down 7.9%. The discussion focuses on Friday’s "triple witching" volatility, which brought significant buying volume—92% above the daily average—and helped markets finish the week strong. While the rally was welcomed, the guys caution that continued volatility is likely, especially as we enter earnings season and companies may take advantage of lower stock prices to release less-than-stellar news.

    A major theme of the episode was the Federal Reserve's latest meeting, which the Money Wise guys note they barely mentioned in the prior week—a sign, they joke, that “Dad would be proud.” The Fed struck a more dovish tone, with Chairman Powell signaling concerns about economic growth and reducing the Fed’s monthly balance sheet runoff from $25 billion to $5 billion. While Powell wasn’t fully convinced that upcoming reciprocal tariffs would fuel long-term inflation, the Fed's updated stance and talk of possible rate cuts (now estimated at two in 2025) helped lift market sentiment midweek. However, volatility persisted, and the team emphasizes that the market's reaction was less about surprises and more about the Fed giving investors what they wanted: signs of a willingness to support the economy without appearing overly reactive.

    Triple Witching Volatility

    Friday’s triple witching—a quarterly event when stock options, index options, and futures contracts expire simultaneously—brought a surge in buying volume, with activity spiking 92% above the daily average. While some of the movement may have been driven by technical factors and short-term positioning, the team notes that it contributed to a strong close that helped markets notch modest weekly gains. This kind of volatility, they emphasize, is exactly what they’ve been preparing listeners for all year: unpredictable swings driven more by market mechanics and sentiment than fundamentals.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys explore RIA vs. Broker. You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • A Wary Market, Trump’s Trade Strategy & The Best Investment Advice Ever
    Mar 15 2025

    The Money Wise guys return this week to analyze another rough stretch for the markets, with the Dow falling 1,114 points (3.1%), the S&P 500 losing 131 points (2.3%), and the NASDAQ dropping 442 points (2.4%). Year-to-date, the numbers continue to slide, with the Dow now down 2.5%, the S&P 500 down 4.1%, and the NASDAQ sinking 8.1%. The discussion opens with a thought-provoking quote from a JP Morgan analyst, emphasizing that while politics may dominate headlines, the stock market operates independently—driven by earnings, growth, liquidity, and investor confidence. Despite market consensus initially expecting a balance between inflationary and pro-growth policies, investors appear wary of the Trump administration’s aggressive stance in its first 50 days, particularly on trade and tariffs.

    The conversation then pivots to Trump's long-held views on trade, dating back to interviews from the 1980s, and how his current policies reflect a long-standing belief that the U.S. has been taken advantage of by its trading partners. While tariffs and trade battles may cause short-term economic pain and potentially slow growth, the team notes that the odds of a full recession remain below 50%. Additionally, they point out that the Federal Reserve has tools at its disposal—such as pausing quantitative tightening or cutting interest rates—to offset economic pressure if needed. The Money Wise guys speculate that Trump’s aggressive trade stance might also serve as a strategic push to force the Fed’s hand on rate cuts, especially as inflation pressures tied to housing remain a key concern. With producer and consumer price numbers improving, the message was clear: investors may need to endure short-term volatility for the potential of longer-term market strength.

    A Wary Market

    The team discusses how the market remains wary of Trump’s aggressive trade policies, particularly tariffs on key trading partners, which have fueled volatility and investor uncertainty. While some fear these measures could slow economic growth, others see them as necessary to correct trade imbalances. They also note how negative media coverage and escalating tensions have amplified fear-driven selloffs, leading to market corrections that don’t always align with economic fundamentals. The key takeaway? Investors should stay focused on long-term strategies rather than reacting emotionally to short-term fluctuations.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever . You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

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    1 h y 21 m
  • Tariff Turmoil, The Fear-Driven Selloff & The Best Investment Advice Ever
    Mar 8 2025

    The Money Wise guys break down another tough week for the markets, with the Dow dropping 1,039 points (2.4%), the S&P 500 falling 184 points (3.1%), and the NASDAQ sliding 651 points (3.5%). Year-to-date, the Dow remains slightly positive (+0.6%), but the S&P 500 (-1.9%) and NASDAQ (-5.8%) have dipped further into negative territory. With the market entering a correction phase, the discussion turned to historical context—reminding listeners that pullbacks of 5-10% are normal and occur regularly. What makes this correction unique, however, is the overwhelming noise surrounding it, much of which stems from ongoing tariff debates and broader economic uncertainty. The guys note that market sentiment is increasingly driven by headlines, with investors reacting sharply to political narratives rather than fundamentals. Yet, just as quickly as fear has taken hold, a resolution to tariff disputes could send the market soaring again, making emotional reactions a risky approach to investing.

    Expanding on investor sentiment, the team highlights CNN’s Greed and Fear Index, which currently signals "extreme fear" in the markets—mirroring the heightened anxiety seen among investors. They stress that while fear-driven selloffs can snowball, historical patterns show that markets tend to recover from corrections, often rebounding when uncertainty clears. The Federal Reserve’s stance remains that inflation from tariffs is likely a one-time price adjustment rather than a long-term concern, though skepticism lingers after past assurances that inflation would be "transitory." Ultimately, the guys urge investors to avoid emotional decision-making, resist the herd mentality, and focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term panic.

    Tariff Turmoil

    The ongoing tariff debate continues to fuel market volatility, with investors reacting to every new headline despite the lack of concrete long-term impacts. The guys point out that while tariffs have dominated the news cycle, their actual economic effects remain uncertain—especially since past tariffs under different administrations received little media attention. They argue that the market’s fixation on trade negotiations is more about political noise than financial fundamentals. A single announcement resolving disputes with Canada, Mexico, or China could trigger a massive market rally, yet many investors are making emotional decisions based on speculation rather than patience.

    In the second hour, the Money Wise guys share The Best Investment Advice Ever . You don’t want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

    Más Menos
    1 h y 20 m
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