Momentum, Forward Returns, Investor Behavior, and Credit Liquidity

Market Breadth: NYSE advancers outpaced decliners 4-to-1, suggesting resilience beneath the equity rally (SentimenTrader).

Macro Signals: Inflation remains domestically driven; Fed unlikely to cut quickly. U.S. dollar regains strength versus peers (DeepMacro).

Dantes Outlook Positioning: Trimmed active tilts, maintaining preference for U.S. equities while adding emerging markets. Funded by profits in gold and inflation hedges. Launched tactical semiconductor strategy based on momentum signals.

Bond Market Evolution: Portfolio trading volumes in U.S. corporate bonds surged 54% in H1 2025, boosting liquidity and efficiency (Barclays).

Investor Behavior: Morningstar’s “Mind the Gap” shows investors underperform funds by ~1.2% annually due to timing mistakes.

Forward-Looking Markets: Historical data shows equities often rebound after major payroll revisions, underscoring how markets anticipate economic shifts (Fidelity).

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